Ufc 315 underdog pick of the night

[doozer]

Virtually every card there is a fighter who beats the odds. Which fighter do you think is most likely to this card?

• Belal Muhammad (c) -190 vs. Jack Della Maddalena +150, welterweight title
• Manon Fiorot -140 vs. Valentina Shevchenko (c) +115, women's flyweight title
• Jose Aldo -220 vs. Aiemann Zahabi +175, bantamweight
• Natalia Silva -225 vs. Alexa Grasso +175, women's flyweights
• Benoit Saint Denis -1115 vs. Kyle Prepolec +750, lightweights
• Lee Jeong Yeong -127 vs. Daniel Santos +102,
• Mike Malott -200 vs. Charles Radtke +160, welterweights
• Modestas Bukauskas -110 vs. Ion Cuțelaba -110, light heavyweights
• Jasmine Jasudavicius -335 vs. Jessica Andrade +250, women's flyweights
• Navajo Stirling -278 vs. Ivan Erslan +215, light heavyweights
• Marc-Andre Barriault-480 vs. Bruno Silva +360, middleweights

I haven’t yet got a chance to watch all of last card so I’ll shoutout the winners when I do. This card I’m looking to Shevchenko, Andrade, and Santos just going to listen to on the line and sherdog first.

 

[Kung Fu Kowboy]

Grasso

 

[mkess101]

I don't get to pick Cutelaba since it's evens.

I'll take Radtke.

 

[gentel]

Grasso and Radtke

All I know for sure is it's not JDM #All5Rounds #AndStill

 

[TheTickG]

Virtually every card there is a fighter who beats the odds. Which fighter do you think is most likely to this card?

• Belal Muhammad (c) -190 vs. Jack Della Maddalena +150, welterweight title
• Manon Fiorot -140 vs. Valentina Shevchenko (c) +115, women's flyweight title
• Jose Aldo -220 vs. Aiemann Zahabi +175, bantamweight
• Natalia Silva -225 vs. Alexa Grasso +175, women's flyweights
• Benoit Saint Denis -1115 vs. Kyle Prepolec +750, lightweights
• Lee Jeong Yeong -127 vs. Daniel Santos +102,
• Mike Malott -200 vs. Charles Radtke +160, welterweights
• Modestas Bukauskas -110 vs. Ion Cuțelaba -110, light heavyweights
• Jasmine Jasudavicius -335 vs. Jessica Andrade +250, women's flyweights
• Navajo Stirling -278 vs. Ivan Erslan +215, light heavyweights
• Marc-Andre Barriault-480 vs. Bruno Silva +360, middleweights

I haven’t yet got a chance to watch all of last card so I’ll shoutout the winners when I do. This card I’m looking to Shevchenko, Andrade, and Santos just going to listen to on the line and sherdog first.

Grasso. And if I still bet, I would put money on Kyle.

 

[Siver!]

I'll take Jessica Andrade, bud.

I like Jasmine, but I'm not for writing JA off until I absolutely have to.

It annoys me to take Willycat Santos, but I did, so... add that to my list.

 

[doozer]

I'll take Jessica Andrade, bud.

I like Jasmine, but I'm not for writing JA off until I absolutely have to.

It annoys me to take Willycat Santos, but I did, so... add that to my list.

Andrade has won 2 of her last 3 against top 10 opponents. I get that she could be an underdog against the streaming Jasmine but I feel the odds are crazy. (Though I’m not taking the odds into account when I’m strongly considering Andrade. )

 

[FreedomCricket]

Wild... Shevchenko, grasso and Andrade are all underdogs.

Some good parlay money to be made there. Plus sprinkle in some Belal inside the distance and you've got a nice payday.

If I'm picking one, it's Jessica Andrade for the upset pick.

 

[tritestill]

Valentina and Grasso coming off two title fights and both being under dogs, that's very telling.

 

[Bend NvR Break]

Zahabi.
Age beats everyone eventually even Jose Aldo.

 

[Weighinin]

Biggest one with +700, Kyle Prepolec has never been KOed and he is on three win round 1 KO streak.

 

[Quinn_Uncaged]

I can't believe Schevchenko is an underdog. However possible, Manon needs to do too much to win that fight. Din Thomas and I broke it down on FightCourt

 

[mkess101]

Andrade has won 2 of her last 3 against top 10 opponents. I get that she could be an underdog against the streaming Jasmine but I feel the odds are crazy. (Though I’m not taking the odds into account when I’m strongly considering Andrade. )

She caught Dern with a good clean shot and put her out. And that's always on the table to be fair--I think Andrade's power is still all there if she lands clean. Marina was maybe top 10 at the time...but in hindsight that seems like it was quite inflated. Jasmine seems like a freight train right now with her grappling. She's really become a helluva chain wrestler/ground specialist. IMO Kline is gonna be really good and Jasmine shut her shit down.

I get the juice is pretty steep, but I don't see Andrade stopping the grappling. Jessica isn't that same powerhouse that dumped Rose on her head. She still can hit like a truck so yes she's live...but I see takedowns early from Jasmine taking the steam out of Andrade and this being one sided.

 

[doozer]

Wild... Shevchenko, grasso and Andrade are all underdogs.

Some good parlay money to be made there. Plus sprinkle in some Belal inside the distance and you've got a nice payday.

If I'm picking one, it's Jessica Andrade for the upset pick.

I know right! I’m leaning Shevchenko and Andrade and was on the fence about Grasso, I’ll probably pick her to win… she just went 1-1-1 with the second most dominant champ in wmma history for the title and is fairly young

 

[doozer]

Valentina and Grasso coming off two title fights and both being under dogs, that's very telling.

I agree I just don’t know what it’s telling.

 

[mkess101]

I can't believe Schevchenko is an underdog. However possible, Manon needs to do too much to win that fight. Din Thomas and I broke it down on FightCourt

I like Din a lot (listen to him when he's on MMA Today a couple times/week with Jouban/Smith/or RJ)...but sometimes he misses key points when it's not fighters he actually trains (he's spot on about Gillian, now Brady). And (no offense) but you didn't mention it either. Manon is absolutely MASSIVE for the weight class. Valentina has turned herself into a grappler yes, and is less the world class kickboxer now. And SOME of that is technique. But a lot of it is that she's been able to simply physically overpower weaker girls. Grasso it was plain as day. But against Santos we saw what happened when she couldn't. She easily could've lost that decision.

Manon isn't a girl that seems like Val is gonna be able to bully and throw around. Manon is bigger and seemingly stronger. So Val will need to be on point and sharp with every aspect to get to places she wants to be. And you did a good job pointing put that she'll have volume coming at her the entire time, so it won't be easy at all.

Obviously Val can win, no doubt. She's a GOAT candidate for a reason. But the odds actually do make sense if you just took the names away and looked at it stylistically.

 

[Necrocrawler]

For me it's Bruno Silva because when u get two shot fighters going at eachother... You pick the underdog lol

 

[Deltron 6060]

Chuck Buffalo and Grasso.

 

[doozer]

Well I’m picking Shevchenkoto win and I’m on the fence about Andrade, but my official pick for my underdog pick of the night is going to go to Daniel Santos

 

[Jinx_AA]

Bukauskas at +110 today … I think he kos Cutelaba if he can keep it standing

Zahabi would be more tempting if he was a bigger dog … Aldo always super low volume and guaranteed to go to the score cards - so worth a stab if he gets to more then +200

And Radtke at +170 against a can crusher in malott … malott only good early in fights against guys he can take down …. Radtke has a wrestling background and much more dangerous hands …

Not a great card for underdog bets all in all - I usually like more