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These last few months I've been doing these fake bets to see how I'd go doing 3-5 fight multi-bets and putting $2500 on it each time.
I do a fair bit of research and I watch nearly every UFC fight that happens, and so far I've got 4 right and 2 wrong, so far losing 5k off the two wrong ones, but off the 4 winning ones I would've won 180k.
One of the events - the recent China card - I totally guessed most of the right ones, so I got seriously lucky there.
But I think now it is time for me to take the plunge and finally start making some actual paper off this. I'm giving myself a limit of 10k, which means I'll try 2.5k on 4 different UFC events. I won't be betting on every single card that comes up either, just the ones I feel confident in.
So, yeah, 232 has some nice matchups for me. I'm thinking:
Chiesa to beat Condit
Condit just doesn't have it anymore. He was getting totally handled by Magny everywhere. Chiesa will have watched this and will be clinching and looking for TDs immediately. He's also a better sub specialist than Magny.
Latifi to beat Corey Anderson.
I don't feel like Anderson is going to be able to handle the power shots of Latifi, and Latifi is a strong wrestlier. I only worry if it drags on and Latifi gases, but it is a 3 rounder, so I like Latifi here.
BJ to beat Ryan Hall.
I know BJ is bad now, but I like him in this. He's crafty enough on the ground and his takedown defense, while he couldn't stop Edgar, he should be able to stop someone like Hall who doesn't have a serious takedown game. I see BJ pushing forward and winning a decision, most likely.
So, if I got these 3 right it would return 27k.
Some other possible ones to add from this card are:
Urijah Hall
I feel like Hall is way to big of a stepping stone.
Chad
I like Volk, but again, Chad is a massive step up. I know Chad has been away a while, but I think that's been good for him. He proved he's still got the power against Jury. I'd worry about Volk catching him, but of all the Volk fights I've watched, he hasn't really done that to anybody except Elkins, who has no striking def.
Cat.
Should maul Megan. I've been watching Megan since her Invicta days, and I don't think she's going to go far in the UFC. She's too slow and has zero ground skills. Cat will take it to the ground and work her over.
If all those came in it'd return 139k, which would be pretty good.
So, yeah, what do you guys think of those first three, and possibly adding 1 or 2 of the second three for this multi?
I do a fair bit of research and I watch nearly every UFC fight that happens, and so far I've got 4 right and 2 wrong, so far losing 5k off the two wrong ones, but off the 4 winning ones I would've won 180k.
One of the events - the recent China card - I totally guessed most of the right ones, so I got seriously lucky there.
But I think now it is time for me to take the plunge and finally start making some actual paper off this. I'm giving myself a limit of 10k, which means I'll try 2.5k on 4 different UFC events. I won't be betting on every single card that comes up either, just the ones I feel confident in.
So, yeah, 232 has some nice matchups for me. I'm thinking:
Chiesa to beat Condit
Condit just doesn't have it anymore. He was getting totally handled by Magny everywhere. Chiesa will have watched this and will be clinching and looking for TDs immediately. He's also a better sub specialist than Magny.
Latifi to beat Corey Anderson.
I don't feel like Anderson is going to be able to handle the power shots of Latifi, and Latifi is a strong wrestlier. I only worry if it drags on and Latifi gases, but it is a 3 rounder, so I like Latifi here.
BJ to beat Ryan Hall.
I know BJ is bad now, but I like him in this. He's crafty enough on the ground and his takedown defense, while he couldn't stop Edgar, he should be able to stop someone like Hall who doesn't have a serious takedown game. I see BJ pushing forward and winning a decision, most likely.
So, if I got these 3 right it would return 27k.
Some other possible ones to add from this card are:
Urijah Hall
I feel like Hall is way to big of a stepping stone.
Chad
I like Volk, but again, Chad is a massive step up. I know Chad has been away a while, but I think that's been good for him. He proved he's still got the power against Jury. I'd worry about Volk catching him, but of all the Volk fights I've watched, he hasn't really done that to anybody except Elkins, who has no striking def.
Cat.
Should maul Megan. I've been watching Megan since her Invicta days, and I don't think she's going to go far in the UFC. She's too slow and has zero ground skills. Cat will take it to the ground and work her over.
If all those came in it'd return 139k, which would be pretty good.
So, yeah, what do you guys think of those first three, and possibly adding 1 or 2 of the second three for this multi?