International Russia/Ukraine Megathread V15

[Hog-train]

 

[Cid]

 

[SandisLL]

Avdiivka and area.
Despite very huge losses russia is able to replace them and to push attack further.
Their advantage in artillery is about 5:1 and the same about mortar " shells ", also approx 5:1 advantage in drones and fire support with MRLS.
Also Russia uses a lot of gliding bombs and unguided air to ground missiles and TOS thermobaric launchers....
Ants are replaced and continue to press further despite losses.

 

[HOLA]

 

[GhostZ06]

 

[SandisLL]

There are a lot of bad stuff news about Ukraine....
1. Putin looks that is investing even more manpower and money in war effort.
A. They continue to dig trenches and build fortifications in occupied areas...
B. Looks that russia continues to deliver and install mines ...
C. Russia managed to deliver in Dumbass a lot of drones and ammunition.

2. Russia had improved missile and long range drones attacks flowcharts in order to owercome air defense + is hiting lesser protected areas...
A. They are launching different types of drones and missiles in one attack wave....
B. They are using also S-300 air defense missiles adapted to strike ground targets and Ukr looks that can't intercept these.
C. They had adapted old and large Kh-22 cruise missile to strike ground targets and while not precise, it is large missile with 1000 kg warhead AND thus far looks that Ukr didn't had managed to intercept even 1 from these old large cruise missiles.

3. Limited supplies with 155 mm shells and mortars " shells " forces Ukr seriously reduce artillery/ mortars usage.

 

[SandisLL]

Looks that Russia's target is to exaust Ukr SAM missiles stockpile and after this they will start to use Kalibr more...they had accumulated some large batch and Kalibr is very precise.

Bad stuff is also that Zelensky doesn't want to pay for weapons.
For example most likely they might get more SAMP-T if there had been money on the table.
House not likely will aporove anything for border or Ukr, maybe also for Israel because if House will not function they might use this for Trump's pre election campaign....to blame Biden and Trump will promise to solve border problem, reduce tax and increase spendings etc....and might win. In europe had been started preparation for scenario that next POTUS will be Trump.

So ofc for contracts already signed : they will be paid IF weapons will be delivered...despite Trump or someone else will win.
While new next contracts will be under question how safe is to order weapons purchase from U.S and get ...these delivered.....
The same MANPADS...
Stinger ofc is good but SK is selling similar stuff, France and Poland too...

 

[SandisLL]

for european doctrine is advised to have both types of MANPADS: laser guided and IR/ multi spectrum type ...
lg type stuff are selling Sweden and U.K.
Other type : U.S, France, Poland, South Korea...
Russia, Pakistan and China....

Reality is concern that Trump if will be elected might block weapons delivery despite signed contracts and money on the table... maybe.
Therefore now more interesting are offers to sell such stuff from France, Poland, South Korea......

 

[GhostZ06]

 

[Wetarmpits]

Charging your phone in a train?

Wonders of civilisation?

 

[Hog-train]

There are a lot of bad stuff news about Ukraine....
1. Putin looks that is investing even more manpower and money in war effort.
A. They continue to dig trenches and build fortifications in occupied areas...
B. Looks that russia continues to deliver and install mines ...
C. Russia managed to deliver in Dumbass a lot of drones and ammunition.

If Russia is putting in more mines and trenches, it seems pretty much impossible that Ukraine will ever recover their land. They need an amphibious landing but will never have that capability.

 

[SandisLL]

If Russia is putting in more mines and trenches, it seems pretty much impossible that Ukraine will ever recover their land. They need an amphibious landing but will never have that capability.

It is even worse that simple trenches and minefields.

In Dumbass in large quantities is delivered cement, additives for mixture and bags...not bodybags but these kind of bags usually used in construction industry and military for sand... also reinforced concrete panels ..a lot of them...
Therefore most likely Russia wants to continue to build reinforced bunkers in occupied areas.
Russians are good in construction industry and therefore bunkers most likely will be very durable and effective. ....

 

[AWilder]

why are republicans the worst?

 

[SandisLL]

Again very bad news from Ukr.
Ukr had managed ti shot down Ka-52 helicopter but Russis had shot down Ukr airplane.
U.S not likely will provide Ukr any airplane till POTUS elections and looks that Kissinger was correct that better is to have U.S as enemy rather than as " friend ". Unfortunately for Ukraine sadly looks that Kissinger was correct and Ukr are feeling that such axioma is relity.

 

[AWilder]

Again very bad news from Ukr.
Ukr had managed ti shot down Ka-52 helicopter but Russis had shot down Ukr airplane.
U.S not likely will provide Ukr any airplane till POTUS elections and looks that Kissinger was correct that better is to have U.S as enemy rather than as " friend ". Unfortunately for Ukraine sadly looks that Kissinger was correct and Ukr are feeling that such axioma is relity.

no one should ever listen to a war criminal like kissinger.

 

[SandisLL]

no one should ever listen to a war criminal like kissinger.

Kisssinger ofc was awful but stuff we today see done in Congress since October 2023 th confirms his postulate, sadly.

 

[SandisLL]

Avdiivka and area.
Looks that Ukr will have 3 choices:
A. To apply additional forces and assist troops withdrawal.
B. To apply very huge ammounts of additional forces.
C. To allow to turn Avdiivka into Mariupol & Bakhmut ....and maybe again to call troops surrounding as evacuation. Mr Zelensky does have such experience and ofc might repeat scenario.

They doesn't have time like ppl in puffy cubicles in Kiev does have...

 

[Ruthless Ryan]

Avdiivka and area.
Looks that Ukr will have 3 choices:
A. To apply additional forces and assist troops withdrawal.
B. To apply very huge ammounts of additional forces.
C. To allow to turn Avdiivka into Mariupol & Bakhmut ....and maybe again to call troops surrounding as evacuation. Mr Zelensky does have such experience and ofc might repeat scenario.

They doesn't have time like ppl in puffy cubicles in Kiev does have...

They def wont be staying and fighting as they dont have men and resources to throw away like Putler. Hopefully keep making them pay with 1000's of lives for every m they get. Make the place a giant booby trapped minefield and have every notable building planted with explosives.

 

[Boxiana]

Zaluzhnyi fired. Uncertain times for Zelensky if he was as popular with the army as reported.

Volodymyr Zelenskiy fires top Ukraine army commander

Valerii Zaluzhnyi to be replaced by land forces commander, Oleksandr Syrskyi, in ‘renewal’ of armed forces

www.theguardian.com

 

[Ruthless Ryan]

If Russia is putting in more mines and trenches, it seems pretty much impossible that Ukraine will ever recover their land. They need an amphibious landing but will never have that capability.

They will never be able to take it just with Military, Russia is slowly coming apart from within as there is no way Russia can keep up putting the massive cost of this war without something having to give. Putin keeps doubling down over and over and eventually he'll have to lay his cards down.

On a side note the guy that was running against Putin in the election has shockingly been banned from running . What a joke of a country...