UFC FN 267: Strickland vs. Hernandez

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I'll be in Vegas for this card, but won't make any bets until Saturday morning.

My early picks:
  • Hernandez
  • Neal
  • Ige/Costa dunno
  • Spivac/Delija dunno
  • Smith/Harrell dunno
  • Reese/Pereira dunno
  • Njokuani/Leal R1 KO & U1.5
  • Idris
  • Coria
  • Edwards
  • Brahimaj/Soriano dunno
  • Rowe/Lebosnoyani
  • del Valle
  • Judice
 
I already played Reese at dog odds. Straight fade on Pereira. I don't think Reese is anything special but at least he's hungry and fully invested. Michel looks like he doesn't even wanna be in there anymore. I think Fluffy took his soul. Getting KO'd so easily by Daukus is a bad look too.
 
Strickland at +250 seems insane for the sheer fact he doesn’t have shit cardio like most of Fluffy’s opponents. If Strickland can get his body kicks going Fluffy has been hurt to the body in seemingly most of his fights as well.
My logic is that both guys march down their opponents and break them with pressure.
Strickland with striking, and Fluffy with striking and grappling.
My logic is that both will collide and we'll see far more grappling which should favor Fluffy.
 
I would like to bet Rowe at these odds considering his massive size advantage and experience level as well but My God he can be so inactive in the first round and just refuses to use his reach advantage against smaller opponents, but 1-3 in his last four hoping that lights a fire under him.
 
Strickland at +250 seems insane for the sheer fact he doesn’t have shit cardio like most of Fluffy’s opponents. If Strickland can get his body kicks going Fluffy has been hurt to the body in seemingly most of his fights as well.
agreed. this should +175 max. I may make a small wager on Strickland.
 
One thing to consider while hes looked dominant hes been fighting non elite competion. And if he were to beat top guys hed be a wrestler heavy top guy that isnt a Russian. Dont see those every day
 
I like Fluffy to win and get 2+ TDs in round 5 at +350 as an alternative to Fluffy by DEC at +150.

If the fight gets to R5 he should get an early TD on Strickland, who will get up eventually, before being taken down again
 
Phil Rowe was the only fighter to miss weight. He weighed 172 pounds.

I'd be worried if I were betting him. 1 pound over is that gray area where he clearly tried to make weight, but couldn't cut the last pound for whatever reason.
 
Phil Rowe was the only fighter to miss weight. He weighed 172 pounds.

I'd be worried if I were betting him. 1 pound over is that gray area where he clearly tried to make weight, but couldn't cut the last pound for whatever reason.
Also relatively short notice.
 
Phil Rowe was the only fighter to miss weight. He weighed 172 pounds.

I'd be worried if I were betting him. 1 pound over is that gray area where he clearly tried to make weight, but couldn't cut the last pound for whatever reason.

Am I missing something? He ended up making weight. I'm guessing a miscalculation on their part.
 
Im going big in Strickland, never will be confident in a guy that have a weak body, Fluffy have been finished many times by body shots and strickland love body shots, Teeps to the plexus? game over.
 
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