UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura

[Hellowhosthat]

In the first, sure, second and third though? That's when the Gracie cardio kicks in and they become turtles. Tim controlled Roger in the second round of their fight and that was a far more accomplished BJJ guy than Kron to put it mildly.

And like I said before Jourdain survived him on the ground. It's not the past of least resistance by any means, but it's not as unwinnable as some may think.

I might have a pop at Kron sub R1 as that's when they'll be dry and Bryce might engage him before he figures out it's not a great idea.

 

[EndlessCritic]

how the hell is nzechekwu -600 here?

 

[DalchaLungiambula]

"In the midst of" a career resurgence? He won 1 fight after being finished in 3 straight. This MIGHT be the start of a resurgence but he's not "in the midst" of anything.

Nah he clearly is.

When you get lined at +200, and you beat your opponent from pillar to post for the duration of the fight, either:

You have leveled up and the bookies didn't account for it
Or, your opponent has regressed

Both were true in Reyes' most recent fight

 

[Thesnake101]

how the hell is nzechekwu -600 here?

He just became the first guy with a positive record to be KO'd by Mick Parkin, in 1 round so people have little hope for him. Kennedy opened at -450 on Bovada and got bet down to the current line.

 

[mkess101]

In the first, sure, second and third though? That's when the Gracie cardio kicks in and they become turtles. Tim controlled Roger in the second round of their fight and that was a far more accomplished BJJ guy than Kron to put it mildly.

And like I said before Jourdain survived him on the ground. It's not the past of least resistance by any means, but it's not as unwinnable as some may think.

Roger was cutting an obscene amount of weight and was an absolute corpse before he even got in the cage with Kennedy. There's bad cardio, and then there's "I probably shouldn't even be upright let alone in a cage fight with how depleted I am" cardio.

Definitely it's not insta sub for Kron on the mat, no doubt. Especially because it's not like Bryce is some grappling scrub. But like you said, it's not the path of least resistance so why go there? (But as has been said, it's Bryce and he's a nut so maybe he dives into Kron's guard 10 seconds into the fight LOL).

 

[DalchaLungiambula]

Nah he clearly is.

When you get lined at +200, and you beat your opponent from pillar to post for the duration of the fight, either:

You have leveled up and the bookies didn't account for it
Or, your opponent has regressed

Both were true in Reyes' most recent fight

The thing with being profitable at sports betting is you've got to be ahead of everyone else and reacting quicker.

That's what I am always doing, and being able to identify adaptations in fighters or a team is what I pride myself on

 

[mkess101]

Nah he clearly is.

When you get lined at +200, and you beat your opponent from pillar to post for the duration of the fight, either:

You have leveled up and the bookies didn't account for it
Or, your opponent has regressed

Both were true in Reyes' most recent fight

You could just say you don't know what "in the midst of" means. He won a fight. A good KO and he still has talent and may well resurrect his career and contend again. One win doesn't mean he's already done that.

 

[mkess101]

The thing with being profitable at sports betting is you've got to be ahead of everyone else and reacting quicker.

That's what I am always doing, and being able to identify adaptations in fighters or a team is what I pride myself on

Sure, right.

 

[StewDogg11]

Nah he clearly is.

When you get lined at +200, and you beat your opponent from pillar to post for the duration of the fight, either:

You have leveled up and the bookies didn't account for it
Or, your opponent has regressed

Both were true in Reyes' most recent fight

Lmao at beating Dustin Jacoby means you’ve “leveled up”.

 

[DalchaLungiambula]

You could just say you don't know what "in the midst of" means. He won a fight. A good KO and he still has talent and may well resurrect his career and contend again. One win doesn't mean he's already done that.

It's called out performing the betting line lol.

Thanks for showing me that you don't actually know anything about the fundamentals of betting without actually saying it

 

[EndlessCritic]

He just became the first guy with a positive record to be KO'd by Mick Parkin, in 1 round so people have little hope for him. Kennedy opened at -450 on Bovada and got bet down to the current line.

Nzechekwu is 1-2 in his last 3, including somehow losing a decision to OSP. Kennedy's performance against Negumereanu was also bad.

Brzeski looked good against Walker.

Backing Kennedy as a 6-1 favorite is just asking for trouble.

 

[mkess101]

It's called out performing the betting line lol.

Thanks for showing me that you don't actually know anything about the fundamentals of betting without actually saying it

Bud...just this past year you were borderline suicidal from losing most of your BR on one play. (Assuming you're for real and not a ridiculous troll, which I admit is a possibility). Now you're gonna lecture someone like me about the "fundamentals of betting".

Outperforming the betting line has NOTHING to do with whether a guy is "in the midst" of a resurgence. That applies to that one fight, his first win in quite some time.

Do you enjoy being clowned? I suppose if you're a troll this is the reaction you want. But if you aren't...damn dude. Really bad look. Awful.

 

[Hellowhosthat]

Considering Brown, Durden, Luque and Chiesa but need to clarify my thoughts on them.

 

[StewDogg11]

Considering Brown, Durden, Luque and Chiesa but need to clarify my thoughts on them.

I too don’t see why Chiesa can’t just replicate the Magny gameplay against Griffin by just hanging all over him.

 

[sonhow]

Considering Brown, Durden, Luque and Chiesa but need to clarify my thoughts on them.

Agree on Chiesa and Luque. Brown will get shit pushed in imo. Way too hittable and doesnt have enough pop to slow down Battle. Durden depends on Van winning or losing the first round lol

 

[Stat_Collector]

Considering Brown, Durden, Luque and Chiesa but need to clarify my thoughts on them.

At first i thought about Brown because Battle ate a lot straights from the frenchmen. But then I saw Brown get nearly matched by Turmen in ss. He looked like shit on tape too. That was a pass for me, Battle likely out toughs him, he’s got a solid chin , which will likely allow him to eat one to give one and win via finish or dec.

 

[Thesnake101]

Could never trust Brown, didn't he have to cheat to beat Zaleski too? I feel like he'll look decent until he gets caught.

 

[DalchaLungiambula]

Bud...just this past year you were borderline suicidal from losing most of your BR on one play. (Assuming you're for real and not a ridiculous troll, which I admit is a possibility). Now you're gonna lecture someone like me about the "fundamentals of betting".

Outperforming the betting line has NOTHING to do with whether a guy is "in the midst" of a resurgence. That applies to that one fight, his first win in quite some time.

Do you enjoy being clowned? I suppose if you're a troll this is the reaction you want. But if you aren't...damn dude. Really bad look. Awful.

You forgot to mention the part where I made almost all of it back with giga sharp bets on Vann, Taleb and Hernandez.

I'm up 18.5U via tracked betting on here.

You're not clowning me, I'm not even convinced that you're profitable betting on MMA

 

[DalchaLungiambula]

You're a square who is two steps behind the action.

People like you were saying 2 weeks ago: "Oh, Petr Yan is back".

Even though to people who can actually read the situation, it was obvious he had never left.

It is obvious to anyone who can actually cap fights that Reyes has leveled up and will be experiencing a career resurgence going forward

 

[Hellowhosthat]

You're a square who is two steps behind the action.

People like you were saying 2 weeks ago: "Oh, Petr Yan is back".

Even though to people who can actually read the situation, it was obvious he had never left.

It is obvious to anyone who can actually cap fights that Reyes has leveled up and will be experiencing a career resurgence going forward

Shut the fuck up dude.