• Xenforo Cloud is upgrading us to version 2.3.8 on Monday February 16th, 2026 at 12:00 AM PST. Expect a temporary downtime during this process. More info here

International Russia/Ukraine Megathread V15

Reader mode
Putin looks that had improved some survillance mechanisms and software for this.
Therefore most likely switch off for some time mobile networks etc is good thing. Easier to " upgrade systems " and install updates etc.

Ofc additionally such solution might had excluded something to get activated via mobile phone call. Additional bonus.
 
Looks that russia had increased supplies for front in dumbass: more drones, donkeys and motorbikes, golf carts, quadracycles, tanks...
They also does have North Korean MRLS and ofc will pressure more.

They also definitely had accumulated some stockpiles of iranian type drones clones for some big scale attacks ....prepared missiles etc.
 
b34stmode said:
Who wrote this? How exactly is time on Russia's side? What path to victory are they on? They still haven't achieved a single objective stated in their SMO. There is simply no foreseeable way they can "DENAZIFY & DE-MILITARIZE" Ukraine moving forward. "Time" is always on the defenders side.

So the bolded paragraph is some of the dumbest shit I've read in a while.
Click to expand...
The article is listed on the post.
Opinions vary on this topic obviously.
Russia has kept Ukraine from joining NATO. It has taken roughly 20% of the country which Ukraine has not been able to recover in 3 years. How is time on the defender's side if they are running out of soldiers? Again, the Ukrainian Army is down to almost 50% strength. They are not getting replacements from Europe or the US, only money and weapons.
Russia chose a war of attrition, and it is currently ahead of Ukraine. Time is on Russia's side.
It is okay to not understand (or accept) this and remain cheering for Ukraine. Only time will tell.
responsiblestatecraft.org

Ukraine’s battlefield position is deteriorating fast

Should Kyiv collapse, the Russian army will surge forward, pushing the line of contact deeper into Ukraine and peace terms will get worse
responsiblestatecraft.org responsiblestatecraft.org
 
Darkballs said:
So a country a fraction of the size of Russia endures two years of war; then seizes territory INSIDE the invading country, inflicts about 85,000 additional casualties; and it's a humiliation for NATO when they withdraw a year later?

There is only two ways in which someone could come to that conclusion: 1) they are both russian and trans; and 2) they pretend to have served in the US Army on and MMA sub-forum. No other possibilities.
Click to expand...

Darkballs said:
Well I invite everyone over to the Veterans thread to see what the rest of us think of you. I honestly think you're the only person here to ever just straight up lie about having ever served. But I get it. Russia is at a million casualties in a war that you told us would be over 2 years and 9 months ago. And who could forget such gems as "Kiev was a feint," and "Ukraine should totally perform a massive airborne drop behind enemy lines with instructions to live off the land a-la ranger school."

The thing that always boggles my mind is how the people who lie about having served, have no idea how easy it is to spot the second they start trying to actually discuss military matters. But by all means mate, I invite you to look only at your lack of likes in this thread. I don't even think the russian posters like you.
Click to expand...


Wait until he asks you what they served as the third meal in the ranger school or some bs...because that definitely proves he was there....and not just watched Rambo one too many times...

I work with someone who went through ranger school and was deployed in an infantry unit in the 80/90s and he had a good laugh at some of the things StolenValerino said.

But hey...the real villain in the thread is the guy from one of the Baltic countries... - SpinMarino
 
aerius said:
Speaking of casualties, the real numbers are starting to leak out.
responsiblestatecraft.org

Ukraine’s battlefield position is deteriorating fast

Should Kyiv collapse, the Russian army will surge forward, pushing the line of contact deeper into Ukraine and peace terms will get worse
responsiblestatecraft.org responsiblestatecraft.org

Russia appears to be able to replace its losses and still grow the size of its army. According to Mediazona and BBC’s Russian service, the Russian army appears to have suffered a total of slightly over 98,000 dead. This number only includes killed Russian soldiers identified by name and the real number is likely to be much higher. Mediazona itself estimates that the real number is about 165,000. At the same time they also do not count the losses of pro-Russian separatists, so another 20,000 needs to be added to the number, for a rough total of 120,000. This currently averages to about 3,600 dead per month. Historically, for every dead there are four wounded, so another 452,000 wounded needs to be added to the Russian count, which equates to a monthly loss of 14,400 or 18,000 total. However, the same data indicates that out of these, three quarters usually return to duty (RTD) after treatment. To break it down, Russian forces are suffering 7,200 permanent losses and 10,800 RTD per month. At the same time, Russians are recruiting 30,000 volunteers a month, plus the wounded who have recovered. This translates into growth of 24,000 soldiers every month, including RTD. Even if Russian losses are double what Mediazona was able to count, the Russian army is still expanding.

Ukraine’s total losses are hard to assess. The Jamestown Foundation estimated that Ukraine had mobilized 2 million men back in July 2023, and the number should be approaching 3 million by now. Most estimates place the Ukrainian fielded army at about 1 million men, while Zelenskyy claimed to be fielding 880,000. The official Ukrainian losses of 43,000 are unrealistic in the light of previous numbers. For a more realistic estimate, the “Antiseptic” Telegram channel has one of the few databases that compare current and prewar satellite photos of select Ukrainian cemeteries. The limited nature of cemeteries may result in undercounting; for example, the city of Kharkiv has multiple cemeteries, but only cemetery #18 was surveyed. Soldiers buried in other city cemeteries are not counted. The chart below averages out the percent of prewar population lost by locality and then compares it to the total population of Ukraine. The final estimate is about 769,000 dead, and based on historical data, likely another 769,000 wounded who will never recover enough to go back to the front.

This matches the Jamestown Foundation’s estimate. Some 1.5 million are permanent losses, another 400,000-600,000 wounded recovering in hospitals, leaving 1 million to 800,000 still in the field.

Casualty ratios are about what I'd expect given that Russia has way more firepower available along with technological & operational superiority. It's also consistent with Ukraine running out of men and having to use mass kidnapping to try and fill the gaps.
Click to expand...


You expect us to believe Russia has 100k KIA and maybe 165k with separatists and all others included and Ukrainians who were largely on the defensive lost 769k KIA?

The article says the wounded are usually 4 to 1 so 452k for Russia and 3/4 get back to action. But somehow Ukrainians despite having 769k KIA only have 769k wounded but who are 100% so badly wounded that they can't get back to fighting?

I mean surely you can see this article has horrible gaps in logic or even factual consistency?

If Russia had 165k total KIA, I expect Ukraine to have about 1/3 of that because they were largely on defense. Ukraine also doesn't use meatwall tactics and also withdraws when it makes no sense to fight over some field or destroyed city.

I get it you're pro Russia, but could you at least post logically consistent articles?

Russia has total casualties approaching a million and Ukraine is probably half that. If the article wanted to be at least half believable it would have pointed out that Russia has much larger population so despite 2-3x total losses it can sustain them easier than Ukraine.
 
DEVILsSON said:
I work with someone who went through ranger school and was deployed in an infantry unit in the 80/90s and he had a good laugh at some of the things StolenValerino said.
Click to expand...
Oh, here we go again, San Marino takes the spot on the Russia/Ukraine conflict thread.
Totally off topic, but who cares. Certainly not the moderators.

So, I believe this is the third time you bring up this story about your non-existing friend in the military.
I asked you questions about your friend before, and you could not answer it.

How exactly do you prove to someone in this forum you served in the military? Documents? Photos? How to prove it is your information and not someone else's? You can't.

@Darkballs does not know shit about what others in the Veteran's thread think of me because he is never there. ...and even if he was, he would still not know what they think. The information is based on trust. Anyone can claim whatever they want.
For all I know, anyone can claim they have served in the US military here on Sherdog. Even you.
Was @Strychnine really in the U.S. Air Force? How do we know?
People can think whatever they want. ...and they will.

* Quick note:
. What exactly was your friend laughing about regarding my experience? We both (supposedly) went through the same training.
. What Ranger School class was your friend in? What is his last name?
. There was only one major deployment during the time period you bring up. When was your friend there? What unit?
. Tell your friend to PM me so we can talk, and I can see if he is the real deal. I'll probably get a good laugh.
 
Last edited:
San Marino said:
Oh, here we go again, San Marino takes the spot on the Russia/Ukraine conflict thread.
Totally off topic, but who cares. Certainly not the moderators.

So, I believe this is the third time you bring up this story about your non-existing friend in the military.
I asked you questions about your friend before, and you could not answer it.

How exactly do you prove to someone in this forum you served in the military? Documents? Photos? How to prove it is your information and not someone else's? You can't.

@Darkballs does not know shit about what others in the Veteran's thread think of me because he is never there. ...and even if he was, he would still not know what they think. The information is based on trust. Anyone can claim whatever they want.
For all I know, anyone can claim they have served in the US military here on Sherdog. Even you.
Was @Strychnine really in the U.S. Air Force? How do we know?
People can think whatever they want. ...and they will.

* Quick note:
. What exactly was your friend laughing about regarding my experience? We both (supposedly) went through the same training.
. What Ranger School class was your friend in? What is his last name?
. There was only one major deployment during the time period you bring up. When was your friend there? What unit?
. Tell your friend to PM me so we can talk, and I can see if he is the real deal. I'll probably get a good laugh.
Click to expand...


ME11VYQ5_o.jpg

If you want any more proof than that? Tough. I'm not going to doxx myself. Yes, I did cover my name.
 
These casualities " counters " are boring. We do not know real numbers, such information is classified in russia and ukr.
Also russia, as shoigu confirmed in 2022 th, didn't had (¿) statistics about casualities in LPR and DPR republics nor statistics about casualities in so called PMCs, like wagnerites and others.
Russian MoD isn't responsible also about statistics of casualities for MoeF perssonel ( police etc )....

To count graveyards isn't easy and sorry for reality, both countries does have also crematoriums...

World is large, russia is hiring also foreigners ... Zelonka too might hire enough IF will pay normal bonuses etc...
So if $ , then guys supply will be here.

War in Ukraine.
 
I don't see long term ceasefire option today.
Maybe some period till next hot war episodes.

Putin might hire guys, also foreigners are used...and definitely they aren't all unskilled noobs. A lot of countries does have mandatory military service term for young guys...so they might hire such specimens ...also guys who had some more experience after such term...and does have financial problems, had been kicked out from mil or police in their country etc..a lot of options to hire not complete noobs. World is large.


Obiviosuly russia will get not reduced but increased supplies from Belarus, Iran and North Korea. While they are demanding that west should nor supply nor sell any weapons etc for Ukraine.

Excellent condition to accumulate impressive superiority of weaponary and ammunition and prepare for successful big offensive with ground forces....

If they are thinking that they will manage to get more land, they will continue sooner or a bit later.

Only chance to achieve some long term ceasefire is ... seriously increase weaponary and ammo, mines and especially cluster ammo supplies for Ukr...
Then Putin might maybe consider that they need longer ceasefire.

Otherwise they will continue and definitely will demand not only these 4 oblastjs but also safety zones in other areas, Lavrov multiple times during years had repeated that Harkov is russian city.....


Plus unlike psy op type propaganda for plebs that they doesn't care will ukraine recognize something or not, Lavrov is smart snake and always had insisted that Ukraine should recognize occupied areas de Iure as part of Russian federation.
For a reason: then he might tackle such papers and Ukr officials to U.N ...and demand that U.N recognizes this and at least achieve all sanctions remowed.....this main goal.
<___
Plus in such scenario Kremlin might get big prestige boost for world scene and declare 'big historical achievement'.
 
DEVILsSON said:
You expect us to believe Russia has 100k KIA and maybe 165k with separatists and all others included and Ukrainians who were largely on the defensive lost 769k KIA?

The article says the wounded are usually 4 to 1 so 452k for Russia and 3/4 get back to action. But somehow Ukrainians despite having 769k KIA only have 769k wounded but who are 100% so badly wounded that they can't get back to fighting?

I mean surely you can see this article has horrible gaps in logic or even factual consistency?

If Russia had 165k total KIA, I expect Ukraine to have about 1/3 of that because they were largely on defense. Ukraine also doesn't use meatwall tactics and also withdraws when it makes no sense to fight over some field or destroyed city.

I get it you're pro Russia, but could you at least post logically consistent articles?

Russia has total casualties approaching a million and Ukraine is probably half that. If the article wanted to be at least half believable it would have pointed out that Russia has much larger population so despite 2-3x total losses it can sustain them easier than Ukraine.
Click to expand...
UKR has been out of troops for 3 years now but somehow manage to hold the line and even enter Russia for the odd incursion. imagine being Scott Ritter or General MacArther and being wrong for years on end about everythng but yet still parrot Russian propaganda.
 
San Marino said:
...but isn't that your brother's diploma?

Ranger School Class 7-92.
View attachment 1094265
* Where is San Marino?
Click to expand...

Two of my older brothers were in the Army and an older sister was in the Air Force. Serving our country is the family business.

Why no handwritten note, saying "Hey Sherdog, It's me San Marino. I'm in this photo."
 
San Marino said:
The article is listed on the post.
Opinions vary on this topic obviously.
Russia has kept Ukraine from joining NATO. It has taken roughly 20% of the country which Ukraine has not been able to recover in 3 years. How is time on the defender's side if they are running out of soldiers? Again, the Ukrainian Army is down to almost 50% strength. They are not getting replacements from Europe or the US, only money and weapons.
Russia chose a war of attrition, and it is currently ahead of Ukraine. Time is on Russia's side.
It is okay to not understand (or accept) this and remain cheering for Ukraine. Only time will tell.
responsiblestatecraft.org

Ukraine’s battlefield position is deteriorating fast

Should Kyiv collapse, the Russian army will surge forward, pushing the line of contact deeper into Ukraine and peace terms will get worse
responsiblestatecraft.org responsiblestatecraft.org
Click to expand...

How are they running out of soldiers my guy? They haven't even pulled from one of their main demographics yet. they still have MILLIONS of men to pull from. You are literally talking out of your ass. Russia controls less ground now than they did 6 months into this war, they are "losing" it by every metric. The only metric Russia is winning on, is how many total bodies they can pull from, which would take decades to pull, train, and send to their deaths. time which Russia simply does not have.
 
Strychnine said:
Why no handwritten note, saying "Hey Sherdog, It's me San Marino. I'm in this photo."
Click to expand...
Read post #15,452 above.
Plus, what difference does it make? I can download and print a photo from the internet and do that.
Most don't believe me regardless of what I say or do. That is okay, because I don't care.
I've known you for years even before becoming a moderator. I don't have an issue believing you are a true retired veteran.
So, your diploma only covers the last 5 years of your 24-year time with the Air Force?
 
Reader mode
You must log in or register to reply here.

Latest posts

Forum statistics

Threads
1,281,913
Messages
58,402,263
Members
176,028
Latest member
zainbando99

Share this page

Back
Top