UFN 143 on ESPN+ 1 Cejudo vs Dillashaw - BETS

[Sadistics]

Dillashaw -168 $1000

Hardy -260 $260
Hardy RD1 -157 $500
Hardy/Crowder U1 -185 $925
Hardy/Crowder U1minute +715 $150

Benavidez -231 $750
Benavidez DEC -105 $250

Gillespie -230 $230

Ostovich +155 $150
Ostovich DEC +272 $45
Ostovich/PVZ GTD -200 $250
PVZ RD3 +1400 $20

Roberson +105 $500

Cerrone NSC +172 $150
Cerrone +3.5 -105 $150
Cerrone/Hernandez O1.5 -146 $150

Lipski -190 $750

Menifield/Moreira U1.5 -160 $250

Sandhagen -400 $500
Sandhagen -3.5 -300 $500

Bermudez +110 $100
Bermudez DEC +300 $100

Neal -150 $750
Neal NSC -220 $500
Neal/Muhammad U2.5 +130 $100


Good luck gents, let's start the year off with a bang.

 

[BaruchSpinoza]

Ostovich submitting Paige to me is even less likely than Ostovich by knockout, Paige has showed great submission defence and toughness against much much better fighters, go watch how long she defended against Rose, in the distant past she did great and even won against a vastly technically superior fighter in Felice Herrig
The karate hottie has legit BJJ, there's no shame in getting submitted by her or Rose, Rachael is nowhere near their level.

Thanks for the input! I just saw that PVZ has been submitted twice in her last four fights and that Ostovich has two out of her four wins by submission, but I guess I didn't do my homework properly!

 

[burge13]

Pretty much just boxing for me this weekend (all in boxing thread). For this card

0.895U on Hernandez at 1.56/-179
0.35U on Glover at 1.80/-125

 

[Cockadoodle]

Neal 2u for 1.1u
FGTD 1u for 1u

Vinicius Castro Sub - 1u for 4.5u

Te Edwards 1u for .9u
R3/ Dec 1u for .8u

Bautista ML - 1u for 4.1u

Caulderwood ML - 1u for 2.06u
Caulderwood KO - .5u for 6.5u
FDNGD - 1u for 1.33u

Cerrone ML 1u for 1.47u
Cerrone Sub 1u for 6.5u
R1 finish - 1u for 1.74

Paige ML 2u for 1.24u
Osto Sub .5u for 3.75u
FDNGD - 1u for 1.53u

Dustin Ortiz Points - 1u for 3.5u

Glover ML 2u for 1.56u

Crowder R1- .2u for 3u
R3/Dec -1u for 4.65u

Cejudo KO - 1u for 7.5u
FDNGD - 2u for 1.8u

Looks like its Dog City for me...
Good Luck every one!

 

[Zingerburger]

3u Cejudo +186
2u D. Ortiz +216
5u Lipski-192
2.5u Bermudez +110
1.5u parlay +329
- Hernandez to win
- Lipski wins by DEC
1.25u Hernandez wins inside distance

 

[Zingerburger]

^ +120 for Hernandez winning ITD

 

[barrygood1]

Barry's ESPN +1 Bets​

1. Belal Muhammad Points +3.5 -125 1U
2. Bermudez/Edwards Fight Doesn't Go To Decision -149 1U
3. Cory Sandhagen Wins Inside Distance -139 1U
4. Alonzo Menfield Wins by TKO/KO -149 1U
5. Calderwood/Lipski U2.5r +205 1U
6. Alexander Hernandez Points -3.5 -115 1U
7. Karl Roberson ML 105 1U
8. Paige Vanzant ML -147 1U
9. Joseph Benevidez Wins By Submission +610 0.5U
10. Yancy Medeiros Wins By TKO/KO +840 0.5U
11. Allen Crowder Win Inside Distance +500 0.5U
12. Henry Cejudo +5.5 -105 1U

Risking 10.5U​

- Barrygood1

 

[edole]

4.2U Alexander Hernandez -185


Let's EAT

 

[Soccer Steve]

Flip-flopped a little here, somewhat expensively so, and I'd like to be transparent. But I need to take this lesson into the future when picking sides. I'm glad I'm not too stubborn because it's saved me before (flipping over to Jones after first picking Gus a recent example) but it's a bad habit I have to work on. And here I am tempted to flip over to PVZ ML, but screw it, WMMA.

Anyways, 3rd time's a charm (sorry about length):

Dillybar ML - 7u for 3.36u
Dilly Rd 3 - 0.3u for 2.8u
Dilly Rd 4 - 0.25u for 3.6u
Dilly Rd 5 - 0.2u for 4.3u
FDNGTD - 1u for 1u

Crowder Rd 1 - 0.25u for 2.1u

Gillespie-Yancyboy
Gill Decision - 2u for 5.6u
Gill ITD - 1u for 0.6u
Gill Submission - 0.5u for 1u
Gill Rd 2 - 0.25u for 1u
FDNGTD - 1u for 0.5u

DustinO ML - 1.25u for 3u
DustinO +3.5 - 2u for 1.3u

Ostovich ML - 1u for 1.3u
PVZ Sub - 0.75u for 3.5u
PVZ Rd 3 - 0.25u for 3.1u
Rach Sub - 0.5u for 3.6u
FDNGTD - 1.5u for 2.5u

Tex ML - 2u for 1.7u
Roberson Decision - 0.25u for 1u
Over 1.5 rounds - 1.5u for 1.25u
Over 2 rounds - 0.75u for 0.9u
FGTD - 0.25u for 0.5u

AHern ML - 4.5u for 2.5u
AHern Decision - 1u for 2u
AHern -3.5 points - 2u for 1.6u

Lipski ML - 3u for 1.5u
Lipski Sub - 0.5u for 2.8u
Lipski ITD - 0.5u for 1.3u
Jojo KO - 0.25u for 3.5u

Moreira ITD - 0.5u for 1.5u
Moreira Sub - 3u for 12u

Bautista ML - 1.5u for 5.9u
Bautista +3.5 points - 0.5u for 1.3u

Belal ML - 1u for 1.5u
Belal Decision - 0.5u for 1.1u
Belal +3.5 points - 1u for 0.83u
Neal KO - 1u for 1.6u
Neal NSC - 3u for 1.2u
Neal ML - 4u for 2.2u
Neal ITD - 1u for 1.6u
Under 2.5 rounds - 1u for 0.8u
Draw - 0.1u for 7u

Te ML - 1u for 1u
Bermudez ML - 2.5u for 2.9u
Bermudez Decision - 0.5u for 1.4u

Stewart ML - 1u for 0.6u

Action Parlay: GG ML + ̶B̶r̶o̶w̶n̶ ̶M̶L̶ + Hardy KO - 1u for <1u


Good luck everyone.

 

[DevilsPt2]

5U Dillashaw -200
3U Hernandez -175
1U Muhammad +170
.5U Bermudez +120
.5U Bautista +400

Going to bet Benavidez eventually but I think a better price is possible. Might play a few props but thats about it.

 

[t6p]

5u Dillashaw -176
0.1u Dillashaw SUB +1300

1u Medeiros +450

1.25u Teixeira -110
0.2u Teixeira DEC +504

2u Cerrone +176
0.5u Cerrone NSC +227

1u Muhammad +168
0.375u Muhammad DEC +429
0.1u Muhammad SUB +1500

 

[hugdeeznuts]

Henry
Hardy in rd 1
Benavidez by dec
Paige
Glover
Hernandez
Lipski by dec
Alonzo itd
Gillespie/Sandhagen
Bermudez
Neal

 

[null]

UFN 143 on ESPN+ 1 Risk $6,716.46

Henry Cejudo (+190) vs T.J. Dillashaw $100.00 for $190.00
Henry Cejudo +5½ points (-105) $105.00 for $100.00
Henry Cejudo/T.J. Dillashaw Over 4½ (-122) $122.00 for $100.00

Greg Hardy/Allen Crowder Under 1½ (-286) $285.71 for $100.00

Gregor Gillespie/Yancy Medeiros Over 1½ (-122) $122.00 for $100.00

Dustin Ortiz (+210) vs Joseph Benavidez $100.00 for $210.00
Dustin Ortiz +3½ points (-165) $165.00 for $100.00

Paige VanZant (-157) vs Rachael Ostovich $314.00 for $200.00
Paige VanZant (-157) vs Rachael Ostovich $314.00 for $200.00
Paige VanZant (-160) vs Rachael Ostovich $320.00 for $200.00
Paige VanZant (-160) vs Rachael Ostovich $320.00 for $200.00
Paige VanZant (-160) vs Rachael Ostovich $320.00 for $200.00
Paige VanZant wins in round 3 (+1400) $15.00 for $210.00

Glover Teixeira (-105) vs Karl Roberson $210.00 for $200.00
Glover Teixeira (-116) vs Karl Roberson $232.56 for $200.00
Glover Teixeira (-120) vs Karl Roberson $240.00 for $200.00
Glover Teixeira (-120) vs Karl Roberson $240.00 for $240.00
Glover Teixeira wins by submission (+285) $50.00 for $142.50
Glover Teixeira wins by submission (+270) $50.00 for $135.00
Glover Teixeira/Karl Roberson Under 1½ (+100) $100.00 for $100.00
Glover Teixeira/Karl Roberson won’t start round 3 (-165) $123.75 for $75.00

Donald Cerrone (+170) vs Alexander Hernandez $200.00 for $340.00
Donald Cerrone wins by submission (+550) $75.00 for $412.50
Alexander Hernandez wins by KO/TKO/DQ (+150) $75.00 for $112.50
Alexander Hernandez wins in round 1 (+300) $75.00 for $225.00
Donald Cerrone wins in round 2 (+900) $20.00 for $180.00
Donald Cerrone wins in round 3 (+1600) $20.00 for $320.000

Ariane Lipski (-185) vs Joanne Calderwood $370.00 for $200.00
Ariane Lipski (-185) vs Joanne Calderwood $370.00 for $200.00
Ariane Lipski wins by TKO/KO (+415) $50.00 for $207.50
Ariane Lipski/Joanne Calderwood Under 2½ (+160) $160.00 for $100.00
Ariane Lipski/Joanne Calderwood Under 2½ (+165) $100.00 for $165.00

Alonzo Menifield (-245) vs Vinicius Moreira $245.00 for $100.00
Alonzo Menifield wins by TKO/KO (-151) $151.00 for $100.00
Alonzo Menifield wins in round 1 (+125) $30.00 for $37.50
Vinicius Moreira wins by submission (+345) $65.00 for $224.25
Alonzo Menifield/Vinicius Moreira Under 1½ (-167) $167.00 for $100.00

Cory Sandhagen wins by TKO/KO (-120) vs Mario Bautista $48.00 for $40.00

Te Edwards (-118) vs Dennis Bermudez $236.00 for $200.00
Te Edwards wins by TKO/KO/DQ (+180) $75.00 for $135.00

Geoff Neal (-175) vs Belal Muhammad $175.44 for $100.00

Kyle Stewart (-160) vs Chance Rencountre $160.00 for $100.00

 

[PolarBearPaulVarelans]

3u on Geoff Neal at -170
0.8u on Belal Muhammad by decision at +385

5u on Lipski at -210

2u on PVZ at -155

 

[nebulousned]

I turned $40 into $54

I would have turned it into $120 if Greg had just won his fight.

FRICK you Greg. I got 8/9 predictions right and you were the one I parlayed with everything. You cost me 70 dollars.

 

[SalvadorAllende]

Damn.. didnt post in this one. Lets see:

Edwards: 1u to win 1.09u
Muhammad: 1u to win 1.23u
Robertson KO: 1u to win 1.6u
Cerrone: 1u to win 1.76u
Cejudo: 1u to win 1.95u

Total: 0.71u

 

[Vir_Ars]

Retard Hardy has to fuck this beautiful thing, that guy was so close to win, and put a DQ... fucking moron

 

[nebulousned]

Retard Hardy has to fuck this beautiful thing, that guy was so close to win, and put a DQ... fucking moron

i feel your pain, Greg ruined, what would have otherwise have been a perfect night, for me too.

 

[Sadistics]

Dillashaw -168 $1000

Hardy -260 $260
Hardy RD1 -157 $500
Hardy/Crowder U1 -185 $925
Hardy/Crowder U1minute +715 $150

Benavidez -231 $750
Benavidez DEC -105 $250

Gillespie -230 $230

Ostovich +155 $150
Ostovich DEC +272 $45
Ostovich/PVZ GTD -200 $250
PVZ RD3 +1400 $20

Roberson +105 $500

Cerrone NSC +172 $150
Cerrone +3.5 -105 $150
Cerrone/Hernandez O1.5 -146 $150

Lipski -190 $750

Menifield/Moreira U1.5 -160 $250

Sandhagen -400 $500
Sandhagen -3.5 -300 $500

Bermudez +110 $100
Bermudez DEC +300 $100

Neal -150 $750
Neal NSC -220 $500
Neal/Muhammad U2.5 +130 $100


Good luck gents, let's start the year off with a bang.

-1780, or 3.5u. Wrote a whole post on why I regretted my TJ bet but still only bought out 1.5k. Was panning out to be a decent night til the Hardy fight. Live and learn. Gz to the winners.

 

[Soccer Steve]

Flip-flopped a little here, somewhat expensively so, and I'd like to be transparent. But I need to take this lesson into the future when picking sides. I'm glad I'm not too stubborn because it's saved me before (flipping over to Jones after first picking Gus a recent example) but it's a bad habit I have to work on. And here I am tempted to flip over to PVZ ML, but screw it, WMMA.

Anyways, 3rd time's a charm (sorry about length):

Dillybar ML - 7u for 3.36u
Dilly Rd 3 - 0.3u for 2.8u
Dilly Rd 4 - 0.25u for 3.6u
Dilly Rd 5 - 0.2u for 4.3u
FDNGTD - 1u for 1u

Crowder Rd 1 - 0.25u for 2.1u

Gillespie-Yancyboy
Gill Decision - 2u for 5.6u
Gill ITD - 1u for 0.6u
Gill Submission - 0.5u for 1u
Gill Rd 2 - 0.25u for 1u
FDNGTD - 1u for 0.5u

DustinO ML - 1.25u for 3u
DustinO +3.5 - 2u for 1.3u

Ostovich ML - 1u for 1.3u
PVZ Sub - 0.75u for 3.5u
PVZ Rd 3 - 0.25u for 3.1u
Rach Sub - 0.5u for 3.6u
FDNGTD - 1.5u for 2.5u

Tex ML - 2u for 1.7u
Roberson Decision - 0.25u for 1u
Over 1.5 rounds - 1.5u for 1.25u
Over 2 rounds - 0.75u for 0.9u
FGTD - 0.25u for 0.5u

AHern ML - 4.5u for 2.5u
AHern Decision - 1u for 2u
AHern -3.5 points - 2u for 1.6u

Lipski ML - 3u for 1.5u
Lipski Sub - 0.5u for 2.8u
Lipski ITD - 0.5u for 1.3u
Jojo KO - 0.25u for 3.5u

Moreira ITD - 0.5u for 1.5u
Moreira Sub - 3u for 12u

Bautista ML - 1.5u for 5.9u
Bautista +3.5 points - 0.5u for 1.3u

Belal ML - 1u for 1.5u
Belal Decision - 0.5u for 1.1u
Belal +3.5 points - 1u for 0.83u
Neal KO - 1u for 1.6u
Neal NSC - 3u for 1.2u
Neal ML - 4u for 2.2u
Neal ITD - 1u for 1.6u
Under 2.5 rounds - 1u for 0.8u
Draw - 0.1u for 7u

Te ML - 1u for 1u
Bermudez ML - 2.5u for 2.9u
Bermudez Decision - 0.5u for 1.4u

Stewart ML - 1u for 0.6u

Action Parlay: GG ML + ̶B̶r̶o̶w̶n̶ ̶M̶L̶ + Hardy KO - 1u for <1u


Good luck everyone.

Time to rip the band-aid off while it's fresh and eat some crow - so wrong on Hernandez, Moreira (although I still don't hate my play there), Lipski (don't hate that either just went too heavy), Glover's fight going long, Ortiz, Dillashaw.

Slaughtered.

Lost every fight badly except for Bermudez, PVZ, and Crowder. Even my correct picks on Neal and Glover were still loses. Way too much scatter on my bets. Thankfully I decided to chase a bit on PVZ sub (giant win there, saved me from an even more horrific night), Ortiz, Crowder/Over 1 round/Crowder live, and Gillespie. Ended up -26u and that could've been much worse. @ill800 said it, that there was too much time to think before this event, and I think I definitely fell victim to that too. I don't have a single wager placed for the Feb. 2 event and I'm going to take a week before getting into that one.

Reset, live and learn.