UFC Fox 23 - Pena vs Shevchenko - Denver

[Basek]

I did some research and there is alof of negativity amongst sharps when it comes to curacao licenses.

I also dont trust poles when it comes to gambling, I get that ruski vibe and russians are known to rip bettors off

As a Pole I have same feeling that gambling here is running by specific group of people xD so feel ya totally.

 

[weedreference]

It means some of them lines are completely off some insane value on some of them lines

The lines don't look bad to me, and the spreads are massive. I wouldn't risk it, but I also wouldn't be surprised if it's legit.

 

[rille31]

As a Pole I have same feeling that gambling here is running by specific group of people xD so feel ya totally.

bro my mom is polish so I know what you mean

here is a another site that was powered by the same engine/license

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...52-didnt-proceed-my-payout-after-3-weeks.html

also this one

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/spo...ortsbook-accuses-player-unfair-tactics-70761/

basically mirror sites

 

[Card]

 

[rille31]

took spiceboy +115

I like his fight iq, he knows he has to grapple and really dont fuck around with the striking and just sticks to you like glue

 

[Rasdun]

I said this a few pages back, Shev is gonna dominate after one or two rounds. Pena has terrible striking and Shev imo is the future champ of the division.

Well done for taking he time to write this well thought out post.

if that's the case, might it be smart to livebetting after round 1. If Pena wins Rd 1, Shev could be +175-225

 

[LEMONZEST]

I wanted a straight play on Jordan but mulling over what to do now cos of his price. I'm considering throwing Ngannou in with him if he stays at his current price but better judgement is telling me not to throw Ngannou in.

Or might just have it large on live bet!

Yeah the thing is AA has tight boxing and all it takes is one overhand right or big uppercut to end this fight. Ngannou is clearly the right side but I would not want to risk 5u with him in a parlay.

 

[vkram]

I said this a few pages back, Shev is gonna dominate after one or two rounds. Pena has terrible striking and Shev imo is the future champ of the division.

Well done for taking he time to write this well thought out post.

Why do you think so? If Pena gets the early takedowns she can beat up Shev pretty badly on the ground (might even finish it). Pena never should poor cardio either, although its a question mark to how well she will adapt to elevation whilst Shev has spent a lot of time there already.

 

[Joseph Budden]

Jorge "The River" Masvidal

 

[Officer_Brown]

After rewatching Sterling vs Caraway i'm very confident Aljo dec is the right play here. Would not touch RA

You've gotta pressure a guy like Aljo to take away the open space and range he likes to work at. RA is not very good at pressuring at all, seems to like to counter punch in the pocket when his opponent makes a move. Thats not gonna work here. Aljo is much faster, he has some adept footwork, great range awareness which was frustrating Caraway, and a fairly deep arsenal of attacks. RA has combos in the pocket and some OK wrestling. Not sure thats enough to overcome Aljo, ESPECIALLY if he doesn't get tired. Thats my biggest concern here.

Even expecting Aljo to get the better of the wrestling. He looked much slicker in the clinch and grappling than Caraway before gassing. The 3rd round he was real tired and tried some weird shoulder crank which resulted in him getting taken down. Expect a great prospect with a great camp behind him to not make such a dumb mistake ever again, even if he gets tired.

So yeah. Pretty surprised it seems like i'm the only one on Aljo. Might even add to his decision line if it goes past +200 again

At first I had Rafa with a small edge. But after some research and this forum posts i am starting to like Aljamain too. Don't like how RA shows middle finger to altitude. team AS have a smart camp in new york with ray longo in charge. i bet they have figured out a way to beat RA. I mean.. RA will be 35 soon. You have to slow down at some point... Last year I made too many mistakes betting on old fucks who were about to face great prospects. And I know that you know what that means if we both like an underdog....

 

[LEMONZEST]

Why do you think so? If Pena gets the early takedowns she can beat up Shev pretty badly on the ground (might even finish it). Pena never should poor cardio either, although its a question mark to how well she will adapt to elevation whilst Shev has spent a lot of time there already.

Totally impossible for me to back Pena after she decided to ignore the elevation and the fact that Shev has trained at elevation. I will be on Shev for about 3u and put a bit on Pena r1. I do think Pena can finish in r1 but after that Shev takes over - assuming she survives.

 

[Officer_Brown]

Da mother fucking fuck????????? Jordan is favorite over Frankenstein. Seriously how these bookies know? damn it i wished we would get a great underdog price in Jordan. Fucking fucks!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! damn im so pissed.

 

[Officer_Brown]

Hey expert bettors.. write your opinion here: http://forums.sherdog.com/threads/w...on-viewable-only-for-registred-users.3456373/
@Joseph Budden @Sham5916910 @MMA Gambling Expert @Card @LEMONZEST @Basek @EzFlyer @iGnP @Oblivian @rille31 @AfterEffect @t6p @Jae Gibbz @Ukram @Agent Mulder etc

 

[Agent Mulder]

Da mother fucking fuck????????? Jordan is favorite over Frankenstein. Seriously how these bookies know? damn it i wished we would get a great underdog price in Jordan. Fucking fucks!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! damn im so pissed.

That tends to happen when a fighter gets hyped in here by several people before lines are out.

 

[MMA Gambling Expert]

Masvidal is the most enticing dog on the card for me, he definitely has all the skills to beat Cowboy. I think he needs to pressure Cowboy and put him on the back foot to win this fight. Typically Masvidal is a counter striker but when we've seen glimpse of him being the aggressor he's looked effective. He's been more aggressive in recent fights because of his issues with the judges, I just hope he continues to have a more aggressive style because I think he needs it here.

 

[Officer_Brown]

That tends to happen when a fighter gets hyped in here by several people before lines are out.

Holy shit should we be fucking quiet until lines are out? next time im gonna hype the shit out of brian camozzi and lets see what bookies do. fuckin frogs.

 

[LEMONZEST]

That tends to happen when a fighter gets hyped in here by several people before lines are out.

Nah

 

[Agent Mulder]

Holy shit should we be fucking quiet until lines are out? next time im gonna hype the shit out of brian camozzi and lets see what bookies do. fuckin frogs.

Yeah we should

 

[piglord]

didn't one of the posters here say that he had a friend who worked for kalikas, and scanning threads like this was part of his job?

i was hoping the news about frankenstein arriving to denver late would go under the radar.

 

[Agent Mulder]

Nah

Goodfella confirmed that they check this thread. Dont remember his source tho.