The War Room Bet Thread V3

[SBJJ]

They call that beginner's luck. Braggart.

Yea. I’m just Fucking around

Seems most the battle is just finding other posters crazy enough to bet on emotion

 

[waiguoren]

He knows he’s losing our bet but will continue to post his BS because he can never admit to even a small mistake. And I’m sure even after being called out on his dishonesty here for probably the 5th time he will just wait a few weeks and still post this dishonest dribble

If you win the bet, it's likely he'll say you got "lucky". That's how he characterized my string of wins.

Of course, if he wins the bet, it will be because of great wisdom and insight.

 

[SBJJ]

If you win the bet, it's likely he'll say you got "lucky". That's how he characterized my string of wins.

Of course, if he wins the bet, it will be because of great wisdom and insight.

It’s funny because I don’t think the ORIGINAL bet showed either of us to be that far off. I’m really not sure why he’s acting the way he is in here unless it’s just more of the same from him

I probably capped our original bet as 55% in my favor. Maybe 60%. At the current time I actually think he needs something dramatic(negative) to happen to cash this one. I’d give him a 1 in 4 or 5 shot currently

Of course he can still win, but his side basically is running on the “punchers chance” at this time. I’ll be gracious if I win.

I’d just like to see him act a bit more mature around here. And realize stalking posters over petty beefs is something teenage girls do. Not a good look for a grown man

 

[Jack V Savage]

Ahhhhh it's GOP +3. I was counting McSally as a pickup but it's a hold.

Nate Silver's forecast said there was about a 85.2% chance that the Republican net gain would be < 3 seats. In fact, they are going to gain three seats.

Possible but you're still jumping the gun.

I think it's a consequence of Silver continuing to underestimate the Trump effect. Let's never forget that Silver gave Trump a 2% chance of winning the Republican nomination when Trump was leading in the polls.

You mean when he just informally spit-balled it? Not sure why that would reflect on his methods when they are applied. But it's cute that you think "Daddy" has some kind of magic electoral effect, despite the evidence.

Also, nice work tagging another bottom-tier poster to come in and shit up another discussion (though I see the rotten-souled Inga likes it). I guess you do that (send out the brainless GOP hack bat signal) for emotional support. Maybe just PM him next time, though.

 

[waiguoren]

You mean when he just informally spit-balled it? Not sure why that would reflect on his methods when they are applied.

I agree, and the same should go for my "prediction" yesterday that the Rs would hold the House.

But it's cute that you think "Daddy" has some kind of magic electoral effect, despite the evidence.

I think it's kind of weird that you refer to another grown man as "Daddy". Would you like to talk about it?

Also, nothing "magic" about it. The guy generates excitement among the Republican base in a way that I haven't seen since Ronald Reagan. The Republican base turned out big time in 2018 in Florida, for example. To ignore Trump's role in that would be like ignoring the effect that Robert O'Rourke's candidacy had downballot in the Dallas and Houston suburbs (the Culberson and Sessions contests should have been close, but O'Rourke turned out tons of young people).

Also, nice work tagging another bottom-tier poster to come in and shit up another discussion (though I see the rotten-souled Inga likes it). I guess you do that (send out the brainless GOP hack bat signal) for emotional support. Maybe just PM him next time, though.

I damn near rolled off the bed laughing at "the rotten-souled Inga". Really good stuff there, A+, I'm feeling less bad about the loss with every passing moment.

"GOP hack bat signal" is good too. Your humor is improving dude!

 

[Limbo Pete]

Bigger than giving Trump a 2% chance of winning the Republican nomination?

Easy money.

 

[SBJJ]

I agree, and the same should go for my "prediction" yesterday that the Rs would hold the House.




I think it's kind of weird that you refer to another grown man as "Daddy". Would you like to talk about it?

Also, nothing "magic" about it. The guy generates excitement among the Republican base in a way that I haven't seen since Ronald Reagan. The Republican base turned out big time in 2018 in Florida, for example. To ignore Trump's role in that would be like ignoring the effect that Robert O'Rourke's candidacy had downballot in the Dallas and Houston suburbs (the Culberson and Sessions contests should have been close, but O'Rourke turned out tons of young people).



I damn near rolled off the bed laughing at "the rotten-souled Inga". Really good stuff there, A+, I'm feeling less bad about the loss with every passing moment.

"GOP hack bat signal" is good too. Your humor is improving dude!

Notice how AGAIN he makes dishonest statements then slithers away when confronted

And LOL at him attacking Inga over a like. Dude has crossed into Buffalo Bill creepy category. Really surprised people indulge him at this point. I pray this persona he pushes in here is fake.

I do think the creepy stalking crosses a line. Calling posters Rapists is one thing. Telling someone to kill themselves in a non joking manner is one thing. Acting a child with insults non stop is one thing. But non stop stalking with non stop flaming of certain posters seems to cross lines that very few have or do

Imagine if RIP acted like this. Come on.

 

[waiguoren]

Telling someone to kill themselves in a non joking manner is one thing.

That one surprised me. Seems to indicate something deeper is wrong.

What's the stalking thing about?

 

[Jack V Savage]

I agree, and the same should go for my "prediction" yesterday that the Rs would hold the House.

Not really. You made that prediction when a lot of good data that contradicted it was available. Not similar to just pulling a number out of your ass in a conversation more than a year before an election.

I think it's kind of weird that you refer to another grown man as "Daddy". Would you like to talk about it?

What do you think the quotation marks were for?

Also, nothing "magic" about it. The guy generates excitement among the Republican base in a way that I haven't seen since Ronald Reagan.

There's no evidence for that, though. That's why I say magic.

The Republican base turned out big time in 2018 in Florida, for example. To ignore Trump's role in that would be like ignoring the effect that Robert O'Rourke's candidacy had downballot in the Dallas and Houston suburbs (the Culberson and Sessions contests should have been close, but O'Rourke turned out tons of young people).

I've noticed that you refuse to call O'Rourke by his preferred name. Seems pretty immature.

I damn near rolled off the bed laughing at "the rotten-souled Inga". Really good stuff there, A+, I'm feeling less bad about the loss with every passing moment.

I think it's objectively true. No honor, dishonest, and just plain ugly.

Notice how AGAIN he makes dishonest statements then slithers away when confronted

What are you talking about? A dishonest statement would be one that is knowingly untrue.

I do think the creepy stalking crosses a line. Calling posters Rapists is one thing. Telling someone to kill themselves in a non joking manner is one thing. Acting a child with insults non stop is one thing. But non stop stalking with non stop flaming of certain posters seems to cross lines that very few have or do

Imagine if RIP acted like this. Come on.

Who is a rapist? WTF? And it's not "stalking you" to note, after waiguoren sought your help in this thread, to say that I think you're of subnormal intellect (wai should look up the "surname" argument).

 

[SBJJ]

Not really. You made that prediction when a lot of good data that contradicted it was available. Not similar to just pulling a number out of your ass in a conversation more than a year before an election.



What do you think the quotation marks were for?



There's no evidence for that, though. That's why I say magic.



I've noticed that you refuse to call O'Rourke by his preferred name. Seems pretty immature.



I think it's objectively true. No honor, dishonest, and just plain ugly.



What are you talking about? A dishonest statement would be one that is knowingly untrue.



Who is a rapist? WTF? And it's not "stalking you" to note, after waiguoren sought your help in this thread, to say that I think you're of subnormal intellect (wai should look up the "surname" argument).

Go actually read our back and forth. I specifically call you out for a half a dozen times on your lies. You have ducked it numerous times. Either bet on it or fuck off

I’m not talking about you stalking me. You stalk others. And you are a creep

Are you saying you never said anything about another poster being a possible rapist for his views? Would you like to bet on it.

 

[Jack V Savage]

Go actually read our back and forth. I specifically call you out for a half a dozen times on your lies. You have ducked it numerous times. Either bet on it or fuck off

What lies?

I’m not talking about you stalking me. You stalk others. And you are a creep

Are you saying you never said anything about another poster being a possible rapist for his views? Would you like to bet on it.

I truly have no idea what you're talking about (with either stalking or this rapist thing). I don't rule out the possibility that someone described raping someone and I called it out, just don't know what you're referring to. Why not just post it, as an honorable person would do (if you're going to make the claim, back it up)?

 

[waiguoren]

I've noticed that you refuse to call O'Rourke by his preferred name. Seems pretty immature.

His "preferred" name?

I see the rotten-souled Inga likes it

I damn near rolled off the bed laughing at "the rotten-souled Inga".

I think it's objectively true. No honor, dishonest, and just plain ugly.

lol! You can't have a "objectively rotten soul". Rotting is a physical process, souls are not physical.

Not really. You made that prediction when a lot of good data that contradicted it was available. Not similar to just pulling a number out of your ass in a conversation more than a year before an election.

Got caught up in the moment and recanted within minutes. I agree with you that it's not an apt comparison though.

There's no evidence for that, though. That's why I say magic.

Hm. So why do you think Republican turnout was so high on Tuesday, particularly in Florida and Missouri where the Republican Senate candidates ran as Trump clones and where Trump held repeated massive rallies in support of the Republican Senate candidates?

 

[SBJJ]

What lies?



I truly have no idea what you're talking about (with either stalking or this rapist thing). I don't rule out the possibility that someone described raping someone and I called it out, just don't know what you're referring to. Why not just post it, as an honorable person would do (if you're going to make the claim, back it up)?

Ok Jack. Time to bet on this

If you can post what you accuse me of saying about Policy=GDP you win. I will give u 10 to 1 odds on this bet. You have been called out and corrected on this lie multiple times. Your usual MO is to bail once I bring up this bet. So you are knowingly lying when you continue this

No. You did not call a guy a rapist for a guy describing a rape. Just search rapist with your name. I’m willing to bet this also

You conduct yourself like a spoiled child in the WR because you are coddled by a few other posters. You can’t even see what most posters think of you because you have half the WR on ignore. Another 25% you either stalk or insult.

Bottom line. Man up and bet or crawl back under your rock you creepy coward

 

[Jack V Savage]

His "preferred" name?

What are you confused about?

lol! You can't have a "objectively rotten soul". Rotting is a physical process, souls are not physical.

All the comments I made were demonstrably true. If you can read English, you can understand my point.

Hm. So why do you think Republican turnout was so high on Tuesday, particularly in Florida and Missouri where the Republican Senate candidates ran as Trump clones and where Trump held repeated massive rallies in support of the Republican Senate candidates?

It was a high-turnout election. Got a lot of attention. Etc. Democratic turnout was even higher (much higher, in fact).

Ok Jack. Time to bet on this

If you can post what you accuse me of saying about Policy=GDP you win. I will give u 10 to 1 odds on this bet. You have been called out and corrected on this lie multiple times. Your usual MO is to bail once I bring up this bet. So you are knowingly lying when you continue this

Can you clarify? I do not know WTF you're talking about.

No. You did not call a guy a rapist for a guy describing a rape. Just search rapist with your name. I’m willing to bet this also

??? Again, why not just post what you're talking about? That is the honorable thing to do.

You conduct yourself like a spoiled child in the WR because you are coddled by a few other posters. You can’t even see what most posters think of you because you have half the WR on ignore. Another 25% you either stalk or insult.

Bottom line. Man up and bet or crawl back under your rock you creepy coward

Anyway, @waiguoren you can see why I don't respect this guy.

 

[waiguoren]

I see the rotten-souled Inga likes it

I damn near rolled off the bed laughing at "the rotten-souled Inga".

I think it's objectively true. No honor, dishonest, and just plain ugly.

lol! You can't have a "objectively rotten soul". Rotting is a physical process, souls are not physical.

All the comments I made were demonstrably true. If you can read English, you can understand my point.

"Objective" does not mean what you think it means.

What are you confused about?

Why do you say that Robert O'Rourke prefers to be called "Beto" instead of "Robert"?

It was a high-turnout election. Got a lot of attention. Etc. Democratic turnout was even higher (much higher, in fact).

Yes. Democratic turnout was insanely high. Republican turnout was abnormally high. Why is that?

Anyway, @waiguoren you can see why I don't respect this guy.

I guess he's saying you accused him of attributing GDP growth rates primarily or entirely to the incumbent president's actions. Did you do that?

 

[SBJJ]

What are you confused about?



All the comments I made were demonstrably true. If you can read English, you can understand my point.



It was a high-turnout election. Got a lot of attention. Etc. Democratic turnout was even higher (much higher, in fact).



Can you clarify? I do not know WTF you're talking about.



??? Again, why not just post what you're talking about? That is the honorable thing to do.



Anyway, @waiguoren you can see why I don't respect this guy.

Lol. Now you just play dumb?

Why not bet on what you accused me of when you brought me up in this thread. Or better yet, why not just back it up. Honorable thing, Right? Why am I willing to bet on this and you are not?

I’m glad I do not get respect from a guy who stalks those on the Internet who embarrass him. Why would I want anything from a grown man who does that? Think about it for a minute, don’t just autopost back. Just sit and think about what kind of grown man does this. Why are you literally the only poster not banned who engages like that? I Honestly can not think of another poster who continually acts the way you do that is not banned.

 

[SBJJ]

"Objective" does not mean what you think it means.



Why do you say that Robert O'Rourke prefers to be called "Beto" instead of "Robert"?


Yes. Democratic turnout was insanely high. Republican turnout was abnormally high. Why is that?


I guess he's saying you accused him of attributing GDP growth rates primarily or entirely to the incumbent president's actions. Did you do that?

Yes. He has continually said that. And it’s 100% a lie. We discussed policy and GDP. And my stance was that Policy CAN have an influence on GDP both in a negative/positive way. He disagreed and started with the insults. He of course later posted that Obama’s infrastructure had an impact on GDP during his administration

 

[waiguoren]

my stance was that Policy CAN have an influence on GDP both in a negative/positive way.

I agree with this. I think Jack agrees with this, too. Looks like we need to break out the quotations to see who is correct

 

[SBJJ]

I agree with this. I think Jack agrees with this, too. Looks like we need to break out the quotations to see who is correct

He’s misrepresented/lied about my comments on this numerous times. I’ve offered him numerous bets to prove his accusation. He NEVER backs it up

 

[Jack V Savage]

"Objective" does not mean what you think it means.

It sure does.

Why do you say that Robert O'Rourke prefers to be called "Beto" instead of "Robert"?

Not going to play this dumb game. I'll just repeat that I think your naming thing is childish.

Yes. Democratic turnout was insanely high. Republican turnout was abnormally high. Why is that?

Republican turnout was high in anticipation of high Democratic turnout.

I guess he's saying you accused him of attributing GDP growth rates primarily or entirely to the incumbent president's actions. Did you do that?

What do you think our bet is about?