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UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by Card, Nov 12, 2021.

  1. Kamais_Ookin Silver Belt

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    grant is the much better play imo, i don't understand either.
     
  2. Captain Chesapeake Brown Belt

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    Much better. grant can take the wrestling route, which is what I’m expecting

    calderwood just punches air. People looking at her stats to cap fights will be very disappointed if they watch her vs santos.

    also a strong possibility santos takes her down and beats her up for a few rounds. Jojo not good on the ground


    I’m kind of coming around on tate. Should’ve hopped on her at +150. I definitely favor her in a 5 rounder. Have an itd bet on her and will play late round props. Likely a live bet scenario but may end up on the ml before the fight
     
    Last edited: Nov 20, 2021
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  3. UFCIsNOTRigged Brown Belt

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    I have see a few other posters expressing similar disbelief at the Calderwood/Santos line. Santos fights are boring, repetitive, and one sided; just generally hard to sit through. She is though not only deserving of her current price but I expect she will close near -500 because of her demonstrated ability and the stylistic matchup.

    Santos is the significantly more powerful striker? I don't think anyone who has watched her and Joannes fights would dispute that. I find Santos to be a better technical striker than Calderwood despite her low volume, some will disagree, but certainly neither woman has an appreciable technical striking advantage on the feet to sway the fight in their favor.

    Santos is a very dominant grappler despite her lack of submissions. She has taken every single one of her opponents down and has an 86% takedown accuracy.

    Far and away her best skill though is her ability to control her opponents. She has averaged nearly eight minutes of control time per fight and three of her four UFC opponents have been very strong grapplers (Modaferri, Robertson, Borella).

    Santos it goes without saying is very physically strong, a good wrestler, which makes its hard to envision Calderwood (the former SW) not spending the entire fight on her back.

    Calderwood is a poor defensive grappler and Santos aggressively hunts the crucifix and has come close to locking it up a few times. I think she gets it this time and potentially KOs Calderwood in the first round.

    Calderwood appears outmatched everywhere which is why the line is so high. Obviously anything can happen but in this instance I would say a Calderwood bet is akin to lighting your money on fire. The price is high so I understand not betting it, but betting Calderwood given the stylistic matchup is something that I would strongly implore you or anyone to rethink.
     
  4. The Disasters White Belt

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    Man, I wish they'd let me parlay those types of bets! I can only use money line and totals in parlays and I'm limited to 250 on the "win by X" bets. Tossing a few +400ish plays into a round robing would make for some great hits.
     
  5. svmr_db Brown Belt

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    McKinney vs Ziam is off

     
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  6. guesswhoseback Purple Belt

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    WOW WHAT A CROCK OF SHIT WHY DID THE CASINO LET ME PLACE MY BET ON ZIAM IF FIGHT WAS CANCELLED THATS GONNA KILL A LOT OF MY PARLAYS I BET
     
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  7. svmr_db Brown Belt

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    News only came out not too long ago, books usually don't react to fight cancellations the day of too quickly.

    What time did you place the bets?
     
  8. guesswhoseback Purple Belt

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    2 hours ago im not mad about my single bet on Ziam im more mad about my parlays because I alwalys place my parlays to win at least 500$ and since there random parlays id bet a majority of them have either the over or 1 of the 2 fighters
     
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  9. sonhow Silver Belt

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    Well there goes my only strong lean

    [​IMG]
     
  10. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Have they pushed the start time?
     
  11. Thesnake101 Think about it, it worth it.

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    Do they not make the Ziam fight a push in that case? That's what happens whenever one of the fights in my parlay gets nixed.
     
  12. Broe. Brown Belt

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    Probably
    It will just be DC talking for an extra half hour at the start time.
     
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  13. steeldragon Green Belt

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    125 on pinheiro by ko at 5/1
    100 on Tate rnd 4 at 31/1
    100 on Tate rnd 5 at 31/1
     
  14. guesswhoseback Purple Belt

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    Ya thats what happens but they make us wait 8 days for the payout in case the fight gets reschduled within the 7 days not just rescheduled but if they fight the single bet I will get my money right away. I dont care about the push I care that each one of my parlays were purposely made for at least a 500$ payout now if 1 hits it could possible be less depedning on how much the ticket is for
     
  15. PuertoRican Gold Belt

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  16. Thesnake101 Think about it, it worth it.

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    That's messed up, shady as fuck.
     
  17. Post 2 Decision Gold Belt

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    @UFCIsNOTRigged

    Keep making shit up about me, I'll keep telling the truth about you

    [​IMG]
     
  18. UFCIsNOTRigged Brown Belt

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    Making shit up?

    You wrote Santos was dogshit, I wrote she would KO Calderwood in the first round which she nearly did.

    Maybe watch the fights next time instead of wiki-capping?
     
  19. Post 2 Decision Gold Belt

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    I asked "What am I missing?"
    I never said her striking was dogshit, like you claimed.

    You got 1 right, congrats bro. Keep it up.
     
  20. GoldenWolf87 Black Belt

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    Hope the UFC finds a way to rebook that fight next year. To bad. I had a small bet on it for ITD.
     

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