International Russia/Ukraine Megathread V13

[Strychnine]

They aren't small potatoes in big scheme of things.
Poland and Slovakia are main transit roads to deliver Ukraine humanitarian and medical & civilian aid, fuel etc.
They does knows that EU is threating them as small shit while are in dependece of them and actually Germany is very weak financially and military. Also not likely they does have any illusion that U.S isn't dreaming to use them like Kurds.

They aren't idiots. Despite americans are dreaming that they will be Kurds No2 and Germany that they will be Ukraine No2 and they might have time to relocate to shelters in U.K and France.

Big game is big game and looks that E.U and U.S had already lost this big game. Sadly.

Do you think that Poland and Slovakia will pull support from Ukraine over this quibble?

 

[San Marino]

Here's one from Oct. 1 2022 where you said all Ukrainians would die in the next 12 months. https://forums.sherdog.com/posts/169375748/

Indeed!

"They are all going to die over the next 12 months and not be replaced.
Does the Ukrainian Army have enough soldiers to keep this war up for another 5 years?"

Did you read the second sentence? Where does it say that Ukraine is going to lose this conflict?
The question was posed but never answered.
Ukrainians are dying and not being replaced at an equal number.

 

[Ruthless Ryan]

Wow, no rotations until war is over. I’m sure that will demoralize lots of men knowing they likely arnt going to win and have to just wait it out until they die.

 

[SandisLL]

Germany financially is more potato than countries they are disrespecting.
Initially Maastricht criteria was to have yearly budget deficite not more than 2 % from NET GDP and state treasury debt in total not more than 40% from GDP net value.
Now EU approved eurozone target not more than 3 % yearly budget deficite from yearly net GDP and State Treasury debt in total not more than 60% from yearly GDP.
Germany don't match any from these new standards...
More than this, private debts vs deposits in commerical banks ratio is potato level.
So sorry, no next Molotov - Ribentropp pact will happen.
Germany is too weak to negotiate with Kremlin and U.S like in 1939th.
They aren't nor financial nor military stability center in Europe.
U.K and France will decide what areas will be new Russian Empire parts in europe....IF will have balls.
Germany is even more potato than Poland. They lost financially and their ground forces are underfunded during 3 decades in row.

 

[SandisLL]

Do you think that Poland and Slovakia will pull support from Ukraine over this quibble?

Yes. Definitely.
They will not tell this openly but most likely will delay delivery and transit terms, offer lesser military and technical aid, lesser humanitarian aid, will not be willing to sign warrant letters for World Bank, EBRD loans etc....
Definitely.

Lithuania might be worse hell with revenge by telling nothing.

 

[AWilder]

Russia has had 18 months of warning and based on what I'm reading, is at about 2 million shells a year.

I'm not sure what point you are trying to make?

 

[Strychnine]

Yes. Definitely.
They will not tell this openly but most likely will delay delivery and transit terms, offer lesser military and technical aid, lesser humanitarian aid, will not be willing to sign warrant letters for World Bank, EBRD loans etc....
Definitely.

Lithuania might be worse hell with revenge by telling nothing.

No, they won't and here's why. They know that if Ukraine falls, they are next. No one in Poland wants to see Krakow be transformed into Bakhmut. It's just that simple.

They're not going to risk that over a grain dispute.

 

[SandisLL]

I'd imagine a ton of them rotted away and there are many duds as well, but even Russia's defense plant cannot keep up with the number of shells they want to fire per day. This is why they are cutting deals with the weird Korean hermit kingdom for 152mm and 122mm shells.

Yeah.
I think that they had kept in warehouses stuff like 152 mm ammo produced in 1960-1991 th.
Percentage of usable today from this stuff depends from manufacturing quality and storage conditions.
Sometimes Nagant revolver cartridge manufactured before 1940 th might still be usable.
I remember I had lurked about one criminal case where manufactured in 1930 ies Nagant revolver and cartridge had been used in 2000 ies. 1 shot = 1 body in morgue.

__
I think that from manufactured 1960-1991 152 mm ammo in russian warehouses today usable might be 1 - 50% from all ammo units.

 

[San Marino]

San Marino: "Again, where is the post where I said a year ago that Ukraine would lose this war?"
Good job mate, but you have not proven anything. No cigar. Sorry! Let us take it from the top:

April 2022:
"Let us see how the Ukrainian Army is doing 12 months from now. How many soldiers will they have to fight the Russian Army. Russia can keep this up for years - Ukraine cannot. Round #1 of a 12 round fight. Ukraine wins round #1. Plus, the Russian people are behind Putin in this war."

Where does it say Ukraine would lose this war?

April 2022:
"Indeed. Within the next 12 months Putin (Russia) will most likely be using chemical weapons and tactical nukes - in Ukraine. The West (NATO) will still not get involved in a conflict in Ukraine."

Where does it say Ukraine will lose this war?

April 2022
"Those (unqualified) that make it 'in' and to the front are usually dying there. Volunteers will stop showing up after another 12 months. US supply of anti-tank weapons is also drying up. Ukraine is burning through them faster than they can be manufactured and we need to keep many for our own defense. ...and another 12 to 24 months to go. It has only been 2 months."

Where does it say Ukraine will lose this war?

April 2022:
You have political and military analysts on the other side of the table saying Ukraine cannot sustain this conflict for 12 months.

Analysts. Where do I say Ukraine is going to lose this war?

October 2022:
They know their numbers are shrinking and death is imminent.
Does the Ukrainian Army have enough soldiers to keep this war up for another 5 years?"

Where does it say Ukraine is going to lose this conflict?

November 2022:
The big exodus to Europe. The majority probably to Poland. What will the Ukrainian population look like in another 12 months?

<Lmaoo>
On this one I am the one asking the exact question and no answer.
Where does it say that Ukraine is going to lose this war?
Man, you did not get 1 out of 6 right. Thought you were so clever.
You and all the dumb little clapping seals who gave you a like are still wrong. As usual. Going through life fat, dumb, and happy.

 

[San Marino]

If @San Marino had any honor, he'd delete his account.

<Lmaoo>
Jarheads.

 

[San Marino]

@San Marino thread ban this loser

How exactly do I ban myself from a thread bright boy?
I am the most popular guy in this thread. Look at all the attention I am getting from all of you idiots.
The number of idiots in the Peanut Gallery just keeps growing.
Keep it coming. I'm having fun.

 

[SandisLL]

No, they won't and here's why. They know that if Ukraine falls, they are next. No one in Poland wants to see Krakow be transformed into Bakhmut. It's just that simple.

They're not going to risk that over a grain dispute.

They does knows also that U.S will dream to do with them the same as with Kurds.
Yalta 1945.
So they should keep enough weapons and ammo plus for them relatively lucrative might be if part of Ukr will remain as buffer and other part might take even Zimbabwe or China.
They does know Realpolitik and history.

 

[San Marino]

He won’t respond.

I responded all right dumbass. You just need to read it. ...and again, you and others continue to be wrong.

 

[lsa]

San Marino: "Again, where is the post where I said a year ago that Ukraine would lose this war?"
Good job mate, but you have not proven anything. No cigar. Sorry! Let us take it from the top:

Where does it say Ukraine would lose this war?

Where does it say Ukraine will lose this war?

Where does it say Ukraine will lose this war?

Analysts. Where do I say Ukraine is going to lose this war?

Where does it say Ukraine is going to lose this conflict?

<Lmaoo>
On this one I am the one asking the exact question and no answer.
Where does it say that Ukraine is going to lose this war?
Man, you did not get 1 out of 6 right. Thought you were so clever.
You and all the dumb little clapping seals who gave you a like are still wrong. As usual. Going through life fat, dumb, and happy.

Is that the best you got?
At least you are to dumb to realized when you been embarrassed.
I guess thats something. Its not good, but its something.

 

[SandisLL]

I responded all right dumbass. You just need to read it. ...and again, you and others continue to be wrong.

Chat GPT already does have more intelligence than all stuff you had posted here. Congratulations.

 

[San Marino]

LMAO - can't believe you actually did all that legwork to prove how much of a lying tool Spin Marino is. I predict he will tuck tail for a bit and then come back and completely ignore that he got exposed.

He did not prove shit! Read my response. Tuck tai? From what? A bunch of idiots who half the time don't know what they are talking about.
Get back to me in another 12 months to see who is right.

 

[SandisLL]

Too dumb to realise.
°TM

 

[SandisLL]

He did not prove shit! Read my response. Tuck tai? From what? A bunch of idiots who half the time don't know what they are talking about.
Get back to me in another 12 months to see who is right.

You most likely are Karate Stylist. He too had such chatbot like posts like San Marino.

 

[Limbo Pete]

He did not prove shit! Read my response. Tuck tai? From what? A bunch of idiots who half the time don't know what they are talking about.
Get back to me in another 12 months to see who is right.

Take a breath, dude lol
Ya got pwnt
It happens

 

[San Marino]

Is that the best you got?

That is what I ask you. Did you actually prove anything with your post? No. All that work for nothing.

At least you are to dumb to realized when you been embarrassed.

When was I embarrassed? I think that is just you and your wishful thinking.
Again, where did I say Ukraine would lose this war? You have not given me the correct quote yet. 6 out of 6 wrong. Keep trying.