Economy Stocks thread v28: in loving memory of Rob Mafia and Brackis1

Well, that's that Sherbros. Another year in the books.

I didn't beat the market in 2025. I was up about 11%. Since I started investing in 2007, I have outperformed the market overall, but the difference has been narrowing in recent years. Where did my mojo go?



A lot of junk is flying high. I will not yield to FOMO. It will end. When, I dunno. But it won't last in perpetuity. And I'm well positioned for when It does. I always do best in down or flat markets. Here is my current portfolio, ordered from largest position to smallest (good luck to everyone in 2026):

Berkshire Hathaway
Mastercard
Union Pacific
Trane Technologies
Lockheed Martin
Alphabet
Amazon
Apple
Microsoft
Costco
Waste Management
United Rentals
Itochu
WR Berkley
Chubb
Home Depot
Occidental Petroleum
Take-Two Interactive
Leidos
Winnebago
RLI
Nintendo

Too many on your list? Did 25%
 
Too many on your list? Did 25%
Most of the ones at the end are pretty small positions.

Berkshire Hathaway is 42.7% of my portfolio
Mastercard is 25.04%
Union Pacific is 18.31%

BRK.B's total return for 2025 was 10.89%
MA's was 9.4%
UNP's was 3.34%

The remainder did better, overall, helped by stuff like GOOGL, which was up 65.99%, which is why my total portfolio was up ~11%.
 
Even more good news for Tesla today!

  • BYD, a company Elon Musk once dismissed by laughing at their products during a 2011 Bloomberg interview, has overtaken Tesla to be the world’s top EV seller.
  • BYD said on Thursday that sales of its battery-powered cars rose nearly 28% to 2.26 million units in 2025.
  • Vehicle deliveries at Tesla dropped 8% year on year to 1.64 million vehicles delivered in 2025.
 
URI was up 4.42% on Friday and 6.55% today. We're back over $900, baby.
 
My TT got as low as $348 today, but it has been climbing since. Guess people realized they overreacted. Only down 3% now, to $378. Main reason I bought TT, which I did back in 2020, was because of everyone's increasing need for A/C as we deal with global warming. An interesting side benefit turned out to be that Trane is also the leader in high-end commercial chillers, which are needed for data center cooling (it's pretty interesting how some of my stocks are connected to the growth in data centers, even though you might not think there's much of a connection).

Jensen Huang eviscerated the HVAC sector today with some comments:

(Reuters) - Shares of U.S. heating, ventilation and air conditioning-related companies dropped on Tuesday after Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said that the company's upcoming chips could significantly reduce cooling requirements in data centers.

Johnson Controls International dropped 7.5% to $112.40 and Trane Technologies lost 5.3% to $370.40. Both stocks hit multi-month lows and were among the biggest percentage decliners on the S&P 500.

Speaking at the Consumer Electronics Show (CES) in Las Vegas on Monday, Huang said Nvidia's next generation of chips is in "full production." The Vera Rubin platform, made up of six separate Nvidia chips, is expected to debut later this year.

When talking about the cooling requirements, Huang said that "no water chillers are necessary for data centres."

Barclays analysts said in a note led by Julian Mitchell that "given the primacy of Nvidia to the whole AI ecosystem, one should not take their comments lightly, although they seem rather dramatic at first glance."

The analysts said the companies that could be most affected include Johnson Controls International, Trane Technologies and Carrier Global.

They estimate that data centers represent a low-double-digit percentage of total sales for Johnson Controls and data centers account for about 10% and 5% of sales for Trane Technologies and Carrier Global, respectively
 
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Trump instantly sends my LMT shares from $532 down to $506 just opening his stupid mouth:

 
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