UFC on ESPN 3 Jacare vs Hermansson Official Bets
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3u Jacare -160
2u Jacare ITD -137
0.1u Jacare KO R1 +2000
0.1u Jacare KO R2 +2500
0.1u Jacare KO R3 +5000
0.2u Smoliakov R1 +900
0.5u Under 0.5 +200
2u Cutelaba +100
0.5u Cutelaba R1 KO +350
0.3u Cutelaba R2 KO +850
1u Under 1.5 -110
4u Lineker -137
2.5u Arlovski +125
0.5u Arlovski Dec +240
3u McGee -120
3u Hill -300
2u Hill + Roberts -139
0.4u Hill KO +800
0.1u Hill KO R3 +2500
1.5u Jandiroba +110
0.5u Jandiroba Dec +220
1.5u Cowboy Oliveira -160
1u Over 1.5 -110
0.5u FGTD +250
0.5u Saunders ML +185
0.2u Davis KO +500
0.3u Davis KO or Dec +260
0.5u Gonzales ML +130
2u Jacare ITD -137
0.1u Jacare KO R1 +2000
0.1u Jacare KO R2 +2500
0.1u Jacare KO R3 +5000
0.2u Smoliakov R1 +900
0.5u Under 0.5 +200
2u Cutelaba +100
0.5u Cutelaba R1 KO +350
0.3u Cutelaba R2 KO +850
1u Under 1.5 -110
4u Lineker -137
2.5u Arlovski +125
0.5u Arlovski Dec +240
3u McGee -120
3u Hill -300
2u Hill + Roberts -139
0.4u Hill KO +800
0.1u Hill KO R3 +2500
1.5u Jandiroba +110
0.5u Jandiroba Dec +220
1.5u Cowboy Oliveira -160
1u Over 1.5 -110
0.5u FGTD +250
0.5u Saunders ML +185
0.2u Davis KO +500
0.3u Davis KO or Dec +260
0.5u Gonzales ML +130
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Cutelaba -139 $500
Lineker -135 $570
Arlovski +130 $100
McGee -117 $1500
Gonzalez +140 $100
Esquibel +165 $250
Haven't taped Gonzalez or Arlovski yet but those lines seem generous. Holding out for a better Lineker line before adding.
Lineker -135 $570
Arlovski +130 $100
McGee -117 $1500
Gonzalez +140 $100
Esquibel +165 $250
Haven't taped Gonzalez or Arlovski yet but those lines seem generous. Holding out for a better Lineker line before adding.
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I've been a bit lazy and haven't posted bets lately, will try to do better! I'm not in love with too many spots on this card. So far I have:
Lineker @1.68, 2u
Souza @1.60, 4u
Hardy @1.37, 5u (After having lost money betting Hardy against Crowder, I feel like a bit of an idiot betting him again. He showed a lack of experience against Crowder, but, even though he was slowing down, he was winning that fight. With less jitters, I just can't see him lose to Smolakov. I figure that the odds are closer than they should be because people who bet Hardy last time will be hesitant to do so again)
Having heard Schaub hype Sandhagen on several occasions, saying something like "guys, if you want to make some money bet on this kid", I knew I was going to try to make some dollars betting against him. This seems like the time to do it! Starting halfway, hoping for the line to improve (if casual bettors heed Schaub's advice, some money might come in on Sandhagen closer to the fight).
I'm very tempted to bet Virna Jandiroba as a dog, but all the biases seem to line up the wrong way (Esperza being dominated and finished in her last fight, Jandiroba being undefeated).
Lineker @1.68, 2u
Souza @1.60, 4u
Hardy @1.37, 5u (After having lost money betting Hardy against Crowder, I feel like a bit of an idiot betting him again. He showed a lack of experience against Crowder, but, even though he was slowing down, he was winning that fight. With less jitters, I just can't see him lose to Smolakov. I figure that the odds are closer than they should be because people who bet Hardy last time will be hesitant to do so again)
Having heard Schaub hype Sandhagen on several occasions, saying something like "guys, if you want to make some money bet on this kid", I knew I was going to try to make some dollars betting against him. This seems like the time to do it! Starting halfway, hoping for the line to improve (if casual bettors heed Schaub's advice, some money might come in on Sandhagen closer to the fight).
I'm very tempted to bet Virna Jandiroba as a dog, but all the biases seem to line up the wrong way (Esperza being dominated and finished in her last fight, Jandiroba being undefeated).
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Hermansion £30 for £75
Lineker £10 for £16
Glover £10 for £22
Sakai £10 for £16
Brazilian Cowboy £5 for £7.50
Jandiroba £5 for £10
Bought out of my play on Ion, he has shit take down defence, gasses hard after a round and has no ground game. If Glover can survive the first 3/4 minutes he kills Ion with the grappling and ground game.
Lineker £10 for £16
Glover £10 for £22
Sakai £10 for £16
Brazilian Cowboy £5 for £7.50
Jandiroba £5 for £10
Bought out of my play on Ion, he has shit take down defence, gasses hard after a round and has no ground game. If Glover can survive the first 3/4 minutes he kills Ion with the grappling and ground game.
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Where tf did you get those odds??
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I'm in the UK, that return includes stake
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Can we go back to a more standardised way of posting bets again?
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Hermansson ML - 2u for 2.73u (+135/+160)
Ion ML - 2.5u for 1.66u (-147/-155)
Virna ML - 3u for 3.3u (+110)
Lineker ML - 3u for 2.03u (-145/-150/-155)
Gonzalez ML - 1.5u for 1.95u (+130)
Looking hard at Perry and McGee (probably missed the boat on Court).
Really want to bet against Hardy and Saunders but odds.
Probably going to lose money on Arlovski if he widens a little more as a dog.
Misplayed Hermansson. Paid to have a lesson in line movement and openers, I can reason with myself. Should've just left it to livebet.
Ion ML - 2.5u for 1.66u (-147/-155)
Virna ML - 3u for 3.3u (+110)
Lineker ML - 3u for 2.03u (-145/-150/-155)
Gonzalez ML - 1.5u for 1.95u (+130)
Looking hard at Perry and McGee (probably missed the boat on Court).
Really want to bet against Hardy and Saunders but odds.
Probably going to lose money on Arlovski if he widens a little more as a dog.
Misplayed Hermansson. Paid to have a lesson in line movement and openers, I can reason with myself. Should've just left it to livebet.
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5u parlay
Rory Mac + Hill/Esquibel FGTD @ -145
1.4u John Lineker to win 1u
Jacare + Roberts parlay - 2.5u to win 2u
MacDonald + hill/esquibel GTD + miller/gonzalez FDGTD + Roberts + Lineker + Jacare parlay
.75u to win 4.5u
Roberts + MacDonald + hill/esquibel GTD parlay 1.5u to win 1.4u
Rory Mac + Hill/Esquibel FGTD @ -145
1.4u John Lineker to win 1u
Jacare + Roberts parlay - 2.5u to win 2u
MacDonald + hill/esquibel GTD + miller/gonzalez FDGTD + Roberts + Lineker + Jacare parlay
.75u to win 4.5u
Roberts + MacDonald + hill/esquibel GTD parlay 1.5u to win 1.4u
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4u Jacare
1.25u Glover
Looking at Burns & Lineker for potential plays + waiting for some props
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$50/$380.50
Utah +3 win
Denver -245 win
San Jose -112 win
Ion Cutelaba -143
$256/$200
Golden state -550
Esquibel/hill starts round 3
Esparza/Jandiroba round 3
Utah +3 win
Denver -245 win
San Jose -112 win
Ion Cutelaba -143
$256/$200
Golden state -550
Esquibel/hill starts round 3
Esparza/Jandiroba round 3
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$20 on jacare to win $30
$20 on Hardy to win $28
$30 on Arlovski to win $66
Edit:
Added:
$20 on Lineker to win $33.40
$20 on McGee to win $36.00
$20 on Hardy to win $28
$30 on Arlovski to win $66
Edit:
Added:
$20 on Lineker to win $33.40
$20 on McGee to win $36.00
Last edited:
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Hermansson ML - 2u for 2.73u (+135/+160)
Hardy ML - 5u for 1.89u (-265)
Ion ML - 3u for 2.01u (-140/-147/-155)
Virna ML - 3u for 3.3u (+110)
Arlovski ML - 1u for 1.2u (+120)
Lineker ML - 4u for 2.8u (-130/-145/-150/-155)
Gonzalez ML - 1.5u for 1.95u (+130)
Perry ML - 1.5u for 2.45u (+160/+165)
Sato ML - 2u for 0.95u (-210)
Musaev (KSW) + Hardy - 2u for 1.44u
7u on Hardy lol. Whatever, he's winning. But I still might buy down on that, was my plan all along anyways.
Hardy ML - 5u for 1.89u (-265)
Ion ML - 3u for 2.01u (-140/-147/-155)
Virna ML - 3u for 3.3u (+110)
Arlovski ML - 1u for 1.2u (+120)
Lineker ML - 4u for 2.8u (-130/-145/-150/-155)
Gonzalez ML - 1.5u for 1.95u (+130)
Perry ML - 1.5u for 2.45u (+160/+165)
Sato ML - 2u for 0.95u (-210)
Musaev (KSW) + Hardy - 2u for 1.44u
7u on Hardy lol. Whatever, he's winning. But I still might buy down on that, was my plan all along anyways.
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Going to be on just about all these except I'm passing on the women bouts and I don't have the guts to play 2019 Arlovski, even though he's actually way more accomplished at doing certain things now than he was 15 some odd years ago, which is absolutely bizarre, but here we are.
Not buying the Sandhagen hype though?
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The Prince of War - 3U -290
Ion 2U -115
Roosevelt 3U -350
Lineker 1U -135
Jacare 3U -175
Rory Mac 1U -360
Wanna go on macfarlan too but thats odds dependant
Ion 2U -115
Roosevelt 3U -350
Lineker 1U -135
Jacare 3U -175
Rory Mac 1U -360
Wanna go on macfarlan too but thats odds dependant
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Added
2u on Hardy R1 -110
.5u Perry R1 +450
.5u parlay Hardy, Souza, Perry, Esparza
.5u parlay Souza ITD, Hardy ITD, Saunders/sato DNGTD
.5u Esparza ITD +1010
.5u Esparza Dec +125
Most uncertain about Perry. Hardy R1 at -110 feels like almost like a cheap money line. So far he’s either won 1st rd or lost lol.
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