UFC 198 - Curitiba - Werdum vs Miocic

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EzFlyer said:
Liking medeiros at +200. I think the fight could be damned close. Trinaldo knows how to win rounds, but he never really impresses me. Medeiros gonna have length on him, sneaky good subs.. If he sits back too much hell probably lose the decision (in Brazil), but +200 I gotta play him.
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Watched tape on both guys just last 2 fights but a decent point about medeiros reach and height, after re-watching the makdessi fight I think he easily won 2 rounds in that fight if not 3, was surprised how he used his jab and kept makdessi 2nd guessing and unable to get into a rhythm for his pristine jab or leg kicks.

The issue I feel with medeiros is he has that slim frame and trinaldo packs plenty power in his punches and if that was not bad enough he can lift guys like medeiros up and slam them, trinaldo has that powerful body frame perfect for that style, I think it will be a split decision or close fight still like the idea of a bit of action @ that price though so worth a stab.
 
Been thinking of degen bet Chagas by dec for reasons stated above. Sergio is at such an incredibly high level of jiu jitsu but his standup is sloppy and forced and his fight IQ isn't very good
 
Sham5916910 said:
Do you think Moraes should be -450? Omari was comfortably beating him too until he landed the unlikeliest of knockout punches. Defo a lb fight for me that i will watch VERY closely.
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Moraes is unplayable at that line and way overpriced, yeah lb is the way forward if chagas was not coming in on a weeks notice id be more tempted he may bring it more playable after r1, I do still reckon moraes strikes a little bit and sets up a take down and its his world from that point, chagas is a black belt bjj also but not remotely on same level as moraes.
 
Looks like first 3 early prelims on fight pass, think 11:15pm Saturday night, 1am to 3am prelims (BTsports 2), then 3am to 7am main card (BTsports 2)

For uk folk we can enjoy breakfast just after stipe wins a controversial split decision lol
 
wow @ some of the line movement

tukhugov opens -140
gets up to -230
back down to -150

medeiros opens +135
goes up to +205

cummins -165 to -255

lineker opens -150
gets up to -220
back down to -150

alves quickly -350 to -650

maia opens -380
gets down to -260
back up to -330

miocic has been bet pretty strongly from the outset, too

some big movement on ufc 198
 
EzFlyer said:
wow @ some of the line movement

tukhugov opens -140
gets up to -230
back down to -150

medeiros opens +135
goes up to +205

cummins -165 to -255

lineker opens -150
gets up to -220
back down to -150

alves quickly -350 to -650

maia opens -380
gets down to -260
back up to -330

miocic has been bet pretty strongly from the outset, too

some big movement on ufc 198
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Makes me happy I took a break during round 1 of KK/HJ to bet on this card
 
Agent Mulder said:
Those who thought my 5u on Tumenov was dumb are gonna love my 7u on Corey -117. I love the price. Hedging a bit with Shogun KO. If Corey just chooses to wrestle right off the bat he should pick up an easy win. However, im a bit scared that he chooses to stand for a majority of the fight like last time.
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If he standa he Ko's shogun

Yes that is right

shogun's chin is likely done, not to mention his cardio

I actually made a play on Corey tko rd1 at +1000

Shogun has nothing left sadly
 
Ukram said:
Looks like first 3 early prelims on fight pass, think 11:15pm Saturday night, 1am to 3am prelims (BTsports 2), then 3am to 7am main card (BTsports 2)

For uk folk we can enjoy breakfast just after stipe wins a controversial split decision lol
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FFS! Im really hoping all my bets come in so I can go to bed after the Cyborg fight. Going to bed at 6am is a killer with two under 3's who get up at 7am!
 
Ukram said:
Looks like first 3 early prelims on fight pass, think 11:15pm Saturday night, 1am to 3am prelims (BTsports 2), then 3am to 7am main card (BTsports 2)

For uk folk we can enjoy breakfast just after stipe wins a controversial split decision lol
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Sham5916910 said:
FFS! Im really hoping all my bets come in so I can go to bed after the Cyborg fight. Going to bed at 6am is a killer with two under 3's who get up at 7am!
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Always feel bad for you Europeans when I see these fight times lol just brutal
 
Joseph Budden said:
Always feel bad for you Europeans when I see these fight times lol just brutal
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It's swings and roundabouts. In a way it's great it's on middle of the night as everyone's in bed and i can watch in complete peace. Last weeks Rotterdam card I had a baby in one arm and phone in the other hand while I'm trying to live bet! If I didn't have young kids i wouldn't mind middle of the night cards as I would just get up at midday Sunday. Probably got about 10 years until I can enjoy it lol!
 
Sham5916910 said:
It's swings and roundabouts. In a way it's great it's on middle of the night as everyone's in bed and i can watch in complete peace. Last weeks Rotterdam card I had a baby in one arm and phone in the other hand while I'm trying to live bet! If I didn't have young kids i wouldn't mind middle of the night cards as I would just get up at midday Sunday. Probably got about 10 years until I can enjoy it lol!
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I really do love the peace in the middle of the night when I can sit and watch UFC for myself with beer(s) in the one hand and the other hand ready for hammering the livebet buttons :) I think it's awesome to watch UFC with friends as well, but they are not as passion as me about, so I rather watch it alone while posting in the play by play discussions :) UFC alone by night is really one of my favorite things to do. I kind of felt weird with that Rotterdam card since it was in the middle of the day.
 
Yea gonna +1 that "It's very nice to sit and bet in the middle of the night". Was used to those 12h+ multitabling poker sessions with tons of redbull when I was younger so I'm fairly good at staying concentrated as long as I just have to focus on one thing.

It's really hard to bet during the days because my gf is highly social and likes to come and tell me random stuff about her job, our cats, plans for dinner or various dumb shit I've forgot to do which messes with my focus a lot.

The only thing I've got a hard time with is when the main card is weak but the main event is something I want to live bet. It's really hard staying up past 5am watching fights you don't really care about.
 
Rebel Lion,

Please share some of your "bookie breaker" parlays!

Also I like Anderson by decision with is even money right now.
 
just played Cummins and Anderson big. I see that the line has dropped quite a bit since it opened but i feel 1.446 and 1.434 respectivly is pretty amazing. Don't see either losing
 
Slohog said:
Yea gonna +1 that "It's very nice to sit and bet in the middle of the night". Was used to those 12h+ multitabling poker sessions with tons of redbull when I was younger so I'm fairly good at staying concentrated as long as I just have to focus on one thing.

It's really hard to bet during the days because my gf is highly social and likes to come and tell me random stuff about her job, our cats, plans for dinner or various dumb shit I've forgot to do which messes with my focus a lot.

The only thing I've got a hard time with is when the main card is weak but the main event is something I want to live bet. It's really hard staying up past 5am watching fights you don't really care about.
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Gonna +1 right back at ya with that one. It's a woman thing I guess, and it seems that they really can't calibrate what and when to say different stuff :D
 
EzFlyer said:
Hehe, man, were just not on the same page on the prelims this week!
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I'm probably gonna switch on tuhkgohov

The complaints in making about yancy kind of mirror moicana skill set.

I think moicana is a better kicker but tuhkogov moves around a lot.
 
Guys im big on Vitor r1 but i absolutely favour Jacare. This is deflated Vitor @ 39 years of age with no proven tdd.
 
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