International Russia/Ukraine Megathread V15

Sucks for anyone with Bio-labs on their card.

Haven't heard that one in ages.
Unfortunately ukraine obivously didn't had supersecret death biolabs.

Japan 1937-1944 had ...therefore Matushka had non aggression pact with Japan, 1939 th ...and despite hiding this from U.S and U.K, they get lend Lease and intelligence info etc while refused to engage in war vs Japan. Till they knew that Japan is done completely....
Secret death biolabs appeared good deterrent vs USSR.
 
If about Ukr, russia now does have advantage with more drones on fiber optic, more radioelectronic warfare stations, more MRLS, more arty.....
Zelensky is even still talking about reconstruction .....if this will continue, all ukraine will be deUkrainized and Russia.

Putin is thinking that economy is in excellent condition .... attempt tell him in person different opinion instead to comment stuff in internet.

It is assumed that he is ready to continue war till 2027 th summer.
Money to hire guys he does have, North Korea and Belarus might rack up supplies with little doubts.

Casualities? There is big difference, had been hired for $ and died? Pofig. Looser.
anyway elite and upper middle class kids doesn't serve in trenches...nor in ukr in general nor in russia.
 
One from not comfortable things for west and Israel is that ... Iran does have better missiles than west and russia are ready to admit.

They in first wave had used at least 200 missiles and only 7 of them had landed somewhere.... btw not really effective strikes.
Administrative buildings and area ofc as usally in trigger conditon are as always evacuated.

While they later had used some missiles Israel and U.S ( yes ) were unable to intercept.
THAAD, Arrow, Sling and AEGIS weren't effective ...in this case. Luck that Iran most likely doesn't have large number of these missiles. They are faster than iskander and ofc longer distance and separable warhead ( iskander doesn't have such stuff )..
 
One thing why maybe Trump administration is concentrated on Israel - Iran stuff is that Israel does knows reality that air defense is journeyman's weapons.
They ( Israel ) might for example start to shell Teheran with ballistic missiles. They does have and because some from their models were intended for space program, then warhead obiviously is separable and payload ( warhead ) more than 2500 lbs is possible.

Ofc pump wants to keep Straight of Hormuz open... not only cos crude oil and LNG export. Where too western corps are involved and are earning a lot...
Iraq, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, Saudites, Emirates are importing equipment, food, a lot of consumers crap and also ....meds and medical equipment etc stuff ...delivered mainly ...merchant fleet... it is income for east and west and essential for Gulf countries...

So pump is thinking how to balance something....
It isn't easy. So U.S and europe does have more actual interest about shit Iran...
 
Btw russia looks that had managed to get +8.55 sq km² land and next small village. Dvizuha, Putin will be happy...
Looks that for him and his circle slow, very long war is planned and they are statisfied.
 


Putin screwed Russia.

He sure did and I'm not sure what his off ramp is aside for death. It's going to be getting worse as members of the EU will be getting off Russian energy when they can and taking away from their main source of income.
i really wonder what Putin really get's told as he is clearly insane as he has ramped up his bombing of civilian targets and has no real plan to stop this.
 
He sure did and I'm not sure what his off ramp is aside for death. It's going to be getting worse as members of the EU will be getting off Russian energy when they can and taking away from their main source of income.
i really wonder what Putin really get's told as he is clearly insane as he has ramped up his bombing of civilian targets and has no real plan to stop this.
I think Putin could reorient their energy exports towards China, India, etc. If he can last long enough
 
I think Putin could reorient their energy exports towards China, India, etc. If he can last long enough
Ya, they already have been doing that but it's not the same as having a pipeline to your next door neighbors . To get it to china and India they have been using the ole rusty tankers they have managed to obtain which are also under sanctions.
 
No, but there have been speculation about me being another poster, a bot, a Russian troll, an Eastern European, simply because my opinion differs, which I found strange at first.

Then I remembered that this is how these discussions go in Swedish politics/media as well.
No. You're not any of those. You're just a dork.
 
I spent a lot of time researching this conflict back in 2014, then on/off during and after the invasion 2022.

My prediction in 2014, that this would be a long conflict, due to eastern Ukraine (including Crimea) being very strategically important for Russia, and also very important for Ukraine/NATO, proved to be correct.

I also knew that most of Eastern Ukraine were more loyal to Russia than EU/NATO, which would be a problem for a new puppet regime.

It was also very obvious that USA was deeply involved, you had war mongerer number one John McCain holding speeches during the protests, for God's sake.

And you had Victoria Nuland bragging about USA spending $5 billion to promote "democracy" in Ukraine.

Senator John McCain on Sunday told thousands of Ukrainian protesters camped on Kiev's main square that Ukraine's destiny lay in Europe and that it would make Europe better.

"Ukraine will make Europe better and Europe will make Ukraine better," he said to crowds protesting against President Viktor Yanukovich's U-turn in trade policy away from Europe towards Russia.

"We are here to support your just cause, the sovereign right of Ukraine to determine its own destiny freely and independently. And the destiny you seek lies in Europe," said McCain, a leading Republican voice on US foreign policy."

Just picture the scene if a Russian politician held a speech like that in Canada or Mexico during riots, and how your government would react.

I listened to more than one source, and cross-checked what all agreed on, and what people disagreed on, and what kind of news each side highlighted, and saw a very incomplete/dishonest picture of the conflict through the Swedish media.

I read and listened to journalists and politicians from all sides (NATO/Ukraine/Russia/Sweden, etc.)
You don't happen to be a StarCraft master too are you?
 
I think Putin could reorient their energy exports towards China, India, etc. If he can last long enough
They are selling but ...such export cost them more than export to EU countries plus countries even Pakistan, not alone India and China does use situation and are doing all the best to press price lower and lower...these aren't bad evil europe and might easily to discuss even about next -1 cent per barrel weeks in row with smile....then next ....and shake hands and smile.
Plus they are forcing russia to cover delivries expenses, i.e will pay only for crude oil or refined products delivered.... it is business and nothing personal ....
Also they are masters to insert damn a lot of clauses ...not worse than boxing promoter Eddie does, even worse and more..Eddie should learn from them.

And yes, for China and India in reality the longer will be war in Ukraine the better: the same: will press down prices for stuff russia is selling and push up prices for stuff they are selling for russia. Win win, the same like 3 years ago. Longer = better.

In russia there are a lot of ppl profiting from war and a lot will earn from reconstruction etc... so for them flowchart is to take even small villages, prepare list with achievements, maybe even 1 village for 1 working day. If they take more, then keep in reserve and report each day 1 village ...so Putin and his friends each working day are seing some success more done.
Then financing will be continued and eweryone in elite happy.
 
There also is thing that Urals for refineries never will cost more than Brent or WTI mark crude oil.

Crude oil supplies price for refineries depends from contracts ...and chemical etc properties.

1. Metallic elements contamination : what kind of elements ... etc. It is very important.
2. Sulfur %.
While there de sulfirization stages might be re combined...so ANY refinery capable to process crude oil with high sulfur % IS able to process crude oil with low sulfur %...just re configure columns and energy used will be lesser...so processing for refinery will be cheaper ...

W.h refinery not capable to handle crude oil with high sulfur % will require additional units/ columns to build and this takes time.

Crude oil API° gravity and chemical compound... not all refineries might handle crude oil with low API gravity.
It is heavier, more viscousus etc...

However if crude oil API° index is too high, then production more will be butane, propane, light components, light gasoline etc, lesser heavier fractions necessery for customers...

So in reality biggest commander are contracts and oil properties.
 
One thing I might tell: any refinery capable to use Urals might easily use Brent or WTI mark crude oil.... so political excuses here...

Urals even isn't high sulfur % mark, however more sulfur % than Brent or WTI ....
 
Some EU refineries might use as feedstock also heavy crude oil marks...
Light crude refineries usually are configurated to handle crude oil feedstock in range > 20° API till some maybe ~43° API, maybe 45° API.
Sulfur content most likely <1 %.

Refineries with good de sulfurization installations might handle even crude oil with 5 % sulfur.

Heavy crude oil refineries might handle 10° API and ofc more ...feedstock. might be 12° API - and ofc more.
Metallic contamination structure and parameters are very important.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,282,982
Messages
58,474,431
Members
176,047
Latest member
derpmaster3000
Back
Top