UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira

Maaaaaannnnn

Math..-425 fav. How much is that dictated on them thinking he wins by KO (oliveiras chin is his one weakness.) They really think that fight goes the distance and he wins that way? He submits oliveira I’ll never bet again.

-170 topuria KO and +350 oliveira W. What a clean discrepancy
Top very well could sub Oli. Hes been subbed like 4 times in ufc. He is a master offensive wise but his sub defense has never been bulletproof.
 
Top very well could sub Oli. Hes been subbed like 4 times in ufc. He is a master offensive wise but his sub defense has never been bulletproof.
Could see him winning with an arm triangle after beating Charles up a bit.
 
Jumped late into the thread... just made a small deposit and will gamble a little bit again.

So far I'm on:

Dariush: I think he is better than Moicano pretty much everywhere. He dealt with Gamrot grappling so I don't see Moicano having much sucess with TDs. Also Renato striking is not very good and Beneil has power.
On the other hand.. I always pick Dariush to win and he mostly loses... and always pick Moicano to lose and ends up winning somehow.

Royval: I get Van looked good but against who? This is a huge step up in competition and Royval should enjoy a size advantage here. IDK.. not buying into the hype yet.

Talbott: He got checked by Raoni but I still believe in him. #itstillrealtome


Tempted in putting something on Pantoja. I think he will dominate KKF. France got the shot because Pantoja beat everyone already.


BTW... Is Jacob Smith the best thing since sliced bread? Can't believe he is -2500 against Niko Price. Niko is very shot but he is a solid fighter.


That is pretty much about it. This card
 
FYI

Just had a chat with my mate Bill who is a big lover of MMA and very successful in MMA betting.

His opinion:

Hermansson V Rodrigues : 1st or 2nd round KO for Rodrigues... I will listen to him and hedge (I have already bet on Hernansson).
Royval V Van: Tought fight (of course) but he prefers Van
Dariush V Moicano: He prefers Moicano because he has been more active. Here, I disagree.

The rest are along the lines of our discussion here.

He would love to see Topuria lose but doubts it.
Also, Pantoja Dec

I told you my friend Bill knows his MMA.
 
I told you my friend Bill knows his MMA.

Mixed bag. He nailed it on Robocop and Van.

Was wrong on Moicano and had the method wrong on Pantoja.

Hard to give to much credit on picking Ilia since he was like -450 ML.
 
Mixed bag. He nailed it on Robocop and Van.

Was wrong on Moicano and had the method wrong on Pantoja.

Hard to give to much credit on picking Ilia since he was like -450 ML.
Well, it helped me, cause I had initially bet on Hermansson... and Van which was a very competitive fight.

I often asks his input... Our discussion is always very helpful.
 
Well, it helped me, cause I had initially bet on Hermansson... and Van which was a very competitive fight.

I often asks his input... Our discussion is always very helpful.

Absolutely man. Use every resource available. If you trust that he has good insight then absolutely take it into account.
 
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