I thought Max is gonna finish this fight in later rounds, but there are things which make me think otherwise.
1..Max was bigger than Ortega, who himself is a giant FW. Max looked bigger even than Poirier at face off.
2..I know Max is not a heavy handed fighter, but how many times we see a guy go up in weight and suddenly his shots command a lot more respect.
3..Other sign - how many main events in recent history went past the 2nd round? From the last 9 events only two went the distance. All but one were over before the 3rd.
4..Last two losses of Dustin were by finish very early in the 1st.
I would seriously look at that Holloway by TKO/KO odds just because it's the most likely outcome IMO. And also think under 2.5rds have value too, because it covers if Dustin manages to find a choke (his only hope), I would think it is gonna be early before the 2:30 mark of the 3rd round - out of total of 24 wins he has only 2 finishes past 2.5rd, v Pettis 3rd but was 1st half of the round and v Gaethje in the beggining of the 4th.
Edit: now that I am reading what I've wrote I see that this logic doesn't sound very good because I counted all of Dustin's fights, should've just look at his 5 round fights. There are 5 of them. None went to the judges. 2 are over 2.5rds - one loss and one win. Does this mean anything? Is Holloway gonna finish in the 4th or get finished in the 4th? No. I don't think this means anything. That is how less than half of his 5 rounders ended. Just my gut tells me Holloway with the clean KO inside 2 rounds.