UFC 321 underdog pick of the night

[FEDORFAN44]

Volkov
Gane

Edit-add in virna

 

[Pompey Junglist]

Nathaniel Wood.

 

[SuperAlly]

"more technical striker" is such a silly nonsense throw away term. Tom technically & literally separates opponents from consciousness within 1 round

100% this

My pick is Volkov

 

[Trupsi]

Rakic is now the favorite.

I'll go Wood, then Gane.

 

[Poirierfan]

I haven't been following enough to know anything about 85% of those fights. I'm just gonna say I hope Volkov has been practicing his tdd and put $20 on him at +195.

 

[Koala]

Virna Jambalaya

 

[SuperAlly]

Virna Jambalaya

Had one of them

Spicy ring piece

 

[blunttruth]

My first instinct is to go with Virna to tap Dern's plentiful arse, but several fine folks have already beat me to that prediction, so I am instead going with Mr. Park for two points.

 

[Deltron 6060]

I'll take Nathaniel Wood.

 

[Rampage_Jackson]

1. Aspinall hasn't "literally" separated a single opponent from consciousness in the UFC.
2. Aspinall has (T)KO'd Blaydes, Pavlovich, Tybura, Spivac, Baudot, and Jake in the UFC. Gane is levels above all of them on the feet. And factually, he's a more technical striker than Aspinall. Conversely, Aspinall has far more power than Gane. All of these factors are relevant.

Like I said, I've been driving the Aspinall train from the beginning. But I can also be objective. I favor Aspinall, but if it stays standing, I wouldn't be surprised if Gane's distance management and leg kicks gave Aspinall problems. Personally, I'm hoping Aspinall lands a quick takedown and finishes the fight early.

He'll do it with strikes because he's a striker and a much more effective striker than Gane

 

[Evbo]

Sutherland. I’m not sold on Valter and people with one trick tend to get exposed eventually. Also he’s Johnny’s brother, that chin my run in the family for all we know.

I’m not saying it’s likely but at the odds it’s woe to a punt

 

[Jackonfire]

I'll take the 2 v's

Virna
Volkov

 

[jeff7b9]

Rebecki

That guy is must see TV.

Dude comes to scrap

 

[Streeter]

Bautista is by far best value pick. Imo he has a real shot to win . +4-500 is insane . I had to bet at that value. Umar is more likely to win but I got this fight as a 55/45 .

 

[deanambrose]

Late to the party (3 fights in) but my underdog pick is Volkov.

 

[Gatti111]

I'll take Rebecki by sub rd 2.

 

[Deltron 6060]

I'll take Nathaniel Wood.

 

[laleggenda27]

"more technical striker" is such a silly nonsense throw away term. Tom technically & literally separates opponents from consciousness within 1 round

1. Aspinall hasn't "literally" separated a single opponent from consciousness in the UFC.
2. Aspinall has (T)KO'd Blaydes, Pavlovich, Tybura, Spivac, Baudot, and Jake in the UFC. Gane is levels above all of them on the feet. And factually, he's a more technical striker than Aspinall. Conversely, Aspinall has far more power than Gane. All of these factors are relevant.

Like I said, I've been driving the Aspinall train from the beginning. But I can also be objective. I favor Aspinall, but if it stays standing, I wouldn't be surprised if Gane's distance management and leg kicks gave Aspinall problems. Personally, I'm hoping Aspinall lands a quick takedown and finishes the fight early.

He'll do it with strikes because he's a striker and a much more effective striker than Gane

Still think being a more technical striker is "silly nonsense?"

 

[laleggenda27]

Define "technical," making sure that your definition is one that actually matters when it comes to evaluating the effectiveness of MMA striking but doesn't tautologically equate "technical" and "effective" striking. Also make sure Gane is actually more technical by your definition.

Gane is more fluid on the feet, has a wider array of skills on the feet, is better at controlling striking engagements via distance management, and has no glaring holes on the feet. Aspinall has some major flaws on the feet (e.g., keeps his chin in the air, attacks in straight lines, and doesn't cut off the cage), but he generally makes up for it with speed and power. It's one thing to blitz slow, plodding HWs like Pavlovich and Tybura; it's another thing doing that against an agile HW who's more technical.

 

[TITS]

I'm changing my pick to Mizuki.