The Ponies Thread (part 2)

[Sharkey]

"They're into the stretch and the upset might be on..." - so said the track announcer in that race

To that I would say, sometimes a longshot winner is simply the favourte that the public didn't bet.

 

[Sharkey]

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[Sharkey]

Confusing stuff, yeah?

Well, good, because as John Taffin once said;

"For those who understand, no explanation is necessary. For those who do not, no explanation is possible."

...and it's better for me if nobody does. Except for a couple of you guys that is.

 

[BluntTrauma21]

@Sharkey I know you've explained this all to me before, but if it's not too much trouble, could you resend me the definitions of the eld, nf, hls, sf, et al. stats when possible?

I've got a lot going on rn and probably won't be able to crunch my own numbers (esp with pp's not being very available that I can find) for awhile but just to understand the language more in general. I'm taking notes like T, tho, very interested in being in on your magic, as you know. I'm stupid but I'm innately inquisitive so I gotta try, lol.

You're a fucking savant my friend. I don't know what your iq is but it's higher than Robert Downey in the 90's bud, lol.

 

[Naught2Sixty]

I don't know what your iq is but it's higher than Robert Downey in the 90's bud, lol.

Shark is Iron Man?

 

[Sharkey]

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[Sharkey]

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[Sharkey]

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[Sharkey]

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[Sharkey]

Change of mind

 

[t6p]

5Dimes has some Derby odds if anyone is interested:

Kentucky Derby 2019
all horses have action regardless if horse runs
Omaha Beach +500
Roadster +550
Game Winner +600
Improbable +700
Instagrand +800
Tacitus +1000
Maximum Security +1000
Vekoma +1200
Long Range Toddy +1500
Haikal +1500
Code of Honor +1600
War of Will +2000
Win Win Win +2000
Bourbon War +2500
Plus Que Parfait +2800
By My Standards +2800
Spinoff +3000
Cutting Humor +3000
Anothertwistafate +3500
Signalman +4000
Tax +4000
Sueno +6000

EDIT: BetOnline odds for comparison:

111 Game Winner +600
129 Omaha Beach +700
117 Roadster +800
113 Improbable +900
131 Maximum Security +1000
135 Tacitus +1200
120 Vekoma +1400
104 Code of Honor +1600
134 Anothertwistafate +2000
133 Be My Standards +2500
125 Bourbon War +2500
132 Cutting Humor +2500
114 Instagrand +2500
139 Tax +2500
124 War Of Will +2500
140 Win Win Win +2500
141 Bodexpress +2800
116 Mucho Gusto +2800
127 Haikal +3300
138 Plus Que Parfait +3300
136 Spinoff +3300
121 Signalman +4000
143 Country House +5000
137 Gray Magician +5000
144 Master Fencer +6600
145 Sueno +6600

 

[Sharkey]

5Dimes has some Derby odds if anyone is interested:

Kentucky Derby 2019
all horses have action regardless if horse runs
Omaha Beach +500
Roadster +550
Game Winner +600
Improbable +700
Instagrand +800
Tacitus +1000
Maximum Security +1000
Vekoma +1200
Long Range Toddy +1500
Haikal +1500
Code of Honor +1600
War of Will +2000
Win Win Win +2000
Bourbon War +2500
Plus Que Parfait +2800
By My Standards +2800
Spinoff +3000
Cutting Humor +3000
Anothertwistafate +3500
Signalman +4000
Tax +4000
Sueno +6000

EDIT: BetOnline odds for comparison:

111 Game Winner +600
129 Omaha Beach +700
117 Roadster +800
113 Improbable +900
131 Maximum Security +1000
135 Tacitus +1200
120 Vekoma +1400
104 Code of Honor +1600
134 Anothertwistafate +2000
133 Be My Standards +2500
125 Bourbon War +2500
132 Cutting Humor +2500
114 Instagrand +2500
139 Tax +2500
124 War Of Will +2500
140 Win Win Win +2500
141 Bodexpress +2800
116 Mucho Gusto +2800
127 Haikal +3300
138 Plus Que Parfait +3300
136 Spinoff +3300
121 Signalman +4000
143 Country House +5000
137 Gray Magician +5000
144 Master Fencer +6600
145 Sueno +6600

Cheers T.

Some free Brisnet PP's to help someone along if they want it;

http://www.brisnet.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/Derby19Points.pdf

 

[Sharkey]

I'm so glad @t6p will have us covered through the Triple Crown season. That way I don't have to tell anyone who I might be landing on since it's too embarrassing.

 

[kenfloshogun]

I'm 2/3 in early (december/january) derby futures for the last 3 years, didn't make any bets this year. Excited to get back into the horse racing after a few months away.

 

[Kowboy Karl]

Who’s winning Kentucky derby?

 

[kenfloshogun]

I bet Tacitus at 13-1

 

[Sharkey]

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[Sharkey]

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