UFC 308 PBP/Discussion

[Guld]

That was an up and down one. I put a livebet on Ige at the end of the first at even odds, but then I cashed out and went on Murphy at the start of the third.
I was also able to nab a last minute -118 odds on Murphy in the last 30 seconds. I went kinda big on that one. I was pretty sure he did enough to get it. Glad I was right.

 

[Guld]

I have Ank in a parlay.
Gonna hedge with a Rakic ML bet though.

 

[ExitLUPin]

Rakic ML +290 $150
Rakic KO +600 +50

Think Rakic is stylistically Ank's toughest matchup in the division. Post ACL surgery Thiago dropped Ank and took 2 rounds in a 48-47 losing effort and Rakic is a younger, bigger version of that Santos with better TDD. Feels like Rakic leg kicks will do serious damage here. Ank could crack him bad in pocket but think Rakic technically superior and smarter. Ank doesn't have that pressure throw caution in the wind of Jiri to force a KO or Jan's kick defense which is only matched by Poatan @ LHW. UFC has also made it clear to Ank a mid decision ain't getting him a shot. I think he might force things and he has some of the lowest IQ in the division in general.

 

[Stat_Collector]

200 on Racik dec for 1400

 

[NewLockGuy]

Think Rakic is being disrespected being nearly +300.

 

[betterthanjones]

small bet on rackic by ko, he was going k1 ham on jiri until he actually believed in it

 

[mkess101]

I had it for Ige but I'll take it.

 

[mkess101]

Rakic and Rakic dec small

 

[PuertoRican]

Ankalaev/Rakic split-decision +400

Alexander Rakic decision +700

 

[Dirtey]

On Rakic as well. Ankalaevs fight IQ is usually not the best.

 

[guesswhoseback]

1-0 rakic

 

[mkess101]

Close rd 1. I'd go Rakic with the leg kicks but he's likely not getting the round in Abu Dhabi.

 

[Guld]

Coinflip round.
I think Rakic landed more, but the efficiency and reaction to shots (and possible "hometown advantage") might all be factors to give Ank the nod.

 

[mkess101]

Ank clear rd 2

 

[guesswhoseback]

1-1

 

[betterthanjones]

2-0 or 1-1, rakic is just too basic for anker

 

[Guld]

Ank clear rd 2

Agreed.
Either 1-1 or 2-0 Ank.
Rakic's body language and output changed drastically after that fist big left that he ate to the body.
Sadly, he has a history of being a good hammer, but poor nail.
Ank probably takes the third/fight now.

 

[Stat_Collector]

hard chance they give him rn1 for stats. but crossing finger

 

[Vir_Ars]

boring sparring match

 

[guesswhoseback]

2-1 ank