So what will happen in footwear? Over time, production will and should move from China. Vietnam will be the major beneficiary, along with its Southeast Asian neighbors. If Nike and other importers are wise, they will announce new U.S. plants. Vietnam will eliminate all tariffs on U.S. goods and increase its auto and equipment purchases from the U.S. In exchange, Trump will sharply lower tariffs on Vietnam, hopefully to zero. Separately, U.S. shoe production will rise, and Nike will do just fine. Look for similar results across most of the 70 countries now in direct negotiations