The War Room Bet Thread V3

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@bobgeese
Quote this post and give an okay

@bobgeese v. @waiguoren
1. Nikki Haley will be the 2024 Republican nominee for president.
2. @waiguoren - against @bobgeese - for
3. Official Announcement at the 2024 Republican National Convention (around July 2024)
4. Signature bet
5. 1 year
 
Hello Mr. Ig. It seems you and I disagree strongly about the prospects of Joseph Biden to defeat Donald Trump. I thereby offer you a wager. Should you be brave enough to take it and win, you will own my avatar and signature for a year (or longer if you like).

@IGIT v. @waiguoren
1. If Joseph Biden is the Democratic nominee for president on election day 2020, and if Donald Trump is the Republican nominee for president on election day 2020, Joseph Biden will win the 2020 presidential election.
2. @waiguoren - against @IGIT - for
3. Election day 2020
4. Avatar and Signature bet
5. 1 year
 
Hello Mr. Ig. It seems you and I disagree strongly about the prospects of Joseph Biden to defeat Donald Trump. I thereby offer you a wager. Should you be brave enough to take it and win, you will own my avatar and signature for a year (or longer if you like).

@IGIT v. @waiguoren
1. If Joseph Biden is the Democratic nominee for president on election day 2020, and if Donald Trump is the Republican nominee for president on election day 2020, Joseph Biden will win the 2020 presidential election.
2. @waiguoren - against @IGIT - for
3. Election day 2020
4. Avatar and Signature bet
5. 1 year

hi Waiguoren,

i think Mr. Biden - or any centrist Democrat who has achieved enough profile with the electorate to become the frontrunner - can beat President Trump.

but do i see it as a sure thing, like being absolutely certain that GSP would destroy Matt Serra in their initial matchup? no, i'm not that certain.

so, no bet. i like your avatar anyway, i wouldn't want to change it.

- IGIT
 
@Lead @waiguoren



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@bobgeese
Quote this post and give an okay

@bobgeese v. @waiguoren
1. Nikki Haley will be the 2024 Republican nominee for president.
2. @waiguoren - against @bobgeese - for
3. Official Announcement at the 2024 Republican National Convention (around July 2024)
4. Signature bet
5. 1 year

Hm weird. Anyway, I re-approve:



Approve.

I’m in.

It's official

@bobgeese v. @waiguoren
1. Nikki Haley will be the 2024 Republican nominee for president.
2. @waiguoren - against @bobgeese - for
3. Official Announcement at the 2024 Republican National Convention (around July 2024)
4. Signature bet
5. 1 year
 
Hello Mr. Rock.

You wrote:

Hillary is going to offer warren the VP spot to step aside. It will be an offer she can’t refuse

I think you're wrong. Let's have a bet between gentlemen on the matter.

1. Hillary Clinton will be the 2020 Democratic nominee for president, and Elizabeth Warren will be the VP nominee.
2. @Rockapotomuss - for @waiguoren - against
3. 2020 Democratic National Convention
4. Signature bet
5. 1 year
 
Hello Mr. Rock.

You wrote:



I think you're wrong. Let's have a bet between gentlemen on the matter.

1. Hillary Clinton will be the 2020 Democratic nominee for president, and Elizabeth Warren will be the VP nominee.
2. @Rockapotomuss - for @waiguoren - against
3. 2020 Democratic National Convention
4. Signature bet
5. 1 year

you have to give me better odds. Chances of Hillary running right now are betting at 5:1 on predictit.
 
you have to give me better odds. Chances of Hillary running right now are betting at 5:1 on predictit.

I'll give you 4:1, Mr. Rock. Deal?


1. Hillary Clinton will be the 2020 Democratic nominee for president, and Elizabeth Warren will be the VP nominee.
2. @Rockapotomuss - for @waiguoren - against
3. 2020 Democratic National Convention
4. Signature and AV bet
5. 12 months if Rockapotomuss wins; three months if waiguoren wins
 
I'll give you 4:1, Mr. Rock. Deal?


1. Hillary Clinton will be the 2020 Democratic nominee for president, and Elizabeth Warren will be the VP nominee.
2. @Rockapotomuss - for @waiguoren - against
3. 2020 Democratic National Convention
4. Signature and AV bet
5. 12 months if Rockapotomuss wins; three months if waiguoren wins

5 to 1 is just for Hillary running. Add Hillary winning the DNC and then add warren as VP on top of that and you have to give me much better odds.
 
@Cunningham

Because of how active @waiguoren is here with bets, I have to access how overleveraged he is at any point in time. There is a scenario where Wai will be handling the punishment of other sig bets that could last for 5 months after your bet is settled. I'm fine with moving forward on it if you are okay with that note. Just let me know and I'll post it for both your approvals.

I'm in.
 
I like your goad game. You've got it. Sanders or boot it is.


@Cunningham v. @waiguoren
1. Donald Trump will win the 2020 election for president.
2. @waiguoren - against @Cunningham - for
3. November 9, 2020
4. Sig and av bet
5. One year
6. The bet is only valid if Peter Buttigieg or Bernard Sanders is the Democratic nominee for president on election day 2020. If Trump doesn't run for whatever reason, bet is void.

@Cunningham

Because of how active @waiguoren is here with bets, I have to access how overleveraged he is at any point in time. There is a scenario where Wai will be handling the punishment of other sig bets that could last for 5 months after your bet is settled. I'm fine with moving forward on it if you are okay with that note. Just let me know and I'll post it for both your approvals.


@waiguoren

This was from last week so I’m reseeking your approval to make this official. Let me know soon as we will run into the same issue again if significant amount of time passes.
 
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