International Russia/Ukraine Megathread V15

[San Marino]

Your President is too weak and stupid to understand that if the aggressor doesn't want to stop a war the war is not going to stop.

I think Trump understands that just fine.

BOTH actually want to stop the war.

No, Putin wants the war to keep going. He has not reached all his goals in Eastern Ukraine yet.

Putin wants to continue because he thinks American is weak, stupid and doesn't understand the 4d chess that is geopolitics.

Putin does not think any of that. He knows the US does not really want to get involved in Ukraine. He knows Trump thinks this conflict is a European problem -- and it is.

Russia can not keep this going much longer that's why Putin will be doing another summer offensive killing as many of his troops for minimal gains.

I don't know why you would think that.
The Soviets were in Afghanistan fighting a war for 9 years. Their Vietnam. They only left Afghanistan because Gorbachev was in power. Putin is not Gorbachev, and the Russian people support Putin. The Putin propaganda machine is working well, like the Nazi propaganda machine in the late 1930s.

The war chest has dried up there will not be gains of 30% of UKR like you say...he will be talking "peace" a lot more often going forward until he cant keep his killing up.

If anyone is in trouble, it would be Ukraine. Ukraine cannot keep this up for another 6 years. Try looking at it from the Ukrainian side for once. Like I said before, all the money and weapons in the world won't save it. They need men. Soldiers to keep fighting this war. Europe and the US will not be providing that to Ukraine. Putin only needs 4 more Oblasts (states), and his dream will have been achieved. Zelensky should take the deal before Putin changes his mind and decides to take Western Ukraine. 20% of Eastern Ukraine is gone forever. A people should know when they have been conquered: Germany and Japan.

 

[San Marino]

ISW, 28 April 2025

• Russia is reportedly expanding its military infrastructure along its border with Finland and stockpiling new tanks, likely in preparation for future aggression against NATO.

The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported on April 27, citing Western military and intelligence officials, that Russia is expanding military bases near Petrozavodsk, Republic of Karelia, and upgrading railway lines and other infrastructure along Russia's western border with NATO. WSJ reported that the Kremlin plans to create a new army headquarters near Petrozavodsk in the next several years and that Russia is integrating roadways and railways in the Moscow Military District (MMD) with infrastructure in Belarus. Sources stated that Russia intends to form new divisions on the basis of existing brigades in the Leningrad Military District (LMD) in the coming years and that Russia is constructing new barracks and training grounds and upgrading warehouses and railways near Petrozavodsk to accommodate the future influx of personnel. A senior Finnish military official stated that Russia is sending "almost none" of its newly produced tanks to the frontline in Ukraine but is stockpiling the tanks for "later use." ISW previously assessed that Russia's restoration of the MMD and LMD is part of a long-term restructuring effort to prepare for a potential future large-scale conventional war against NATO.

• Russian forces recently advanced in Sumy Oblast and near Kupyansk, Siversk, Toretsk, and Novopavlivka.
• “Since the beginning of the aggression, the enemy has increased its group fivefold,” Ukrainian Commander-in-chief Oleksandr Syrskij told the online publication Livyi Bereg this week. He estimated that Russia has been adding 120,000 to 130,000 soldiers a year to its forces in Ukraine and it today has about 623,000 military personnel in the country.

* Where is the information on the size of the Ukrainian Army currently fighting in April 2025? Is it anywhere close to 623,000 Russian soldiers? ...and somehow Ukraine is going to keep this going for another 3 years. Despite claiming the contrary, the Russian economy is doing well, and recruitment numbers are up. Russia can keep this conflict going for at least another 3 years. US and European influence are not going to change anything. Trump was wrong about his 1-day claim later changed to a 90-day claim to end the conflict. 90 days have come and gone. He is having better luck with Iran.

 

[DEVILsSON]

 

[SandisLL]

This arsenal in russia with small smoke incident had in soviet times underground capacity approx 610 000 lbs and if other storages too used then approx till 1 500 000 lbs ....for MRLS missiles and a bit for arty shells.

Russia's officials will visit Belarus....some maybe colonels etc. Most likely will ask Lukashenko to send some missiles.

In general this arsenal will not have big impact on russia's ability to continue war ...

With one expection: if it had a lot missiles for 300 mm Smerch MRLS. Their production always was relatively modest...not big numbers.

Grad 122 mm is different situation: they had several factories and since 1970 ies manufactured these like peaces of soap ....

 

[PEB]

 

[DoctorTaco]

Russia Returned Ukrainian Journalist Viktoria Roshchyna’s Body Without Internal Organs

An investigation reveals Ukrainian journalist Viktoria Roshchyna's body returned from Russia missing organs, raising questions about her cause of death.

united24media.com

 

[Strychnine]

Russia's army is just an embarrassment at this point.

 

[filthybliss]

I hate to be a debbie downer but Russia won here. Trump is not going to facillitate Ukraine's security concerns and I do not think he will supply Ukraine to fight against his handlers in Kremlin. The adminstration already ruled out NATO membership too as a deterrent.

It feels like nuclear expansion is just going to be the norm at this point. It is hard to debate otherwise in 2025. Gaddafi and Ukraine paid the price for being cordial and signing off their nuclear clauses. NK, Russia, and Pakistan have more or less remained standing for committing much more sinister actions....

 

[SandisLL]

Nothing new. all these tales in ujraine about nato membership anyway were just for ukr public, litrally empty noise: too much different politicians in europe and U.S didn't had wanted this...it was well known reality decade in row...even before 2022 th...

Okey, in plain and simple texts this always had been told by Orban but others too are here ...

 

[SandisLL]

Looks that Trump will not be willing to send weapons etc for ukr or even sell for $.
Most likely he is under impact from Witkoff: he is listening him etc.

 

[F1980]

Zelensky sent a group to the frontlines knowing full well they're American and outnumbered 22 to 1 and they were all Zoomers.

They got massacred and I felt sorry for one of them calling for a "time out" right before a Russian blew their brains out. Not sure what these guys were doing thinking they were playing Minecraft or something. Now they're all dead.

 

[San Marino]

Gaddafi and Ukraine paid the price for being cordial and signing off their nuclear clauses. NK, Russia, and Pakistan have more or less remained standing for committing much more sinister actions....

Saudi Arabia has already purchased close to 12 nuclear missiles from Pakistan. Pakistan was told to hold on to the missiles until further notice.

 

[Cid]

Zelensky sent a group to the frontlines knowing full well they're American and outnumbered 22 to 1 and they were all Zoomers.

They got massacred and I felt sorry for one of them calling for a "time out" right before a Russian blew their brains out. Not sure what these guys were doing thinking they were playing Minecraft or something. Now they're all dead.

 

[filthybliss]

Saudi Arabia has already purchased close to 12 nuclear missiles from Pakistan. Pakistan was told to hold on to the missiles until further notice.

I’ve heard of that rumor. I’m curious about how much water that holds.

Nonetheless, America made some serious fuck ups during the Cold War and we are suffering from it today. Cozying up to Mujadeen, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan as a counterweight to the Soviet-affiliated Secular Options (India, Democratic Republic of Afghanistan, Nasserists) didn’t age well….

The idea of a nuclear stalemate terrifies me more than anything. Internationally, we should all be pushing to de-escalate nuclear proliferation.

 

[PEB]

Russia Returned Ukrainian Journalist Viktoria Roshchyna’s Body Without Internal Organs

An investigation reveals Ukrainian journalist Viktoria Roshchyna's body returned from Russia missing organs, raising questions about her cause of death.

united24media.com

Fake news I know!! A-holes and Fing butchers they were the same way in WW2 I know this fact.

 

[PEB]

I hate to be a debbie downer but Russia won here. Trump is not going to facillitate Ukraine's security concerns and I do not think he will supply Ukraine to fight against his handlers in Kremlin. The adminstration already ruled out NATO membership too as a deterrent.

It feels like nuclear expansion is just going to be the norm at this point. It is hard to debate otherwise in 2025. Gaddafi and Ukraine paid the price for being cordial and signing off their nuclear clauses. NK, Russia, and Pakistan have more or less remained standing for committing much more sinister actions....

Yeah sure Trump apologist as Russia building bases along the Finish boarders NATO needs to step up even as we have a Russian operative running government. Don't start with the see my past post BS. As Canada, and Europe pulls away from the US maybe Senators and Congressmen with realize what a mess they have on their hands.

Constant pressure is having a slight bit of success.

 

[Strychnine]

Ukraine Has Received 400,000 Shells Through Czech-Led Ammunition Initiative​

https://militarnyi.com/en/news/ukraine-has-received-400-000-shells-through-czech-led-ammunition-initiative/

 

[San Marino]

I’ve heard of that rumor.

I think at this stage it is more than just a rumor.
Israel ran a parallel nuclear program back in the 1970s. It had one installation it showed American inspectors and another that was hidden. The first installation was to prove that the Israelis were not building a nuclear bomb. The second installation was doing exactly that. I believe this is what Iran is currently doing. If Pakistan can go nuclear, so can Iran. Personally, I think Iran already has a bomb.

Nonetheless, America made some serious fuck ups during the Cold War and we are suffering from it today. Cozying up to Mujadeen, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan as a counterweight to the Soviet-affiliated Secular Options (India, Democratic Republic of Afghanistan, Nasserists) didn’t age well….

You left out Iraq.
Saudi Arabia is clearly burning the candle at both ends. It can talk to the US and also to the enemies of the US such as Russia and China.

The idea of a nuclear stalemate terrifies me more than anything. Internationally, we should all be pushing to de-escalate nuclear proliferation.

Don't forget about all the missing nukes since the fall of the Soviet Union. How many? Where did they go?
Also, France could easily arm Ukraine with nuclear weapons. A risky move, but it may just end the Ukraine conflict and start a world conflict. This is what started 75% of this conflict in Ukraine. Ukraine as part of NATO being armed with US nuclear weapons pointed at Russia. This I can understand as pissing off Putin and Russians as much as the Soviets placing nuclear weapons in Cuba. Gorbachev was lied to in 1990. NATO clearly moved Eastward more than 1 inch.

 

[San Marino]

Ukraine Has Received 400,000 Shells Through Czech-Led Ammunition Initiative

True now as it was then:
"Notably, as many as half of the shells are duds, according to an official at Ukraine's intelligence directorate."

With A Million Shells About To Ship, Ukraine’s Ammo Crisis Might End

In fits and starts, Ukraine’s European allies are piecing together the financing and industrial resources to supply the Ukrainians with the artillery ammo they need.

www.forbes.com

Ukraine had to recall 100,000 artillery shells amid complaints they'd get stuck in launchers and weren't exploding

Ukraine said it's recalling a batch of 120mm artillery shells, typically used as mortar rounds, as it seeks to boost its ammo-producing industry.

www.yahoo.com

 

[Rholk]

True now as it was then:
"Notably, as many as half of the shells are duds, according to an official at Ukraine's intelligence directorate."

With A Million Shells About To Ship, Ukraine’s Ammo Crisis Might End

In fits and starts, Ukraine’s European allies are piecing together the financing and industrial resources to supply the Ukrainians with the artillery ammo they need.

www.forbes.com

Ukraine had to recall 100,000 artillery shells amid complaints they'd get stuck in launchers and weren't exploding

Ukraine said it's recalling a batch of 120mm artillery shells, typically used as mortar rounds, as it seeks to boost its ammo-producing industry.

www.yahoo.com

Lmao, why not post the full quote, they are talking about NK shells beeing duds.
Weird you left that out, Stolen Valerino

34
BusinessAerospace & Defense

With A Million Shells About To Ship, Ukraine’s Artillery Crisis Could End Soon​

Meanwhile, Russian’s offensive this year has been been sustained by the Kremlin’s purchase, from North Korea, of around 400,000 shells a month for four months in a row starting in September.

Notably, as many as half of the shells are duds, according to an official at Ukraine’s intelligence directorate. But despite the high dud rate, the Russians are firing around 10,000 shells a day all along the 600-mile front of their wider war. The Ukrainians are firing just 2,000 shells a day.