UFC FIGHT NIGHT 259 underdog pick of the night

[doozer]

Virtually every card there is a fighter who beats the odds. Which fighter do you think is most likely to this card? This week to try to make it more interesting. Getting it wrong for anyone keeping track is just a loss. -1. But to entice people with the incentive to pick bigger dogs for each + 100 beyond the first the picks are worth an extra win (point). I just listed the point values instead of the odds.

Main Event – Featherweight
Diego Lopes (2 point dog) vs Jean Silva

Co-Main – Bantamweight
Rob Font vs David Martinez pic em

Lightweight
Rafa Garcia (1 point dog) vs Jared Gordon

Middleweight
Kelvin Gastelum vs Dustin Stoltzfus (2 point dog)

Lightweight
Alexander Hernandez vs Diego Ferreira pic em

Bantamweight
Santiago Luna vs Quang Le (1 point dog)

⸻

Prelims

Women’s Strawweight
Tatiana Suarez vs Amanda Lemos (3 point dog)

Middleweight
Jose Daniel Medina (3 point dog) vs Dusko Todorovic

Lightweight
Claudio Puelles vs Joaquim Silva (1 point dog)

Flyweight
Luis Gurule vs Jesus Aguilar (1 point dog)

Middleweight
Zachary Reese vs Sedriques Dumas (2 point dog)

Flyweight
Alessandro Costa vs Alden Coria ( 3 point dog)

Women’s Flyweight
Montse Rendon (1 point dog) vs Alice Pereira

Rodrigo Sezinando (1 point dog) vs Daniil Donchenko

Another loss for me puts me at 15-15. This week I’m going to go with Aguilar. Although I picked wrong many people picked right.

Shoutout to last cards winners. @mkess101 @Kowboy On Sherdog @Siver! @gentel @Trupsi @Neck&Neck @Deltron 6060 @Streeter @Hymen Crusher @ChrisBenoit @TITS @Koala @deanambrose

 

[Serge421]

Dustin Stoolfootz

 

[Siver!]

I think I'll pick Reese.

I would like to contribute a bit of prizery going forward/

 

[daPROFESSOR]

I think Diego gets it done behind calf kicks.

 

[doozer]

So far every 2 point fighter has been picked and none of theof 1 points (besides my pick). Coincidence or the new point system I wonder.

 

[BEATDOWNS]

I have 4 Dogs on my tap card the one I am most unsure of is Garcia.

 

[Neck&Neck]

Reese

 

[BEATDOWNS]

I prefer the original way you did the thread with the plus and minus. I am a gambling dummy so it took a sec to see who da Dogs were.

 

[Neck&Neck]

How come UFC website has different odds ?
Silva and Martinez are both dogs on there
If so I’m picking those bros

 

[mkess101]

After the bad weight miss by Kelvin, Stoltzfus is my easy pick. Im getting up early tomorrow to go to the casino and will be playing him.

 

[Aurelian]

I preferred the way you laid out the odds before, but it's your call.

I'm going with Lopes.

 

[FEDORFAN44]

Lopes
Dumas-he could ko Reese but will probably get finished
I hope gastelum loses

 

[Hymen Crusher]

Lopes and stoofy or whoever is fighting the big fatselum

 

[Koala]

Joaquim Silva

 

[Trupsi]

@doozer Reese is the favorite

Let's go with Stoltzfus.

 

[Deltron 6060]

So far every 2 point fighter has been picked and none of theof 1 points (besides my pick). Coincidence or the new point system I wonder.

It's psychological, a 2 point dog looks alot better visually than +250, my 2 cents.

I'll take Stoltzfus

 

[Tito Tapped]

Lopez as a dog is crazy

 

[doozer]

I prefer the original way you did the thread with the plus and minus. I am a gambling dummy so it took a sec to see who da Dogs were.

Sorry. I could post it both ways.

 

[doozer]

How come UFC website has different odds ?
Silva and Martinez are both dogs on there
If so I’m picking those bros

The reasons. 1 odds change. And 2 ufc oppsied (this time it’s them not for a change.
I took my numbers off of DraftKings sports book like they do, I just checked both. It is as you say.
Font and Martinez is almost a coin flip, when I posted both were negative pay back. Now Martinez gets you the +100. (On this I’m counting fighters as dogs only if they get a plus return even though -105 is tactically a dog to -115).
Silva they just messed up. They have the odds backwards. If they were a real betting site they would lose thousands, but as it is not their business it’s not a big deal for them if they mess up.

 

[doozer]

I preferred the way you laid out the odds before, but it's your call.

I'm going with Lopes.

Well I appreciate your input for sure. Someone posted they thought it would be more interesting if there were more reason to pick bigger dogs, someone else liked it. I gave an extensive response on the pluses and minuses of both sides. Maybe I go back to the numbers but keep the idea of getting multiple wins for bigger dogs.
As I said to them the who reason I started this was the idea of getting the highest score on the pick every fight sites. I might not be great at picking all the fights but if I just went with the odds for almost all of them and only picked 1 fight against the odds each time, and got more right then wrong, I would be picking cards in the very highest tier.