UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2

[B.Goetz]

UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 | MMA Event | Tapology

UFC Fight Night took place Saturday, August 10, 2024 with 10 fights at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. View fight card, video, results, predictions, and news.

www.tapology.com

Danny Barlow's opponent, Nikolay Veretennikov. No wrestling threat, 5" reach disadvantage.

 

[Marko Atanasovik]

Tybura will survive first rounds and knock him out later.

Guitterez by calf, kicks another good match up for him.

Zalal backpack every round or RNC.

There will be KO via backfist, a fortune teller tell to me.

 

[Stat_Collector]

Some spots worth rewatching/studying tape

Gutierrez, Filho, Jackson, Kianzad , Santos/Chandler , Kazama, Veretinikov, Diniz

 

[mkess101]

UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 | MMA Event | Tapology

UFC Fight Night took place Saturday, August 10, 2024 with 10 fights at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. View fight card, video, results, predictions, and news.

www.tapology.com

Danny Barlow's opponent, Nikolay Veretennikov. No wrestling threat, 5" reach disadvantage.

Barlow has great hand speed and power. Slick striker. Good athlete. Gotta look at the opponent more but KO for Danny seems likely again.

 

[Georges Hefner]

9th profitable event in a row loading

THIS IS A UNDERDOG CARD

THESE ARE THE BEST UNDERDOGS:

1. Tybura (+105)
2. Diniz (+185)
3. Vererinnikov (+250)
4. Jackson (+200)
5. Gutierrez (+200)

 

[Stat_Collector]

Barlow has great hand speed and power. Slick striker. Good athlete. Gotta look at the opponent more but KO for Danny seems likely again.

short notice too for Veritinikov, longer reach for Barlow.

Big problem i have with Barlow is that he doesn't do anything better than Veritinikov skill wise.

He just has better attributes, like speed ,younger, stamina. Veritinikov can get gassy in round 3. Experience wise, Veritinikov has a sanda background and started mma much earlier (2012). Barlow is 29 years old, started mma in 2019 after watching the creed movie.

(When i say start i mean their first match not training.)

If you remember the plot of Creed, he starts off working a regular desk job and decides to get into boxing. I think that is how Barlow likely got into mma in his early 20's. I dont know if he has any other background besides mma training, i suspect a potential wrestling background.

I took a tally of all the ups Barlow has or pros they both have.

I have Barlow at -170

-300 way over price. Dog or pass but I think playing Veritinikov is a bit of a degen play , short notice and he is older and slower. But he is heavy handed so gotta be careful betting against him, he gave Morales a decent fight. And years of Sanda adds up in experience.

 

[mkess101]

Man I looked at Barlow yesterday and I swear he was like -220 or something. I wouldn't play his ML where it is now. I think he probably finds a KO so maybe his KO or itd line, have to see what they are.

 

[Stat_Collector]

Man I looked at Barlow yesterday and I swear he was like -220 or something. I wouldn't play his ML where it is now. I think he probably finds a KO so maybe his KO or itd line, have to see what they are.

Veritinikov has a decent chin. Barlow last ko was late against a smaller guy, i dont think it's likely. I think both guys also like to counter punch and pick their shots. Morales also is a heavy hitter, he never had Veritinikov in trouble.

 

[FimbulFightPicks]

Think there may be some small value on Santos at 1.80

 

[mkess101]

Veritinikov has a decent chin. Barlow last ko was late against a smaller guy, i dont think it's likely. I think both guys also like to counter punch and pick their shots. Morales also is a heavy hitter, he never had Veritinikov in trouble.

Barlow just seems to have that "it" to me but I gotta look at it more before do anything.

 

[Stat_Collector]

Barlow just seems to have that "it" to me but I gotta look at it more before do anything.

yeah i think he likely gets it but who knows. This fight has enough danger to where he could lose by a technicality, like an injury, a point deduction, a dq. Whenever you have two heavy punchers, chaos happens. what if he ends up becoming another Montel Jackson? Where he has potential but suffers a few losses along the way. Another example could be like a Jailin Turner, where he will be a top 15 one day but suffers a few bumps in the road.

Any who i'm rambling a bit. I'm just passing.

 

[Georges Hefner]

Wheres all the haters who made fun of me for picking Robelis Despaigne?

Im now on a 8 event consecutive winning streak. I was able to buy my mom a house with the winnings. Paid off my car. And soon I’m getting married to Dakota Ditcheva

 

[Goodfella86]

short notice too for Veritinikov, longer reach for Barlow.

Big problem i have with Barlow is that he doesn't do anything better than Veritinikov skill wise.

He just has better attributes, like speed ,younger, stamina. Veritinikov can get gassy in round 3. Experience wise, Veritinikov has a sanda background and started mma much earlier (2012). Barlow is 29 years old, started mma in 2019 after watching the creed movie.

(When i say start i mean their first match not training.)

If you remember the plot of Creed, he starts off working a regular desk job and decides to get into boxing. I think that is how Barlow likely got into mma in his early 20's. I dont know if he has any other background besides mma training, i suspect a potential wrestling background.

I took a tally of all the ups Barlow has or pros they both have.

I have Barlow at -170

-300 way over price. Dog or pass but I think playing Veritinikov is a bit of a degen play , short notice and he is older and slower. But he is heavy handed so gotta be careful betting against him, he gave Morales a decent fight. And years of Sanda adds up in experience.

I don't know if you subconsciously recalled his DWCS intro video, but that's almost precisely how he got into MMA lol. He specifically mentioned CREED.

 

[Stat_Collector]

I don't know if you subconsciously recalled his DWCS intro video, but that's almost precisely how he got into MMA lol. He specifically mentioned CREED.

Im rewatching all the fights. For us old heads we got the older rocky movies, and 'never back down' for mma. I remember how popular that movie was and how more people signed up at the gym I was training at.


for this card im doing a skill sheet and experience is on that list. I think this gets overlooked. But often it can tell you if a fighter will make wise choices based on time spent in combat sports.

 

[Guld]

9th profitable event in a row loading

THIS IS A UNDERDOG CARD

THESE ARE THE BEST UNDERDOGS:

1. Tybura (+105)
2. Diniz (+185)
3. Vererinnikov (+250)
4. Jackson (+200)
5. Gutierrez (+200)

I like Tybura and Gutierrez as well.

 

[sonhow]

I feel theres some juice in these lines again but seems like juice has been paying off lately.

Chepe Mariscal a big favorite despite having robbed Charriere (9-3 mmadecisons) getting fluke injury over Jenkins and a win over perhaps one of the worst fighters in the roster in Peek (was pretty much a war)
I guess he still beats Jackson because of Damon fading.

Karol moderate favorite over Kinazad - should be on three fight losing streak imo. Pannie is so cold at the moment it probably goes to Rosa still. Rosa had a fast start against Irene but faded after Irene began cathing her despite bad leg.

Basharat big favorite after shitting bed in epic fashion vs gritty veteran. Thats a fight he should win 10/10 imo. I dont trust this guy anymore. His brother seems better.

Diniz is such a shit wrestler and Williams wrestles a lot so thats probably justified line.

 

[Stat_Collector]

I like Tybura and Gutierrez as well.

I feel theres some juice in these lines again but seems like juice has been paying off lately.

Chepe Mariscal a big favorite despite having robbed Charriere (9-3 mmadecisons) getting fluke injury over Jenkins and a win over perhaps one of the worst fighters in the roster in Peek (was pretty much a war)
I guess he still beats Jackson because of Damon fading.

Karol moderate favorite over Kinazad - should be on three fight losing streak imo. Pannie is so cold at the moment it probably goes to Rosa still. Rosa had a fast start against Irene but faded after Irene began cathing her despite bad leg.

Basharat big favorite after shitting bed in epic fashion vs gritty veteran. Thats a fight he should win 10/10 imo. I dont trust this guy anymore. His brother seems better.

Diniz is such a shit wrestler and Williams wrestles a lot so thats probably justified line.

Zahabi is a better boxer than Chris and Javid.

This might be a trap dog. Chris has one recent ko , a spinning back fist. He's missing the sharp jab and sharp straight punch you need to beat Basharat. Basharat is still going to have a wrestling and bjj edge.

This has some similarities to Umar/Cody on a smaller scale. Both Gutierrez and Basharat have similar strengths on the feet, both guys can kick, but none of them are good boxers who can crack, but Javid has wrestling to keep Chris guessing and score ctrl time.

Javid is also younger. If you're looking for upside on Chris, i would say he's more experience, kicks slightly better to the leg, but it's not a crazy upside, he's correctly price.

 

[Georges Hefner]

I like Tybura and Gutierrez as well.

Tybura is a good bet. I would advise waiting.

Odds will be much better.

 

[Guld]

Zahabi is a better boxer than Chris and Javid.

This might be a trap dog. Chris has one recent ko , a spinning back fist. He's missing the sharp jab and sharp straight punch you need to beat Basharat. Basharat is still going to have a wrestling and bjj edge.

This has some similarities to Umar/Cody on a smaller scale. Both Gutierrez and Basharat have similar strengths on the feet, both guys can kick, but none of them are good boxers who can crack, but Javid has wrestling to keep Chris guessing and score ctrl time.

Javid is also younger. If you're looking for upside on Chris, i would say he's more experience, kicks slightly better to the leg, but it's not a crazy upside, he's correctly price.

Chris did seem very lost when his leg kicks were rendered ineffective against Song, so that is definitely a point of concern.
I feel like Chris has faced the higher competition, but I also concede that his lack of boxing and potential grappling disadvantage are also concerns.
Regardless, I won't be going heavy on this one either way.

 

[sonhow]

Zahabi is a better boxer than Chris and Javid.

This might be a trap dog. Chris has one recent ko , a spinning back fist. He's missing the sharp jab and sharp straight punch you need to beat Basharat. Basharat is still going to have a wrestling and bjj edge.

This has some similarities to Umar/Cody on a smaller scale. Both Gutierrez and Basharat have similar strengths on the feet, both guys can kick, but none of them are good boxers who can crack, but Javid has wrestling to keep Chris guessing and score ctrl time.

Javid is also younger. If you're looking for upside on Chris, i would say he's more experience, kicks slightly better to the leg, but it's not a crazy upside, he's correctly price.

I was so high on Basharat that my thought process tells me he shouldnt have tough stylistic matchups unless he is fighting top 5 or at least top 10 level competition. And never in million years do I think Zahabi would be that good.
It's still the most bizarre fight result of 2024 for me. Like how is this guy on 4 fight winstreak over solid competition at the age of 36 after losing to Ramos and Vince Morales of all people to start his ufc career. Maybe I just cant rate this guy properly.