UFC 228 - Till V Woodley

@Stunna77 missed the dip lol. Still got it at -150 though. Was gonna add another unit since you mentioned the price was so good but nah ima keep what I got.
 
@Stunna77 missed the dip lol. Still got it at -150 though. Was gonna add another unit since you mentioned the price was so good but nah ima keep what I got.

The drop to -108 was last night, I may have moved it back a bit. I also let others know about it so I am sure some of them hit it, seems like a pretty absurd line with Dodson facing way bigger hitters and more skilled finishers in general over his career and never being finished. Rivera a decision machine.
 
So Barry read Mkess post I see

Do you want to know the real genius of Barry? Because I just figured it out. The absolute brilliance of Barry is that he posts just often enough so that people remember his schtick, but doesn't spam the board with the same stuff day after day. If he was on here daily with all that "Woe is me" stuff mixed with the comical bragging about his capping abilities it would wear thin on everyone really quickly. But the fact that he spaces them out just enough to not be completely annoying is really the pinnacle of the long term trolling universe. I find myself looking forward to reading his posts when I see his name pop up, in spite of myself.
 
Do you want to know the real genius of Barry? Because I just figured it out. The absolute brilliance of Barry is that he posts just often enough so that people remember his schtick, but doesn't spam the board with the same stuff day after day. If he was on here daily with all that "Woe is me" stuff mixed with the comical bragging about his capping abilities it would wear thin on everyone really quickly. But the fact that he spaces them out just enough to not be completely annoying is really the pinnacle of the long term trolling universe. I find myself looking forward to reading his posts when I see his name pop up, in spite of myself.
You're blowing my mind here man. Stop it.

woah.gif
 
Just laid a hefty 200 bucks on a parlay

Stamann/aljo over 2.5
Suarez/Esparza over 2.5

Pays 171
 
Lotta money coming in on Till everywhere in the last hour or so. Woodley +125 now. People watched the open workout maybe? Or they liked that Till looked okay and said he was 182 pounds this morning on UFC Tonight maybe?
 
Lotta money coming in on Till everywhere in the last hour or so. Woodley +125 now. People watched the open workout maybe? Or they liked that Till looked okay and said he was 182 pounds this morning on UFC Tonight maybe?

could be due to hardy literally saying woodley had a weak mind and only a power right on inside the octagon.
 
Just laid a hefty 200 bucks on a parlay

Stamann/aljo over 2.5
Suarez/Esparza over 2.5
Pays 171

I think Suarez has a good shot of finishing Esparza. Didn't like how Carla looked off her back against a gassed and one-legged Gadelha. The size difference is gonna be a factor as well. Carla is not a tank like Perreira. Her striking has gotten better, and she's learned to work with her limited physical toolset, but man this looks like a real bad matchup for her.
 
Was at open workouts took pics with till. He’s 30 pounds bigger than Woodley. Woodley goes down Saturday, till is electric
 
Lotta money coming in on Till everywhere in the last hour or so. Woodley +125 now. People watched the open workout maybe? Or they liked that Till looked okay and said he was 182 pounds this morning on UFC Tonight maybe?

I really think mainly it's just the weight of money that has been steadily coming in on till finally broke the bookmakers liability so they have to cover on woodley now. saw this coming for ages. easy 2u profit already for me. open workout definitely helped in all likelihood too though ofc.
 
I would love to hang out with Barry at the bar and watch the fights...would be highly entertaining to say the least
 
Dogs I like for this card with good odds and chance to win.

Diego Sanchez
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Jim Miller
Roberto Sanchez

thats all.
 
Till
Val
Andrade
zabit
stamman vs sterling o. 2.5
rivera
aldana pudilova o.2.5
camacho
 
Dogs I like for this card with good odds and chance to win.

Diego Sanchez
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Jim Miller
Roberto Sanchez

thats all.

What do you like about Roberto Sanchez here (other than that Brooks can knock himself out)? Brooks is a high level wrestler with solid standup. He's coming off a probable robbery on a top tier flyweight and a fluke loss that was otherwise dominant in his favor. Sanchez has no standup and a sub is his only likely path to victory. I don't see a good chance of that against a fighter like Brooks. Not advocating playing -350 favorites here but I don't think Sanchez is worth playing
 
What do you like about Roberto Sanchez here (other than that Brooks can knock himself out)? Brooks is a high level wrestler with solid standup. He's coming off a probable robbery on a top tier flyweight and a fluke loss that was otherwise dominant in his favor. Sanchez has no standup and a sub is his only likely path to victory. I don't see a good chance of that against a fighter like Brooks. Not advocating playing -350 favorites here but I don't think Sanchez is worth playing
Brooks has poor fight IQ, coming from a ko loss and on short notice.
 
What do you like about Roberto Sanchez here (other than that Brooks can knock himself out)? Brooks is a high level wrestler with solid standup. He's coming off a probable robbery on a top tier flyweight and a fluke loss that was otherwise dominant in his favor. Sanchez has no standup and a sub is his only likely path to victory. I don't see a good chance of that against a fighter like Brooks. Not advocating playing -350 favorites here but I don't think Sanchez is worth playing
It wasn't a dominating performance, it was a dominating first round. Brooks was slowing down in the second, Torres started to sprawl the takedowns and putting on pressure, the momentum was switching. Brooks also slowed down a lot vs Figueiredo, he simply moves to much and put everything into his strikes and high amplitute takedowns. I'm pretty sure he would've lost the decision to Torres, if not finished in the third
 
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