- Joined
- Mar 9, 2013
- Messages
- 35,798
- Reaction score
- 33,235
He's high on his own supplyMost states with dem governors and legislature control face too many legal hurdles to make it happen.
He's high on his own supplyMost states with dem governors and legislature control face too many legal hurdles to make it happen.
Thanks for this stark reminder of why I almost never post in your threads.
White Whale is a Russian bot troll. He never replies to anything, he just spams divisive posts. I've never seen him reply even once to someone.
You are wasting your time trying to get his attention.
Right I understand what the voter reform act is for. It prevents the Republicans from Gerrymandering due to the requirement of concentrating black voters in certain districts.No, I'm very much not missing the point. The VRA is necessary to ensure black voters have representation. It doesn't matter how hard California "counters" if the only way a black person in Louisiana can get a state house seat is... to be a republican.
Harris pulled in 2/3 of the Korean vote, with Koreans being among the most pro-democratic Asian subgroups even after Trump's gains.Most Asians live either in Hawaii, which is unaffected by the issues Republicans care about, or metropoles, where Democrats flock to to go to college. I grew up with a lot of Koreans and they were mostly very conservative. I suspect this is pretty normal for the suburban and rural Asians.
You didn't answer the question. What data do you have to support your claim that Democrats gerrymander as bad as the GOP? There's literal math to calculate this, depending on which method you favor.They’re just as bad because drawing districts along partisan lines every 10 years or whatever instead of fairly representing the populace as intended should not be tolerated. It’s attempted rigging and it is wrong. Democrat politicians only speak out when republicans do it. That they themselves don’t do it as blatantly and frequently doesn’t impress me all that much.
And before it gets lost, I have noted that they’re much better when it comes to protecting voter’s rights and trying to make it easier for citizens to vote. Republicans are waging a war against voting now, they’re clearly not interested in democracy anymore.
It's not just simple math for a few reasons, not the least of which is that black voters reeeeally should not be left just hanging in the windRight I understand what the voter reform act is for. It prevents the Republicans from Gerrymandering due to the requirement of concentrating black voters in certain districts.
And I understand that once the Supreme Court strikes the VRA down (which they will) that the Republicans will be able to gerrymander more districts.
But the point is: If the republicans strike down the VRA and maximally gerrymander, the Democrats can counter and gerrymander away even more districts in Democrat states. The republicans only win if the Democrats don't gerrymander in retaliation, which I'm sure they will.
It's simply math: Democrat gerrymandering potential > Republican.
Seems like a red herring to me.It's not just simple math for a few reasons, not the least of which is that black voters reeeeally should not be left just hanging in the wind
Presumably those 2/3 would be the ones from Hawaii or metropoles. The other 1/3 are the Banchan variety so probably would have appreciated any perceived racism of the GOP.Harris pulled in 2/3 of the Korean vote, with Koreans being among the most pro-democratic Asian subgroups even after Trump's gains.
Your feelings are plainly not supported by data. The reason Asian American voters trend liberal is because they like liberal economic policies and tend to see the GOP as more racist and anti-immigrant.
You didn't answer the question. What data do you have to support your claim that Democrats gerrymander as bad as the GOP? There's literal math to calculate this, depending on which method you favor.
Even setting aside what i've been talking about the whole time, and the actual purpose of destroying the VRA, you're still a bit off. It's not like the Democrats can wave a wand and make counter-gerrymandering just happen. There are significant hurdles to that in many places. So it's doubtful even if the political will is there that the actual machinery could produce the product you claim. Furthermore, that's a reactive solution; the GOP carries essentially none of the baggage the democrats do in this regard, and destroying the VRA has guaranteed results. It will absolutely result in the effective disenfranchisement of a whole lot of black voters. And then there are the very obvious implications for national elections and election law.Seems like a red herring to me.
The point is that the thread is suggesting that overturning the VRA will "destroy the Democrats" and I disagree. The Democrats can counter with their own gerrymandering, if they don't pussy out. And there is no such thing as "backfire proof gerrymandering". If the Republican support significantly declines in the 2026 midterms, it could be very bad for them.
What kind of backwards shithole is redrawing lines in 2025 for elections?
Your democracy is hundreds of years old and you still doing beginner shit...
Sad.
So, what you're doing is framing the argument in abstract qualitative terms and then asserting yourself as the authority on the matter.Even setting aside what i've been talking about the whole time, and the actual purpose of destroying the VRA, you're still a bit off. It's not like the Democrats can wave a wand and make counter-gerrymandering just happen. There are significant hurdles to that in many places. So it's doubtful even if the political will is there that the actual machinery could produce the product you claim. Furthermore, that's a reactive solution; the GOP carries essentially none of the baggage the democrats do in this regard, and destroying the VRA has guaranteed results. It will absolutely result in the effective disenfranchisement of a whole lot of black voters. And then there are the very obvious implications for national elections and election law.
Eh, no. On one hand, you're playing this off as some kind of math vs math reactive manuever, which is fine, but on the other hand you seem to be disregarding both the political reality of making these things happen, and the additional reality of the _immediate_ consequences of the VRA being destroyed. It doesn't matter much to accuse me of speculative reasoning if you're counting on some kind of political inevitability on the part of the Democrat machinery. Nobody is arguing that the Democrats can't pick up seats, but it's a guarantee the GOP will pick up seats. I mean, they are already doing it. Not only that, but those seats will come at a cost to Democrats nationally. To put it another way, as much as I would love Democrats to actually effectively counter Republican gerrymandering numerically (setting aside the unavoidable and irreparable disenfranchisement of southern Black voters), I have very little confidence it will be done with nearly the same effectiveness.So, what you're doing is framing the argument in abstract qualitative terms and then asserting yourself as the authority on the matter.
Let's stick to numbers. What actually matters is how many seats can the republicans get away with gerrymandering, and in what states. Give me specifics. What Red states can gerrymander, and how many seats can they steal away from Democrats?
For example:
California: Democrats have full control of the legislature and will retaliate to Republican gerrymandering: 5-6 seats can be picked up.
New York: Democrats have full control of the legislature and will retaliate with California: 3-6 seats can be picked up.
Illinois: Democrats have already gerrymandered pretty heavily here, but room for 1-2 more districts stolen remains.
And at least one seat can be picked up in each of: Oregon, Washington, and New Mexico. That's up to 17 districts right there for the Democrats. And I don't even think that's a complete list.
So again: Ignoring your qualitative: "It's different, you don't understand, I can't explain it but you're wrong" arguments, specifically what states do you believe that Republicans can gerrymander and how many districts do you think they can steal from Democrats in those states?
Right so you refuse to give any actual examples.Eh, no. On one hand, you're playing this off as some kind of math vs math reactive manuever, which is fine, but on the other hand you seem to be disregarding both the political reality of making these things happen, and the additional reality of the _immediate_ consequences of the VRA being destroyed. It doesn't matter much to accuse me of speculative reasoning if you're counting on some kind of political inevitability on the part of the Democrat machinery. Nobody is arguing that the Democrats can't pick up seats, but it's a guarantee the GOP will pick up seats. I mean, they are already doing it. Not only that, but those seats will come at a cost to Democrats nationally. To put it another way, as much as I would love Democrats to actually effectively counter Republican gerrymandering numerically (setting aside the unavoidable and irreparable disenfranchisement of southern Black voters), I have very little confidence it will be done with nearly the same effectiveness.
No, dude. “Bad” is subjective. You can’t support it with “literal math”, and I did explain what I meant.You didn't answer the question. What data do you have to support your claim that Democrats gerrymander as bad as the GOP? There's literal math to calculate this, depending on which method you favor.
Oh yeah, man! We have “mid decade redistricting” here. Very democracy-ish-like.What kind of backwards shithole is redrawing lines in 2025 for elections?
Your democracy is hundreds of years old and you still doing beginner shit...
Sad.
Well we have no choice, and that move will be destroying the VRA and diluting black (and other minority btw) votes to uselessness. That's the part that is guaranteed. Unless we get a small miracle, the life work of John Roberts will be complete. So pardon me if I don't hold out hope that the courts will save us, when the highest court in the land is very specifically making it happen.We will just have to wait and see. Democrat states are waiting for Republicans to make the first move.
I remember years ago, probably more than a decade, when all this gerrymandering nonsense starting taking off, and the lawyer arguing the case explicitly asked the Judge to allow the map even though it was prejudicial to minorities because it was also prejudicial to Democrats who he was targeting. Smirking the whole while BTW.And therein rests both the lie and the purpose: districts will still be made based on race, but race won't be allowable as a consideration to challenging them.
That would be Operation Red Map, and it is the single most consequential political machination in modern American history (by far). Our current situation is the direct result.I remember years ago, probably more than a decade, when all this gerrymandering nonsense starting taking off, and the lawyer arguing the case explicitly asked the Judge to allow the map even though it was prejudicial to minorities because it was also prejudicial to Democrats who he was targeting. Smirking the whole while BTW.