UFC 253: Adesanya v Costa

[ianj98]

What do you guys think of the over/unders & fight ending method props? I think all of these have a decent chance to hit knock on wood. Adesanya vs Costa and Reyes v Jan def have value here, not sure about the other two.

• Adesanya v Costa over 2.5 -134
• Reyes v Jan over 2.5 -126
• Kara-France v Royval over 2.5 -186
• Knight vs Camur to end by KO/TKO -180

 

[TheFightDoctor]

But can Costa close the distance the way Gastelum did? Kelvin has way quicker footwork than Costa.

Yes because Costa is a bigger man than gastelum. Longer reach and is willing to eat an izzy jab. I see Costa gameplan using brute strength to get izzy backed up. And just bully him. Will he be able to ? I think for first 2 rounds definitely. Whittaker was getting in w some decent shots. I favor Costa chin over Whittakers post-romero chin. Round 1 was Whittaker until he got wobbled at end of round. Costa should get round 1 should get round 2 altho izzy is great at making adjustments. Thats y the live bet hedge will be ready. But im thinking Costa round 2 KO is a possibility

 

[2020Tracked]

What do you guys think of the over/unders & fight ending method props? I think all of these have a decent chance to hit knock on wood. Adesanya vs Costa and Reyes v Jan def have value here, not sure about the other two.

• Adesanya v Costa over 2.5 -134
• Reyes v Jan over 2.5 -126
• Kara-France v Royval over 2.5 -186
• Knight vs Camur to end by KO/TKO -180

I have a unit on the over in the Izzy fight. I think Reyes/Jan over is risky for the price, Reyes is his most dangerous early and has a good chance of getting a KO in the first two rounds, I personally think he schools Jab standing.

Royval is tough and KKF isn't really a KO machine, finish there is maybe Royval fluke sub of KKF with an accumulated damage stoppage which could make the over sweaty potentially.

Knight gets on top he ends things but I think if Camur is picking him off with more range shots Knight can survive.

Izzy/Costa over pick of the bunch for me

 

[BaruchSpinoza]

Yes because Costa is a bigger man than gastelum. Longer reach and is willing to eat an izzy jab. I see Costa gameplan using brute strength to get izzy backed up. And just bully him. Will he be able to ? I think for first 2 rounds definitely. Whittaker was getting in w some decent shots. I favor Costa chin over Whittakers post-romero chin. Round 1 was Whittaker until he got wobbled at end of round. Costa should get round 1 should get round 2 altho izzy is great at making adjustments. Thats y the live bet hedge will be ready. But im thinking Costa round 2 KO is a possibility

Costa barely has a longer reach than Gastelum, and he is way slower on his feet. I honestly don't see it. Whittaker is way trickier and quicker as well. Also, I think Izzy accepted exchanges with Whittaker that he wouldn't accept with Costa.

 

[TheFightDoctor]

Figured I'd get +110 on Shane Young by fight night... might actually get even better odds. I locked up over 2000 in bets on him already. Gona hedge the Klein KO today. And sit back and wait for possibly +120 +130 odds on young. Btw if u check out young IG he looks absolutely ripped. Man strength and Maori strength can come into play here. Klein never had any 1 willing to exchange with him or keep the pressure. Will truly be a clash fight of night in my opinion Klein fighting 5 rounders before concerns me. He won't break. But I think the pressure will fold him klein if young can't take the big shots. Am I nervous? Yes but the KO hedge should help. Does any1 know wat site (for US betters) has the best props?

 

[Crimp_Keeper]

@TheFightDoctor

You never replied to @Kamais_Ookin. Where are your bet slips for $15-30k from last week?

 

[Naught2Sixty]

Am I the only one who thinks Izzy wasn't hurt by the punch from Kelvin he was just moving backwards and got hit between steps?

 

[theTKDguy]

“So I will try to push him, to bring him to the fight, but if he avoid the fight I will not chase him all the time. I will go back to the middle and cut the angles and try to make the fight happen.”- natty goat

 

[Kamais_Ookin]

@TheFightDoctor

You never replied to @Kamais_Ookin. Where are your bet slips for $15-30k from last week?

He's a fraud. If you see above he just asked for sites that have good props, don't you think this question is unbecoming of someone betting 15-30k an event? He also didn't even know what bfo was. A 15-30k bettor would already have access to aforementioned resources. It's best we don't waste our time mentioning him anymore.

 

[Crimp_Keeper]

He's a fraud. If you see above he just asked for sites that have good props, don't you think this question is unbecoming of someone betting 15-30k an event? He also didn't even know what bfo was. A 15-30k bettor would already have access to aforementioned resources. It's best we don't waste our time mentioning him anymore.

Oh for sure, I just wanted to call him out again since he thinks no one remembers shit he said less than week ago LoL

 

[Crimp_Keeper]

Am I the only one who thinks Izzy wasn't hurt by the punch from Kelvin he was just moving backwards and got hit between steps?

yes. He was definitely hurt by that shot. Dude laced his shoe and went into full on Hussein bolt mode.

 

[Naught2Sixty]

yes. He was definitely hurt by that shot. Dude laced his shoe and went into full on Hussein bolt mode.

Vaguely racist bro.

 

[Naught2Sixty]

Okay bro, would your feelings prefer if I said Bruce Jenner?

Lol what?

Getting back to reality, izzy took almost 30 seconds after Gastelum landed that shot that dropped him before he committed to throwing another strike. He needed those 30 seconds to recover. That shot definitely hurt him and it's fairly obvious from his body language and output it did.

Fair enough I suppose.

 

[Crimp_Keeper]

Lol what?

Fair enough I suppose.

LoL. I took your racist comment half-seriously. From what I can remember about your posts, you're not bothered by those sorts of comments so my reply was more for the people who are seriously offended by what I said.

 

[Naught2Sixty]

LoL. I took your racist comment half-seriously. From what I can remember about your posts, you're not bothered by those sorts of comments so my reply was more for the people who are seriously offended by what I said.

Oh. I was just making a shitty joke. If I wanna have a war with someone I'll go WR which is rare lol

 

[Crimp_Keeper]

Oh. I was just making a shitty joke. If I wanna have a war with someone I'll go WR which is rare lol

I thought so LoL .

 

[TheFightDoctor]

@TheFightDoctor

You never replied to @Kamais_Ookin. Where are your bet slips for $15-30k from last week?

I did reply ot. Now you're getting annoying

 

[TheFightDoctor]

I usually bet 15k to 30k per fight card. Yes absolutely .. its not a bold proclamation wen u have 10+ fights ufc. Then bellator and boxing in the mix. And the thi g you punk thinking im spamming nah bro not me. Wen I ever spa.med I got over 2k on young already. Got even more on ibragimov. Im trying figure which books are better im transitioning from bookmaker to betonline. Bc 5 dimes is done for me in New York. This last card this weekend I already said numerous times. I kissed majority of card after Ewell and laramie fights. U was by a fire pit drinkim out in PA and had no charger. I had to start up my car to watch and bet the covington fight

 

[Crimp_Keeper]

I did reply ot. Now you're getting annoying

reply

Yall are really immature. @Sadistics wats your zelle

And jus for the record the slips had one bet win 240 @-141 win 234 @-145 and a 340 bet at -141 which nets like another 240. +715.. Far cry from the 1700. Im sure he got 1700 in, I bet lots of fights multiple times which add up. But honestly this is baby shit. Where I never seen a line like that I questioned it cuz it been repetitive also, sadistics not comin at me its all you guys. You almost comin off as jealous can we get back to capping. If any1 wana do head to head with me lets do friendly draft kings head to head name your price

doesn't post slips

 

[TheFightDoctor]

Don't even worry bout the balance lol. Like I said. Was out in farm country. I charged my phone in car to put on covington