Tom's looking absolutely ridiculous right now. His speed on the medley and turntable is absolutely mad. Atlas Stones is another almost certain win for him. He'll do top 3 in the Keg Toss (maybe even 1 or 2) and he'll get good points on the Log Lift and Deadlift as well.
Luke's doing good as well so far. He'll do great at the Log and good at the Stones as well. Keg and Deadlift will be the tricky events for him. He's made some great improvements there, so I'm very curious to see where he'll end up.
Janashia could end up on the podium as well. Would be absolutely awesome for him. He's had some shit luck with injuries, so I'd love to see him make an epic comeback.
Shaw did great on the Medley, but lost a lot on the Turntable. I don't see him catching up to Tom anymore. He might still have a shot at the podium, but that will still be a hard battle for him.