- Joined
- Dec 22, 2015
- Messages
- 2,545
- Reaction score
- 1,654
I really like the Masvidal/Usman o4.5 at + money.
I have a hard time seeing Usman finishing Masvidal. In the rare occurrence it does happen, I think it'll be a late stoppage TKO where the over still might possibly hit. Can't really see Usman subbing him... and although I guess it's slightly (very slightly) possible that Usman drops him on the feet and wins by follow up GNP, I can't really see that happening either. Discounting Usman's 1st UFC win over Hassan, he has hit the over 9 out of 10 times. Even counting that, he has hit the over 9 out of 11 times which is still a great stat.
If there is a finish, I think it'll be by Masvidal. However, I also think it's unlikely. Like I said with Usman, I can't really see Masvidal subbing him... Jorge's striking is legit and there's a chance he does drop/KO Usman, but man Usman has such a giant head and good punch resistance that I'm having a hard time seeing it happen. If it does, it's probably off a counter that Usman doesn't see coming.
Anywho, I think the over 4.5/ GTD lines should be -200 or over
Long time Jae! Good to see you back, however brief your stay may be