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UFC 204 - Bisping vs Hendo II - England

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TheDawg said:
I get your point but this is different and I never bet smolka for the record. Two losing weeks thanks to Santos and Brooks. both were injured during their fights, I'd still pick them if they were to rematch.

Also have Gilbert Burns to thank for my losses, I heard Robin Black on the Fight Network saying that Alex Ricci told him that Gilbert Burns striking is looking really good and I ate that up thinking I had some sort of inside info (so stupid), plus I was picking Burns to win and wasn't all that impressed with MP.

Massive on Bisping, Mousasi. Hendo's right hand makes me more nervous than anything Vitor has got left. Although both are stil dangerous and this is MMA. I'm well aware of the risk I take but I'll only regret it if I lose.
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Santos was hurt??
 
Diakiese - I knew Madadi was going to pull out, I don't think Sajewski will put me in danger, I'll go out and finish as fast as I can, expect the first round again

 
Was injured for UFC HAmburg, never had to face the southpaw problem... audio isn't great, hard to listen to it.

 
Mike Perry.... from few weeks ago when he ko Lim




8-0 perfect record, all 8 ko wins

heavy handed striker with bricks as hands, with some average competition regional circuit wins to his record.

Quick glance at his resume
-MT champ
-Trains kickboxing at gym
-claims to be black belt with hands :)
-fav move left hook
-usually all r1s few r2

Danny roberts last 2 fights:

https://www.ufc.tv/video/danny-roberts-vs-nathan-coy-ufc-fight-night
https://www.ufc.tv/video/ufc-197-fotn-danny-roberts-vs-dominique-steele

-13-1 fighter (5 subs and 5 kos)
-amatuer boxer 32-7 record
-trains wrestling and ji jitsu daily but boxing/striking is his main style

Roberts is pretty tough and 6" tall so has that height and reach advantage over perry, roberts is more likely to go for submissions and grapple more then perry but I reckon perry has the advantage in ko power and has more heavier hands.

Roberts slowed down much by r3 against steele and frankly only looked good since steele was so tired and had nothing much left. Perry probably only needs one knock down to seal the round or gain judges respect and roberts also showed he fights so tall and upright and steele knocked him down early in r1.

Perry su but ko prop r1-r2
 
iGnP said:
Am I an asshole for calling bullshit unless he gets a lengthy suspension?
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Idk man, seems legit, Thiago said it caused "unbearable pain". Feel like the Brooks' rib injury was worse though, that must have been extremely painful, got mad respect for Brooks still trying to win after getting injured in the first, a lot of guys would quit.
 
TheDawg said:
I get your point but this is different and I never bet smolka for the record. Two losing weeks thanks to Santos and Brooks. both were injured during their fights, I'd still pick them if they were to rematch.

Also have Gilbert Burns to thank for my losses, I heard Robin Black on the Fight Network saying that Alex Ricci told him that Gilbert Burns striking is looking really good and I ate that up thinking I had some sort of inside info (so stupid), plus I was picking Burns to win and wasn't all that impressed with MP.

Massive on Bisping, Mousasi. Hendo's right hand makes me more nervous than anything Vitor has got left. Although both are stil dangerous and this is MMA. I'm well aware of the risk I take but I'll only regret it if I lose.
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Yeah been a crazy 2 last events, probably go big on moose and tumenov but want to see prelims lines, maybe big on bisping if the nights successful.
 
Ukram said:
Yeah been a crazy 2 last events, probably go big on moose and tumenov but want to see prelims lines, maybe big on bisping if the nights successful.
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Seems like a lot of Favs will be hitting, I can't play Tumenov though, not at current price at least. Edwards being underrated a little, plus hometown judging.
 
Under 1.5 rounds in Entwistle/Font seems to be the common sense play, Entwistle never went out of the first in his pro and ammy career.
 
TheDawg said:
Seems like a lot of Favs will be hitting, I can't play Tumenov though, not at current price at least. Edwards being underrated a little, plus hometown judging.
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I dont think you can moan about Tumenov's price. Edwards has beaten three very low level UFC guys who have all been cut. He lost to Claudio who is basically a bjj only guy and Edwards has pretty low output. Fightmetric backs this up 2 slpm. You are not going to decision Tumenov with low output. Tumenov dusted Jouban who is a top fighter and massacred Dwyer. He beat Larkin in a close fight too and Larkin is basically a better version of Edwards. Larkin ate a head kick somehow in that fight, Dwyer nearly died from one and Jouban blocked it but it still hurt him and led to his defeat. Even Musoke is probably a better version of Edwards and he got smashed last two rounds. -250 for me is acceptable parlay fodder. I think Edwards can probably have a long UFC career, but he has had favourable match ups besides Usman so far. He also needs to change up his training camp potentially. He may be the best in his gym.

Tumenov would dust Pawlak, Seth, Claudio and Waters in one round. Not decision two of them and lose to Claudio. Waters even gave Edwards some problems.
 
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SirKratos said:
Mousasi ITD odds going up?

giphy.gif


Seriously, am I missing something everyone else knows about??
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He's said he's going to fight safe countless times. I honestly wouldn't be surprised if he just 30-26'd Vitor
 
Brick Top said:
He's said he's going to fight safe countless times. I honestly wouldn't be surprised if he just 30-26'd Vitor
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Mousasi will gnp belfort for the stoppage. Off the juice vitor is the worst bjj bb ive ever seen off his back.
 
Sham5916910 said:
Mousasi will gnp belfort for the stoppage. Off the juice vitor is the worst bjj bb ive ever seen off his back.
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Or he'll just play it safe so he doesn't get Uriah'd and do what he did to Thales Leites
 
Moose said in that interview he won't be backing up against Vitor yet said he is most dangerous in the first round.

He did say he plans on not being exciting and just getting the win, so I expect moose to be cautious in r1, look to grapple, clinch and get the fight to the ground where he has a major advantage in gnp and sub attempts, pretty much how vitor losses lately.

Maybe play vitor r1 ko as a hedge but do like moose itd for now.
 
Ukram said:
Moose said in that interview he won't be backing up against Vitor yet said he is most dangerous in the first round.

He did say he plans on not being exciting and just getting the win, so I expect moose to be cautious in r1, look to grapple, clinch and get the fight to the ground where he has a major advantage in gnp and sub attempts, pretty much how vitor losses lately.

Maybe play vitor r1 ko as a hedge but do like moose itd for now.
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Rewatch the Ilir Latifi fight where he could have finished him at any moment but jabbed his face for 3 rounds instead to a decision win. Fuck betting Mousasi ITD or the under.
 
if Moose itd dropped to evens i'd hammer. Vitor wilts too easy when hes tired and getting hit
 
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