Brad Taschuk -
http://www.mmaoddsbreaker.com/news/full-ufc-198-betting-odds/
Warlley Alves isn’t all the way there as a prospect, and we’ve already seen that Bryan Barberena is a good test for prospects, being particularly adept at dragging them into deep waters. However, Warlley Alves is not Sage Northcutt. He’s much more dangerous everywhere, has been in with better competition, and should be able to survive even if he’s tired in round three and Barberena is still around. This is the “get the Brazilian prospect a win in front of the home crowd” fight, and one of many that seem to be friendly matchups for Brazilians on UFC 198.
There’s a very good chance that Thiago Santos is going to kick Nate Marquardt’s head clean off. The Brazilian has massive power in his legs, has improved his wrestling significantly, and Marquardt’s offense is mostly anemic. Marquardt still has the skills to perhaps land something like he did to CB Dolloway, but even at over +200 I don’t want to take the shot.
It’s hard to see John Lineker and (insert opponent here) producing anything but pure violence in the cage. In this case “(insert opponent here)” is Rob Font, and he might be able to give Lineker some trouble early with his physical advantages and sharp striking. Eventually though, Lineker will work his way inside and it will be hard to see Font being able to match his punching power and chin once the exchanges really get going. I think Lineker scores another impressive win at bantamweight, and moves into discussion as a contender. If the line stays put or drops, I have to take a shot on Lineker.
This fight seems destined to be a repeat of Nogueira’s bouts with Ryan Bader and Phil Davis, where a much bigger, stronger, better wrestler was simply able to grind him out for 15 minutes. The blueprint is clearly in place for Cummins, he has the skills to execute it, and he just needs to avoid getting clipped on the way in. The defense Cummins showed in the OSP fight (among others) is the reason this line is so low, and I think it’s one to take advantage of.
Everybody’s favorite Brazilian Grandpa, Trinaldo is back in action. The ageless ‘Massaranduba’ is on by far the best run of his career, with five straight wins in the UFC. While he’s not going to be making a title run any time soon, Trinaldo’s improvement has been marked in both his striking and ability to manage his cardio in fights. Against Yancy Medeiros, he’s facing someone who is dangerous, but defensively deficient. I think Trinaldo is able to strike effectively with Medeiros, and avoid the big attacks from the Hawaiian in order to pick up his sixth straight.
As long as Sergio Moraes doesn’t convince himself he’s a striker after his knockout win against Omari Akhmedov, he’s got an absolutely enormous grappling advantage over Luan Chagas. On the feet, Chagas is faster and hits harder, but Moraes is a good enough wrestler to get this down and has the BJJ skills to find a quick sub. This could play out as many expected Moraes’ bout with Mickael Lebout to, but I certainly won’t be laying the price.
What an opening fight. Both Zubaira Tukhugov and Renato ‘Moicano’ are good featherweight prospects, and generally in fun fights. Tukhugov is the better striker, but Carneiro’s length and kicking game could give him some trouble on the feet. ‘Moicano’ has a big advantage on the ground, but may struggle to take Tukhugov down. Luckily, he’s the type of grappler who excels in dragging fights to the ground from the clinch or jumping on an opponent’s back in a standing position. I think that Carneiro’s more well-rounded skill set carries him to victory in this battle and gets the night started right for Brazil.
I think it's awesome to watch UFC with friends as well, but they are not as passion as me about, so I rather watch it alone while posting in the play by play discussions 
