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UFC 204 - Bisping vs Hendo II - England

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Rebel_LioN said:
Ok not sure how to play but I'll try it.
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First things first, always Reserve your seat. It allows you to join the event before it fills up, and allows you to go back and make your team at a later time.

DraftKings just updated their rules last week. Watch the first 6:30 minutes of this video to get an understanding of what to do and what was changed:

 
side bet £50 returns £170. struve/tumenov/grant

i didn't watch tape on davey grant but thought stasiak sucked, so blindly tailing joseph budden. i dislike the price on tumenov (wanted font instead), think edwards has a legit chance but fuck it. i think struve wins in dominant fashion. i was tempted to go yolo and add mike perry for a much larger return but going cautious instead.

initially i thought osp would blitz manuwa (probably still will) but i can see where people are coming from betting manuwa via dec at long odds. osp could definitely slow down in r2 and 3 and manuwa wins via higher output and more technical striking.
 
piglord said:
side bet £50 returns £170. struve/tumenov/grant

i didn't watch tape on davey grant but thought stasiak sucked, so blindly tailing joseph budden. i dislike the price on tumenov (wanted font instead), think edwards has a legit chance but fuck it. i think struve wins in dominant fashion. i was tempted to go yolo and add mike perry for a much larger return but going cautious instead.

initially i thought osp would blitz manuwa (probably still will) but i can see where people are coming from betting manuwa via dec at long odds. osp could definitely slow down in r2 and 3 and manuwa wins via higher output and more technical striking.
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Manuwa has only won one fight by decision. I'd be shocked if he wins via decision.
 
i'd be more shocked if he finishes osp. i think osp wins the fight but manuwa via dec is totally conceivable here imo.
 
Oblivian said:
Manuwa has only won one fight by decision. I'd be shocked if he wins via decision.
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don't think it would be shocking.. he's fighting the most durable guy he's ever faced.. osp didn't get finished by jones.. in fact he's been stopped just twice in 27 fights, and we're talking about a guy who's fought

jon jones
glover
cummins
shogun
bader
feijao
villante
mousasi

in fact, the only time he was ever tko'd was back in 2009.. i never did see that fight (i doubt any of us have), but i HAVE to think he was just a raw mma fighter at the time. that tko loss made him 3-4 at the time.
 
That's a good point, but if you look at OSP's decision losses, this would by far be the most shocking (post 2009). The others aren't strangers to decisions and can clearly control.
 
Oblivian said:
That's a good point, but if you look at OSP's decision losses, this would by far be the most shocking (post 2009). The others aren't strangers to decisions and can clearly control.
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yea but something has to give.. saying manuwa to win a decision would be shocking should be coupled by big bets on OSP and/or manuwa ITD plays, and i couldn't see either one of those two being justified (personally)
 
Weird fight, and probably one of the reasons that it's one of my lowest stakes of the weekend. I personally think OSP wins ITD, has a clear decision, or loses with an early finish by Manuwa.
 
Watching weigh ins. Confidence increase Santos. Noticeably bigger than Martins
 
EzFlyer said:
a lot softer
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Yeah but he always has been. If he could deal with the size of Thiago Santos and Ponz i'm not too worried about that in general. This is just a confidence increase it will be less tiring for him to implement his hugging gameplan for 3 rounds
 
Ukram said:
While its nice to see BR grow, remember UK bookies if not all of them have no law, no morals or ethnics. The amount of times I have seen bookies suspend accounts in uk alone is crazy, its on the uprise too
(I check a few other forums out like SBR )

They won't even transfer your money or winnings back to you, many will just lock it and keep the money and tell you to call the police or hire a solicitor. Don't get me going on the solicitor or police, their even worse crooks then the bookies ;)

http://www.askgamblers.com/forum/topic/5792-bet365-refuse-payment-of-sports-bet-i-won/

Its your call but I would cash out more or if your doing a withdrawal every few months maybe keep it under a limit to 2-3k. Just don't wanna see anyone lose 30k like that guy in the link above.
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I hope there's more to the story, and I suspect there is. To me the 'camgirl' handle raises red flags. Female sports gamblers are rare, and sharp female sports gamblers are unicorns. I'd guess it's a sharp who's been limited that got his girlfriend to make bets for him.
 
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Oblivian said:
Weird fight, and probably one of the reasons that it's one of my lowest stakes of the weekend. I personally think OSP wins ITD, has a clear decision, or loses with an early finish by Manuwa.
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Since you're mentionin low stakes, I always wondered why you bet such tiny stakes. You obviously think you're "sharp" and profitable as a bettor, yet you bet extremely depressing amounts. Do you have an irrational fear of risk ? What's going on there ? You're a bit like someone who talks a lot about mountain biking (and sounds quite knowledgeable about it) but then just rides a bicycle with little training wheels on the sides, at the park, on Sunday afternoons. Dont let the analogy put you off, I'm genuinely curious.
 
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