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@BluntTrauma21
This post I made in the other thread will explain a little bit of the concept behind those pace angles;
Not to brag or anything, but this LET pattern is the one I'm most proud of. First off, unlike the E2 angle which I just used a variation of an existing angle, and the NPT angle which isn't my own, this LET angle was something I discovered all on my own. Almost by accident really as I was reviewing E2 horses from the winter and this pattern kept jumping off the page for the E2 horses that were successful. I then went and researched it independently, and yep, it was a great sign (72.5%, near 6 pt average improvement)). And it's fantastic if you don't mind me saying. Actually it's the best of my pace pattern angles, although it's probably the rarest to find of them all. But it works great when you do happen to find one. Actually that 40/1 horse who tied our horse for the win last night at Remington didn't have much going for it at all besides a nice ELD and then also this LET angle. I think T played a longshot with this angle a couple of nights ago and got a 2nd out of it. He's played other ones that came through for him as well in the contest.
This post I made in the other thread will explain a little bit of the concept behind those pace angles;
All these pace pattern concepts I use follow the same general principle. Horses that are getting sharp in their current form cycle will usually show it for the first half or two-thirds of their previous race. On dirt that's when the real running of a race almost always happens as they're usually ran fast early, slow late. They may not have the overall conditioning to sustain their speed late in the race because they're not in peak form yet (or a good race two back took some of the steam out of them). But because they show that they can at least run good pace figures through it shows that they have some conditioning in them that should tighten them up for their next start.
Late Early Third.
1st start off the layoff the horse runs lesser early pace figures for two-thirds of the race because he's not in the condition to run fast early yet, and then shows a little life or sustainability in it's late pace figure. Okay, he only had to do any sort of running for at most one-third of the race and that was when the rest of the field had slowed down considerably.
2nd start off a layoff the horse is sharper and in better condition having ran in that previous race. Thus shows more life in it's early pace figures than he did his previous start when most of the field is trying to show their speed, and is able to sustain that speed for more of the race than he did in his 1st start off the layoff. But he's not quite in peak condition yet so he slows down some late in the race compared to his previous start. But the increased early pace he ran should open the lungs up some and set him up for his next race.
3rd start off the layoff. That's when everything comes together. The horse is sharp, conditioned to peak from it's first two races off the layoff, and is ready to fire it's best race of it's form cycle. Boom! 50/1 baby!
Well, that's how it's supposed to work in principle anyways. But hey, 129 of 178 (72.5%) of the horses I looked at improved their final figures of their current form cycle with this pattern (avg almost 6 pts improvement for all 178 runners), so there must be something to it, right?
Not to brag or anything, but this LET pattern is the one I'm most proud of. First off, unlike the E2 angle which I just used a variation of an existing angle, and the NPT angle which isn't my own, this LET angle was something I discovered all on my own. Almost by accident really as I was reviewing E2 horses from the winter and this pattern kept jumping off the page for the E2 horses that were successful. I then went and researched it independently, and yep, it was a great sign (72.5%, near 6 pt average improvement)). And it's fantastic if you don't mind me saying. Actually it's the best of my pace pattern angles, although it's probably the rarest to find of them all. But it works great when you do happen to find one. Actually that 40/1 horse who tied our horse for the win last night at Remington didn't have much going for it at all besides a nice ELD and then also this LET angle. I think T played a longshot with this angle a couple of nights ago and got a 2nd out of it. He's played other ones that came through for him as well in the contest.