UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park

N. Fletcher +325
Nakamura has those single shots and often falls short as if he lacks timing. Fletcher can outmaneuver him from the back foot, defend takedowns on the cage and maybe even sell him a guillotine.

D. Silva +345
Vallejos applies continuous pressure but does not have a developed output from a distance, he exclusively works in pocket. Silva has synchronized punches, head movement and footwork, always exits on unorthodox way.
50/50 match ups.
 
I'm on a 2event winning streak

Rodriguez-dec -210 wont bet unless moves to under -200 I saw her at -170

Bashi-sub -700 I'll only bet the under I hope bet Montana machines have the under 2.5 instead of 1.5 like my online site has bashi smokes him

Esteveam-dec -550 I'll only bet the over 2.5-140 currently

Pulaev-ko-140 currently might be my "big bet" of the card

Vieria-sub-200 if it drops below -200 it might be my "big bet" instead of pulaev

Nakurma-dec I can't seem to win a +3.5 or -3.5 bet ever but since I'm a degen if u bet anything it will be nakurma-3.5 currently -170

Silva-dec +360 I'll only bet the over 2.5 currently -125

Dos santos-dec -200 might be my "big bet" if ur drops below-200 if not the over 2.5-170

Cornolle-dec+155 I'll bet her

Ribovocs-dec -240 I won't bet this fight

Duncan-dec+190 will bet the over 1.5 currently -170

Park-sub+285 will bet the under 3.5 currently -115
 
I'm on a 2event winning streak

Rodriguez-dec -210 wont bet unless moves to under -200 I saw her at -170

Bashi-sub -700 I'll only bet the under I hope bet Montana machines have the under 2.5 instead of 1.5 like my online site has bashi smokes him

Esteveam-dec -550 I'll only bet the over 2.5-140 currently

Pulaev-ko-140 currently might be my "big bet" of the card

Vieria-sub-200 if it drops below -200 it might be my "big bet" instead of pulaev

Nakurma-dec I can't seem to win a +3.5 or -3.5 bet ever but since I'm a degen if u bet anything it will be nakurma-3.5 currently -170

Silva-dec +360 I'll only bet the over 2.5 currently -125

Dos santos-dec -200 might be my "big bet" if ur drops below-200 if not the over 2.5-170

Cornolle-dec+155 I'll bet her

Ribovocs-dec -240 I won't bet this fight

Duncan-dec+190 will bet the over 1.5 currently -170

Park-sub+285 will bet the under 3.5 currently -115

I'm curious on the bold. Any particular reason in the confidence?
 
Cornolle was never very good, and is completely shot now at 35. No speed, no endurance, no wrestling and a weak sub game. There's a reason they're not saving her for next month's Paris card. Rosa is five years younger, faster, better cardio (landed 204 sig strikes in her loss to Aldana), and has a BJJ black belt. If you wait to live bet, even if it's close at the end of an active R1 you should get your money down on Rosa, as Cornolle will fade. Rosa ITD +700 (FanDuel) is worth a stab too, IMO. She has a sub chance if Cornolle tries to rely on her grappling the way she has her last couple fights, or a late ko/tko chance. Even little Jacqueline Cavalcante was teeing off on her late in their fight. Another way to play it is Rosa "decision no bet" -116, as I see no earthly possibility of Cornolle finishing Rosa.
 
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I like these alternative SS props. Danny Silva SS volume isn't being respected, and odds have the fight starting R3 and going O2.5 rounds.

Same with Ribovics 100+ SS +118, and Rosa 80+ SS +107.
 
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Missed the reason first fight is off.

Right to the girls.
 
HOLY fuck this card is so unknown that i didnt even know it was on. didnt get any time to cap any fights just gonna throw a parlay on rosa + ribo
 
Cornolle was never very good, and is completely shot now at 35. No speed, no endurance, no wrestling and a weak sub game. There's a reason they're not saving her for next month's Paris card. Rosa is five years younger, faster, better cardio (landed 204 sig strikes in her loss to Aldana), and has a BJJ black belt. If you wait to live bet, even if it's close at the end of an active R1 you should get your money down on Rosa, as Cornolle will fade. Rosa ITD +700 (FanDuel) is worth a stab too, IMO. She has a sub chance if Cornolle tries to rely on her grappling the way she has her last couple fights, or a late ko/tko chance. Even little Jacqueline Cavalcante was teeing off on her late in their fight. Another way to play it is Rosa "decision no bet" -116, as I see no earthly possibility of Cornolle finishing Rosa.
This is an excellent post. The fight went exactly like you anticipated.

Hats off sir!!!
 
This is an excellent post. The fight went exactly like you anticipated.

Hats off sir!!!

Thanks!

I was a little disappointed that Rosa couldn't really even threaten with subs. She won Pan-Ams at brown belt, I believe. ML was easy money. I only wish I had gotten in on -142 instead of -180. That movement made me doubt myself, so I didn't double down.
 
Thanks!

I was a little disappointed that Rosa couldn't really even threaten with subs. She won Pan-Ams at brown belt, I believe. ML was easy money. I only wish I had gotten in on -142 instead of -180. That movement made me doubt myself, so I didn't double down.
I believe she didn't threaten from the mount because Corrole was really useless from bottom so there was no need to risk position. Corolle didn't even know the basics of half guard.
 
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