You're looking at the 2.5 thing all wrong. 2.5k isn't a massive win for me only because I bet a certain amount each card. If I was only betting 500-1k, then yeah, 2.5 would be great. But, because I'm coming in with 2k or 3k bets, 2.5k profit would be shit. I wouldn't even risk it for that. There are loads of gamblers who wouldn't get out of bed for my best 5.5k day. The numbers are all relative there.
As for me getting limited just now, someone with way more experience than me explained that these sorts of bookies are always watching out for people who have reliable systems, but with Parlays like I'm only doing, they expect me to lose out and that they'll get their money back eventually. It makes sense, but looking at my history, it doesn't look good for them because I often go whole cards, putting a parlay on each card, and not losing for 3-4 cards in a row. A run like that puts me a heap ahead. I rarely bet on anything that isn't paying close to 3.00 or more now, so even if I lose 2 in a row, I almost always make all that back and then some by winning the next. But, it was like 7 or something months before I ever went 2 cards wrong in a row. It's more likely now because I don't care as much and don't be as safe. But one win often puts me ahead on profits for like the next two cards. And in 11 months, I've bet on almost every single UFC card. In all of my losses, I've never lost a 3-5 leg parlay by more than 1 leg. I'm losing less now because at the start I was doing 5 legs always to make more cash. But as I've increased my stakes, I've slowly started to play it more safe again. I'm happy to win less like this.
Some other thoughts: at the start, I kept increasing the 500 stake as I won more. If I'd kept increasing at the % I had been, that 500 would have been 266k within 7 months.
I have 3 mates who copy my bets. They bet a third of their kitty each time, which I don't do. One worked it out that if he started with 12k in the kitty, he'd be at 88k now, and he wasn't there at the beginning.
I also did a test for close to a year before I started gambling where I pretended to bet 5k per card for the year so I could see how it might turn out. I've learnt a ton about picking them in the last 11 months, and for those fake bets I had no fucking clue what I was doing, really. That initial 5k still would have worked out to 185k in the year, and that's with never increasing stakes beyond 5k.
Anyway, here's some of that proof you wanted:
This is the 2.5 from the weekend that should have been 4:
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Here's the 3 cards before that. Count the top 4 as a multi, because I really just started with 2k on Avila, and rolled my original stake and winnings into the next one + I think I added a little more to round it out, so you add those 4 winnings up to see what the 2k turned into. I only really risked the 2k that I started with for that day. Then a 2k loss which would have been an 8k win if I'd bothered to look more at Hooper lol. Bottom one that I expanded out is a 3 legger for 4.5k profit.
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This is May, where I lost more multi's than I won, but came out on top still. Sucks though. That 1ker only needed Barboza to win (he fucking did though, let's be honest) and it would have been 5k profit. Same with the other losing one which needed MJ.
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For a bit of fun, this happened in January lol. The bottom 2 were both lost within 5 mins of each other. I wanted to put 10k on Holly only that day to win 9k, but I let my friend, who wasn't even watching MMA at the time, talk me out of it and into a 6k loss instead. Fun times.
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This is December. The top one was good, but the bottom 2 . . . They were fucking rough, man. It looks like I won there, but I didn't really. 3k made 3.6 and the 300 made 1.3. So it came to basically 5k. But, in both of those parlays I had Marina Rodriguez to beat Cynthia Calvillo. Marina won the first 2 rounds with ease, then Calvillo, who I didn't realize came in really heavy, used her size and weight to get it to the ground, hammer Marina, and make it a draw. I didn't even know bookies still pay out on a draw, so I thought I'd lost overall, but it turned out they did. I had every leg on those two right except for that draw. If Marina had won, those two combined would've been a 10-13k pay day off 3.3k risk.
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I also had 3k on Joanna to beat Waterson I think it was, and Sanchez vs Vettori to make it to the 2nd round. The profit on that should have been 13.5k. I got it confirmed in writing that the odds were right with the bookie and not in error. They said it was after the fight and didn't pay out. That one's going through the gambling commission over here to get sorted. I probably won't get it, but here's to hoping lol.