UFC 313 underdog pick of the night

[doozer]

In virtually every card someone beats the odds and pulls off an upset. Who do you feel is most likely to this card?

UFC 313 Main Card (PPV)

• Main Event: Alex Pereira (-110) vs. Magomed Ankalaev (-110) – For the UFC Light Heavyweight Championship (even odds)

• Co-Main Event: Justin Gaethje (+136) vs. Rafael Fiziev (-162), lightweight

• Jalin Turner (+105) vs. Ignacio Bahamondes (-125), lightweight

• Amanda Lemos (+120) vs. Iasmin Lucindo (-142), strawweight

• King Green (+330) vs. Mauricio Ruffy (-425), lightweight

UFC 313 Preliminary Card (ESPN+, ESPN, ESPN News)

• Curtis Blaydes (-325) vs. Rizvan Kuniev (+260), heavyweight

• Joshua Van (-170) vs. Rei Tsuruya (+142), flyweight

• Brunno Ferreira (+120) vs. Armen Petrosyan (-142), middleweight

• Alex Morono (+550) vs. Carlos Leal (-800), welterweight

UFC 313 Early Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)

• Mairon Santos (-290) vs. Francis Marshall (+235), featherweight

• Chris Gutierrez (-118) vs. John Castaneda (-102), featherweight

• Djorden Santos (-198) vs. Ozzy Diaz (+164), middleweight

Last pick Charles Johnson looked great round 3 but didn’t get the finish and I lost bringing my score to 4-3. This card I’m going with Gaethje. The pro bettors don’t think he will win, but he was the underdog last time and I picked him and he won. I trust him again. It was close last time but Fiziev is coming off an injury and short notice call. And I believe in Gaethje.

 

[rollthedice]

Out of those, I'd lean Bruno Ferreria out of all of em

 

[doozer]

Out of those, I'd lean Bruno Ferreria out of all of em

He’s got the one shot chance.

 

[Jinx_AA]

Ankalaev is an underdog @+110

Ank at plus money has got to be the most tempting dog … guys 21-1-1 with his only loss a last second submission … if he was undefeated hed be the favorite

Ferreira by KO is tempting - take the extra value on the Ko or pass - can’t see him being the minute winner in a. Decision against a more technical striker

lemos at dog odd is tempting- but her take down defense is sooo fkn bad

Ank to finish - Bahamondes to finish - leal under 2.5 … 20 bucks pays 680

***playing Ank for value - but would LOVE Alex to win!!! I’d rather lose my money and have Alex win! … makes it a win win situation

 

[CieloLuce]

I am leaning with Turner. If goes past midway in 2nd round, it's over Turner.

 

[cristoninoMartin]

People will probably say Justin, but honestly I do not agree. I thought it was shocking that he managed to beat fiziev in the first fight. I have no idea how he beat fiziev, but I do not think he can do it again. Fiziev will probably pace himself better this time.

 

[WoozyFailGuy]

Hulk for sure due to his KO power.

Kuniev could definitely chin Blaydes if he catches him, it's HW after all, but Curtis usually only gets put out by the elite.

People will probably say Justin, but honestly I do not agree. I thought it was shocking that he manage to bet fiziev in the first fight. I have no idea how he beat fiziev, but I do not think he can do it again. Fiziev will probably pace himself better this time.

I also thought that Justin would get pieced up by Fizzy at the time, but it's hard to bet on a guy coming back on short notice after his knee exploded.

 

[Hdfi]

King Green. I like Ruffy but Green has much more experience and was a top 15er one fight ago.

 

[TheTickG]

In virtually every card someone beats the odds and pulls off an upset. Who do you feel is most likely to this card?

UFC 313 Main Card (PPV)

• Main Event: Alex Pereira (-110) vs. Magomed Ankalaev (-110) – For the UFC Light Heavyweight Championship (even odds)

• Co-Main Event: Justin Gaethje (+136) vs. Rafael Fiziev (-162), lightweight

• Jalin Turner (+105) vs. Ignacio Bahamondes (-125), lightweight

• Amanda Lemos (+120) vs. Iasmin Lucindo (-142), strawweight

• King Green (+330) vs. Mauricio Ruffy (-425), lightweight

UFC 313 Preliminary Card (ESPN+, ESPN, ESPN News)

• Curtis Blaydes (-325) vs. Rizvan Kuniev (+260), heavyweight

• Joshua Van (-170) vs. Rei Tsuruya (+142), flyweight

• Brunno Ferreira (+120) vs. Armen Petrosyan (-142), middleweight

• Alex Morono (+550) vs. Carlos Leal (-800), welterweight

UFC 313 Early Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)

• Mairon Santos (-290) vs. Francis Marshall (+235), featherweight

• Chris Gutierrez (-118) vs. John Castaneda (-102), featherweight

• Djorden Santos (-198) vs. Ozzy Diaz (+164), middleweight

Last pick Charles Johnson looked great round 3 but didn’t get the finish and I lost bringing my score to 4-3. This card I’m going with Gaethje. The pro bettors don’t think he will win, but he was the underdog last time and I picked him and he won. I trust him again. It was close last time but Fiziev is coming off an injury and short notice call. And I believe in Gaethje.

Rizvan, Lemos, Green in that order. Will skip the WMMA match though.

 

[Thesnake101]

Kuniev for the sake of the HW div, Blaydes is done as a contender now.

 

[doozer]

Ankalaev is an underdog @+110

Ank at plus money has got to be the most tempting dog … guys 21-1-1 with his only loss a last second submission … if he was undefeated hed be the favorite

Ferreira by KO is tempting - take the extra value on the Ko or pass - can’t see him being the minute winner in a. Decision against a more technical striker

lemos at dog odd is tempting- but her take down defense is sooo fkn bad

Ank to finish - Bahamondes to finish - leal under 2.5 … 20 bucks pays 680

***playing Ank for value - but would LOVE Alex to win!!! I’d rather lose my money and have Alex win! … makes it a win win situation

Well Ank wasn’t a dog when these guys posted a day ago or on UFC on the line. But he was before that and if you say he is now or maybe depends on the site. But the sharps say grab him if you see him at plus money.

 

[blunttruth]

I picked Ricky Simon last week, and he brought a big smile to my face ! This week I will go with Green over Ruffy. I have not seen a lot of Ruffy, but what I have seen looked brilliant, with flashes of inconsistency, so I am thinking he may get the Grant Dawson/Peyton Talbott experience Saturday.

 

[doozer]

I am leaning with Turner. If goes past midway in 2nd round, it's over Turner.

Yeah. Initially I thought Turner was going to win but when I thought about the fact that he had to finish or he would lose to the volume and I decided Bahamondes was too tough. Turner is so good though.

 

[RoseHDCovington]

Just put $500 on Lemos.

 

[doozer]

People will probably say Justin, but honestly I do not agree. I thought it was shocking that he manage to bet fiziev in the first fight. I have no idea how he beat fiziev, but I do not think he can do it again. Fiziev will probably pace himself better this time.

I don’t think Fiziev gets to choose the pace, Gaethje always sets the pace, he doesn’t let people fight on the outside or keep him grappled (only Khabib succeeded on that). The fight will take place in the pocket. That is Gaethjes strength. There is no way to fight him not at his own game you have to beat him at his own game. Fiziev has better technique and could beat him with volume or knock him out, but there will be no rest or pacing himself in this fight. Fiziev is favoured for a reason though.

 

[Kung Fu Kowboy]

Alex Morono... just because I like money

 

[doozer]

Hulk for sure due to his KO power.

Kuniev could definitely chin Blaydes if he catches him, it's HW after all, but Curtis usually only gets put out by the elite.


I also thought that Justin would get pieced up by Fizzy at the time, but it's hard to bet on a guy coming back on short notice after his knee exploded.

Hulk is a wild card with his power for sure.

Blaydes can get one shot but that’s a crazy jump into the deep and for Kuniev.

Justin is coming back from the bad ko and the last fight was razor close. It’s going to be a tough one.

 

[doozer]

King Green. I like Ruffy but Green has much more experience and was a top 15er one fight ago.

I used to say green had the fastest hands in the lightweight division. He’s getting old now though, surprisingly this is when he is actually turning into a break out star. It takes a lot for me to pick against the fighting nerds these days though.

 

[doozer]

Rizvan, Lemos, Green in that order. Will skip the WMMA match though.

Interesting. Going for the one up and comer and 2 super experienced, most people either lean towards experience or hype but your pick goes both ways.

 

[doozer]

Kuniev for the sake of the HW div, Blaydes is done as a contender now.

Making the pick for the sake of the division rather than the fighter is interesting. Blaydes may be done as a contender but he is a high ranked gatekeeper. We’ll see how it goes.