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UFC 204 - Bisping vs Hendo II - England

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FOTN: pickett-alcantara +500

you know they wanna give it to pickett. and it should be a fun fight.

honorable mention to tumenov-edwards, but that pays even less at +400, so just doing the pickett one.
 
FOTN: pickett-alcantara +500

you know they wanna give it to pickett. and it should be a fun fight.
I like it, $20 at +500. One of the two fighters planning on retiring tomorrow should get a win and a bonus on his way out the door.
 
Im taking Edwards dec +400. I think Tumenov got this but Edwards has a decent chance and I really dont see him finishing Tumenov.
 
Started watching tape on Diakiese. This guy is a freak, a true natural.
 
I hope there's more to the story, and I suspect there is. To me the 'camgirl' handle raises red flags. Female sports gamblers are rare, and sharp female sports gamblers are unicorns. I'd guess it's a sharp who's been limited that got his girlfriend to make bets for him.
Exactly my first thoughts about it too.
 
picket and perry gettin pounded by the public
 
Started watching tape on Diakiese. This guy is a freak, a true natural.
Holy shit, I posted that after only watching his first 3 fights. Now I watched them all. This guy has champion potential, like Jon Jones-level potential.
 
Luke Thomas picking Stasiak over Grant. He isn't bad picking winners though. I wonder why. Stasiak really better ground game`?
 
don't think it would be shocking.. he's fighting the most durable guy he's ever faced.. osp didn't get finished by jones.. in fact he's been stopped just twice in 27 fights, and we're talking about a guy who's fought

jon jones
glover
cummins
shogun
bader
feijao
villante
mousasi

in fact, the only time he was ever tko'd was back in 2009.. i never did see that fight (i doubt any of us have), but i HAVE to think he was just a raw mma fighter at the time. that tko loss made him 3-4 at the time.

Never saw that fight but crazy Virgil tko'd his. That athleticism gap is huge. Crazy he started his career 3-4.
 
Holy shit, I posted that after only watching his first 3 fights. Now I watched them all. This guy has champion potential, like Jon Jones-level potential.
Good wrestler will expose him. If he opens his mouth like McG he might get easier matchups in the future.
 
Fuck im torn on stasiak/ grant just rewatched grant vs vera and grant gave his back easily which is stasiak good on capitalizing. Damn idk what to do. Maybe best thing to do is to prefer hometown fighter? seems very even matchup
 
Fuck im torn on stasiak/ grant just rewatched grant vs vera and grant gave his back easily which is stasiak good on capitalizing. Damn idk what to do. Maybe best thing to do is to prefer hometown fighter? seems very even matchup
If you are torn and can't decide and you value Luke Thomas' opinion then take the dog or pass. I'm on Grant btw and feel pretty confident.
 
Fuck im torn on stasiak/ grant just rewatched grant vs vera and grant gave his back easily which is stasiak good on capitalizing. Damn idk what to do. Maybe best thing to do is to prefer hometown fighter? seems very even matchup
If you are torn and can't decide well then fuck Luke Thomas opinion. Let me tell you now, Stasiak is not good and will get thrashed
 
Since you're mentionin low stakes, I always wondered why you bet such tiny stakes. You obviously think you're "sharp" and profitable as a bettor, yet you bet extremely depressing amounts. Do you have an irrational fear of risk ? What's going on there ? You're a bit like someone who talks a lot about mountain biking (and sounds quite knowledgeable about it) but then just rides a bicycle with little training wheels on the sides, at the park, on Sunday afternoons. Dont let the analogy put you off, I'm genuinely curious.

The funny thing is that I think people who depend on gambling money are extremely depressing. Betting for me is just another version of a prediction league. I have no desire to increase risk, especially considering it is illegal in my state and my profession involves fiduciary duties. I really don't need to make side money and I honestly don't know if I'd enjoy gambling risking even medium stakes. Over the years, I've noticed a lot of the people at higher stakes get so bummed when they lose. MMAGoodfella and I talked about that a few years ago. The lows seem a lot more intense to the gamblers than the highs.
 
If you are torn and can't decide well then fuck Luke Thomas opinion. Let me tell you now, Stasiak is not good and will get thrashed
We were on same boat with Marquardt. Well okay I believe you now. Hope he gets trashed because grant is in my palray and if i lose......................
 
The funny thing is that I think people who depend on gambling money are extremely depressing. Betting for me is just another version of a prediction league. I have no desire to increase risk, especially considering it is illegal in my state and my profession involves fiduciary duties. I really don't need to make side money and I honestly don't know if I'd enjoy gambling risking even medium stakes. Over the years, I've noticed a lot of the people at higher stakes get so bummed when they lose. MMAGoodfella and I talked about that a few years ago. The lows seem a lot more intense to the gamblers than the highs.
I don't really see the point of betting like $20 per event if you are going to spend time researching fights and trying to find angles but that's a 100% personal decision.

It can be stressful betting large amounts, the anticipation is exciting but I don't particularly enjoy it, I do enjoy the money though so it's worth it. This weekend for example is the worst stress I've had betting all year and it's because I'm betting a large portion of my bankroll. TBH I don't think I will even watch the fights live, not the main and co main at least, no reason to mentally torture myself. Making five figures in 6 months makes it all worth it though. Gonna be four figures if this week doesn't go well though.
 
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