I think he is a moderate favorite against all but Miocic, Dos Santos, Werdum and Cain. Remember that fighting a HW is totally different from fighting a HW that just got done cutting down to LHW. Midn you, I still think Jones is the favorite against most of those guys, but we don't know for sure yet how well he can take a full force punch from a HW who isn't trying to cut himself down. With guys with that size and power, a strike that even only partially lands can easily change the whole course of the fight. It really does make that puncher's chance way, way larger.