UFN 125 - Anders vs Machida - Brazil

[Agent Mulder]

I dont think Prazeres has to wrestle imo he's the better striker. Worst possible scenario is he keeps going for TDs and gets stuffed and gas himself out which could happen but i find it unlikely. I think he wins round 1 and 2 and Greens low finishing ability will hurt him.

 

[Sham5916910]

Mhmmm I just don't see the fight in Dodson anymore and I feel like he's been figured out and hasn't evolved at all combined with at the higher weight class his power is non existent
And I do like Pedro a lot
Prazeres is a little risky I'll admit but I fully see him grinding two round easy to get the decision
The price is decent
Roll the dice

I get you re Dodson but Pedro blocks punches with his face. That shits gonna catch up with him before long.

 

[t6p]

Really?
I've been waiting for an opportunity to fade Dodson for a while

He was the favorite against both Lineker and Moraes, who in my opinion were tougher matchups for him than Munhoz is.

Take it for what it's worth (I need to see it before I'll believe it), but he is saying the right things going into this fight: http://www.ufc.com/news/Dodson-is-fired-up-and-frustrated

“If (the judges) don’t like me being evasive, I guess I’m just going to have to stand in the pocket and bang it out,” said Dodson, happy to reveal his plan of attack. “I know that sounds weird, but I’m going to sit there and stay on my toes.

“We’ve seen that he has a phenomenal guillotine choke, but that seems to be the only place he can win a fight,” he said of Munhoz. “He can’t win it by striking with anybody and he can’t outstrike me because I’m faster, I hit harder and my movement is going to be way better than his, so if the only factor that is going to decide it is that he walks forward, I need to make him change directions from him going forward to him going backwards.

“I see him really trying to take me down and if he can’t take me down, he’s going to try to snap up a guillotine, but he’s not going to be able to stay in the pocket or just stand and bang with me,” he added. “Him trading with me would be the worst decision he’s ever made in his entire life because I will force him to make a mistake and jump on it.”

 

[t6p]

I dont think Prazeres has to wrestle imo he's the better striker. Worst possible scenario is he keeps going for TDs and gets stuffed and gas himself out which could happen but i find it unlikely. I think he wins round 1 and 2 and Greens low finishing ability will hurt him.

I don't know man, I think Green might be able to employ a similar gameplan to what Lazaro did against Prazeres here. At the worst, I think Green is going to make him work hard for any takedowns he does get and he's likely going to gas, at which point Green should be able to stay on the outside and use his footwork to outstrike him. Maybe even land some takedowns of his own.

Either way, I think this is likely going to decision and it's probably going to be razor close. For those reasons, I'm considering small plays on Green and Green decision.

 

[danareem]

I don't know man, I think Green might be able to employ a similar gameplan to what Lazaro did against Prazeres here. At the worst, I think Green is going to make him work hard for any takedowns he does get and he's likely going to gas, at which point Green should be able to stay on the outside and use his footwork to outstrike him. Maybe even land some takedowns of his own.

Either way, I think this is likely going to decision and it's probably going to be razor close. For those reasons, I'm considering small plays on Green and Green decision.

I think Green decision is a good bet, only problem is that Belem is Prazeres hometown.... that's why I took Tractor decision +149
Now Tractor looked terrible vs. Burnell but I do expect him to start strong like he always does, and win the first round, the remaining rounds will be close imo

 

[t6p]

I think Green decision is a good bet, only problem is that Belem is Prazeres hometown.... that's why I took Tractor decision +149
Now Tractor looked terrible vs. Burnell but I do expect him to start strong like he always does, and win the first round, the remaining rounds will be close imo

@iGnP posted an interesting statistic regarding favoritism of judges in Brazil: http://forums.sherdog.com/threads/ufn-125-anders-vs-machida-brazil.3700981/page-5#post-138088277

 

[MT6ix]

Can you guys think, that Munhoz can take the decision aganist Dodson? He loves pressuring his opponents and the fight is in Brasil, so maybe the judges can easily favour him.

If you look back at the Russell Doane and Justin Scoggins fight, Pedro Munhoz has problems dealings with southpaws. Russell Doane was piecing him up in the fight and Justin Scoggins when he switched to a southpaw stance, also had a lot of success. John Dodson's straight left is going to land and Pedro Munhoz doesn't really have any head movement. Dodson's speed is going to give Munhoz problems.

At the same time, if the fight goes to the scorecards, it will look really close because Dodson has periods of inactivity.

 

[Gugabe]

If you look back at the Russell Doane and Justin Scoggins fight, Pedro Munhoz has problems dealings with southpaws. Russell Doane was piecing him up on the fight and Justin Scoggins when he switched to a southpaw stance, also had a lot of success. John Dodson's straight left is going to land and Pedro Munhoz doesn't really have any head movement. Dodson's speed is going to give Munhoz problems.

At the same time, if the fight goes to the scorecards, it will look really close because Dodson has periods of inactivity.

Yeah. I'm feeling this is either going to be a KO1 for Dodson or Dodson's third straight contentious split decision. I bet on Munhoz to upset Font, but that fight was all Font till Munhoz caught him with a hook and managed to dive on the finish. I think Dodson's just too disciplined for him, and Munhoz's best shot at winning is either an epic brainfart from Dodson or Dodson choosing to throw fuck all volume.

 

[hawk77]

im already 3 units deep on dodson at -142. watched munhoz against font and came away very confident in dodson. Like everyone else fear his lack of volume and bias judges

 

[Wiktoruspro]

Im changing my mind, there are no locks in this event But I like
Thiago Santos
Marlon Vera
Polyana Viana
Alan Patrick ??? He can grind a decision, Damir was lucky with Held.
Joseph Morales is a cool dog too, Deveison should lose his last fight and his tdd sucks. Morales can win this on the ground

 

[Card]

^ Does Morales have a history of a takedown heavy gameplan?

 

[Card]

 

[Sham5916910]

Im changing my mind, there are no locks in this event But I like
Thiago Santos
Marlon Vera
Polyana Viana
Alan Patrick ??? He can grind a decision, Damir was lucky with Held.
Joseph Morales is a cool dog too, Deveison should lose his last fight and his tdd sucks. Morales can win this on the ground

Brooks is a great wrestler and Fig got up every time. Morales is as weak as piss and Fig has excellent body lock td's and is a strong fly.

 

[Card]

Will have the mustache for the fight, someone donated $3500, glad to have all my coaches here, it went public accidentally, UFC is priming Golm up, he has fast hands, he moves forward, we'll meet in the middle, training at Xtreme Couture

 

[Card]

7 week camp, cut weight, ready to go, hard to fight at home, alot of friends and family here, have to control mentally, I got here last week, I know this weather very well, stay away from my family, interviewer asks about changed camps and corners (no Rafael Cordeiro), alot of people helped me for this fight, but I decided to bring other guys, still train at Kings MMA, I'm used to fight undefeated fighters, I just give my best

 

[Card]

My wife is Brazilian (3 years), she told me to quit my job and focus 100% on MMA, I love the pressure, I hope they are loud, he's stylistically different from anyone I've fought, I can get win on the feet, ground and decision, trained with Wonderboy, I love fighting in Brazil, I want to fight here again

 

[Card]

I've traveled here before, was training in Texas, we came early, I feel good, I'm 130, no one wanted to accept a fight with me, I wanted to fight early in the year, I will do everything to finish fight early, I will destroy, happy to fight in my real weight class, after fighting here I will have my revenge with Nunes

 

[Card]

Don't leave it in the judges hand anymore, believe that I can stay in the pocket, my punching power is still there, but guys up here are the best, elusive, I'm fast, I will tag him, I couldn't make 125 again

 

[Wiktoruspro]

Michel Prazeres looks like a mini Werdum

 

[Wiktoruspro]

I like Desmond, he has good wrestling and a gas tank for 3 rounds (rewatched his fight with Khabilov)