UFC 253: Adesanya v Costa

[FimbulFightPicks]

Ok I'll math out what that works out to at the end

Yeah do that. I did it for Usman where I was limited at one bookie, and wanted to bet more, so did the math aswell. As long as its approx the same it´s fine. Try to avoid odd bet amounts on bookies to avoid attention, so just round a bit up or down.

 

[Deleted member 510399]

For whatever reason, when I'm in Vegas, my bankroll tends to go out the window.

Normal UFC fight cards, where I don't have any STRONG leans, I'll wager around 200-500$.

I'm on Costa, but I'm not overly confident on him. However, just because I'm in Vegas, I'll end up throwing 500$+ on that fight alone.

Definitely gonna degen it up and throw 200-300$ on Diego, just because Matthews does not deserve to be a -750 favorite, and Diego's most recent fight was against a HUGE 170lb fighter with striking far superior to Matthews.

I feel like Silva's line is off too, so I'll throw around the same on that.

 

[guesswhoseback]

And a side note im done replying to ppl very concerned about my bets. Im here to learn. I learned about BFO and am looking to get better odds sportsbooks. Im gona tighten my bets up where ill post in the official bets thread. Maybe after a while ill get respect. Ill b sure to show my winnings or losses at end of night thank you.
And is anyone on sportbet ? Good book? Im gona try get an account with them

Dude I have only been betting MMA for a month and I learned about best fight odds the very first event I bet on

 

[guesswhoseback]

For whatever reason, when I'm in Vegas, my bankroll tends to go out the window.

Normal UFC fight cards, where I don't have any STRONG leans, I'll wager around 200-500$.

I'm on Costa, but I'm not overly confident on him. However, just because I'm in Vegas, I'll end up throwing 500$+ on that fight alone.

Definitely gonna degen it up and throw 200-300$ on Diego, just because Matthews does not deserve to be a -750 favorite, and Diego's most recent fight was against a HUGE 170lb fighter with striking far superior to Matthews.

I feel like Silva's line is off too, so I'll throw around the same on that.

I agree man I have only been to Vegas a couple of times never for an MMA event and when Im betting NFL or College football I do a lot more then my normal 100-200 bet online

 

[UFCIsNOTRigged]

Idk why u don't realize I run thru 15k to 30k of wagers every fight night. Thats wat I said and thats wat I do. Its an average of 1000 to 1500 per fight if u really think about it. I already have 5000 in wagers pending for this weekend ... and will add accordingly. Bitcoin thru cashapp literally gets into account within 30 minutes ... im also done posting here ill take my talents elsewhere nice to meet u all. I got better things to do then get ridiculed by guys on the internet I know the range rover I bought with gambling money is real .. I know the foreclosures in PA im flipping have been bought with gambling money. Last piece of advice. Take 2 of the 3 dogs in boxing this week. Figure out the rest

You came into the thread and instantly started throwing around that you 'bet thousands' on fights each weekend and have only posted in here once or twice prior, what kind of reaction did you expect? If you are a smart guy you should be able to understand why 'sharing your picks' (many of which appear to be long shots) could frustrate some folks who are trying to keep the discussion serious and on topic.

If you have good takes to add then theres no reason to take your ball and go home, but this is a collaborative effort and we all have the same objective so no need to act superior; none of us know everything otherwise we wouldn't be posting in here.

 

[careto]

Can someone explain the love on Eubanks? She is 35, tends to slow down, and won her last fight by grappling Avila to the ground, something she wont be able to do against Vieira, who is a better grappler all-around. Vieira is coming off a KO loss but Eubanks doesnt have the power to repeat a KO or hurt Vieira. I think Vieira will trade and set up take downs to dominate the rounds. I doubt she will be risking too much in the stand up after getting KOd.

 

[Post 2 Decision]

Bet the house on Ibragimov

Obviously his UFC tenure has been trash, but the dude he's facing... I don't even... Like... Just what?

He's facing Danilo Marques

A Brazilian who is 9-2

His wins are against guys who have current records of

5-5-1
0-21
6-14
0-8
2-4
0-2
0-1
13-38
0-1

And his losses are against guys with

14-7
7-7

Ibragimov is around -160 right now, Marques +140

Am I missing something?

 

[UFCIsNOTRigged]

William Knight @ +150 over Aleksa Camur

Would not be surprised in the least bit if Knight KOs him in the first round; potentially minute. If you want to understand why, go watch Camurs first fight versus Justin Ledet; that was not a real fight.

 

[Everygoodnametook]

William Knight @ +150 over Aleksa Camur

Would not be surprised in the least bit if Knight KOs him in the first round; potentially minute. If you want to understand why, go watch Camurs first fight versus Justin Ledet; that was not a real fight.

so weird, literally came in here right now to see if anyone else was thinking this

waiting for props to drop on my book so I can take Knight by KO

 

[Post 2 Decision]

William Knight @ +150 over Aleksa Camur

Would not be surprised in the least bit if Knight KOs him in the first round; potentially minute. If you want to understand why, go watch Camurs first fight versus Justin Ledet; that was not a real fight.

so weird, literally came in here right now to see if anyone else was thinking this

waiting for props to drop on my book so I can take Knight by KO

Knight first round +450
Finish +210


(bet365 odds)

 

[PuertoRican]

Seems like there are some haters in this chat.

If the new guy is winning, then either congratulate, or ignore him if he's annoying. You definitely shouldn't hate on him if he's providing tickets for his wins.

Also, whether he's winning $15 on a card or $15,000 on a card, it shouldn't matter to you. Focus on your own bankroll.

 

[mmaday4day]

Bet the house on Ibragimov

Obviously his UFC tenure has been trash, but the dude he's facing... I don't even... Like... Just what?

He's facing Danilo Marques

A Brazilian who is 9-2

His wins are against guys who have current records of

5-5-1
0-21
6-14
0-8
2-4
0-2
0-1
13-38
0-1

And his losses are against guys with

14-7
7-7

Ibragimov is around -160 right now, Marques +140

Am I missing something?

You are not wrong. With that said, watch Ibragimov go crazy, gas after 30 sec and then get submitted.

 

[Kamais_Ookin]

You are not wrong. With that said, watch Ibragimov go crazy, gas after 30 sec and then get submitted.

Or he can fight like the way he did last fight where he looked terrified and did almost nothing before getting finished. Honestly I feel like if he reverts back to his usual self of going crazy in the first round he'll win pretty easily, but that last fight was a massive red flag. The u2.5 seems good to me if don't want to picks sides.

 

[mmaday4day]

I'm thinking about putting 100.000$ on Danilo Marques and another 50.000$ on Diego Sanchez.

 

[mmaday4day]

Or he can fight like the way he did last fight where he looked terrified and did almost nothing before getting finished. Honestly I feel like if he reverts back to his usual self of going crazy in the first round he'll win pretty easily, but that last fight was a massive red flag. The u2.5 seems good to me if don't want to picks sides.

This fight is so fucked up, that I could even see the fight going the distance.

 

[Everygoodnametook]

lmao Danilo’s last win was a decision against a 5-4 guy in February 2018

man if Khadis fucking blows this

 

[benebox]

Last piece of advice. Take 2 of the 3 dogs in boxing this week. Figure out the rest

Betting against the Charlo brothers? My only worry is that due to politics Sergiy will get robbed. I'm undecided wether to bet Sergiy +150 or Charlo decision +110

 

[Gugabe]

Seems like there are some haters in this chat.

If the new guy is winning, then either congratulate, or ignore him if he's annoying. You definitely shouldn't hate on him if he's providing tickets for his wins.

Also, whether he's winning $15 on a card or $15,000 on a card, it shouldn't matter to you. Focus on your own bankroll.

It's still kinda absurd when people are claiming feats of 'getting money down' that are essentially impossible unless you've got a great bowler network or you're a hardcore longterm loser.

 

[Broe.]

It's still kinda absurd when people are claiming feats of 'getting money down' that are essentially impossible unless you've got a great bowler network or you're a hardcore longterm loser.

Well i dont know about that. Many BTC bookies where you can open an anonymous account allow up to 10 btc bets on the ML.

 

[Gugabe]

Well i dont know about that. Many BTC bookies where you can open an anonymous account allow up to 10 btc bets on the ML.

Off a fresh no-history account this far before kick-off?

Maybe just before the jump, but if anybody's letting me get set for $100k~ USD on a UFC ML without prior dealings with me I'm kinda dubious about getting paid.