@Rob Battisti v.
@Barteh
1. In the 2024 presidential election, Harris will both:
-Win the states Virginia, New Jersey, Minnesota, and Oregon
-Win New York by a 10 point or higher margin from Trump
2.
@Barteh - for;
@Rob Battisti - against
3. 11/5/24 (tentative, can go to certification day)
4. Signature bet
5. 6 months
6a. In the event either Trump (Republican) or Harris (Democrat) are not their party’s nominee, the bet is void.
6b. In the event there’s a dispute about who won, certification by Congress will be the final determination
6c. For the 10 point margin with New York, no rounding will be done. For example, a 9.99% margin would be a win for Rob. A 10.000% margin would be a win for Barteh. For clarity, margin is being determined by taking each candidates votes divided by total votes and then subtracting Harris’ percentage from Trump’s percentage.
Some things to note about the above. Please read to confirm I got the details right and propose modification if needed. I added provisions 6a and 6b that were normally put in prior bets. 6a can be removed if final candidate on the ballot isn’t conditional but 6b, I would want a clear criteria to prove there’s agreement on what a win would be if not congress certifying. 6c is necessary just to be specific on the math/ statement.
Also,
@Barteh, Rob has an active bet for a six month sig that is settled 1/1/25. If he wins, it won’t impact anything here but if he loses, the winner of that bet would have priority in using Rob’s sig for those six months. You likely would be able to use the sig shortly after the election but then a pause if Rob lost in 2025 and then back on around July.
I need both of you to quote this post and give an okay for it to become official.
