Futbol Prem Euro 2024 Thread v1: England V Spain It's Coming Home Edition

[650lb Sumo]

About 76% of penalties in shootouts are scored (it's 85% in normal play, due to less pressure). So on average the chance of Costa saving three penalties in a row is less than 1.4% (as sometimes players miss the goal or hit the post).

To make things even less likely, the team that shoots first wins 60.5% of the time, and Slovenia shot first.

 

[LEWIS540]

To make things even less likely, the team that shoots first wins 60.5% of the time, and Slovenia shot first.

Yeah. Was a massive advantage.

They tried to introduce the abba system, but it never caught on

 

[Neck&Neck]

Spain Germany should be a good one

 

[Busgosu]

also lol at this guy. How can anyone be a fan is beyond me

 

[Carl Drogo]

I can't wait for the day Chules goes to jail

won't be putting up with any spurs slander this season, letting you know that right now

Spurs doing the double over arsenal this season

#Facts

LADDD

You wouldn't be just saying this stuff so I swap out the AV, right? It seems like you really mean it this time.

 

[Possum Jenkins]

You think?

Definitely.

It'd be interesting to see a study of which teams win shootouts more but I'm guessing it'd be the ones with more shots, shots on goal, passes completed, etc.

I'd say the dominant team wins about 70% of the time

 

[Unknown Pleasures]

About 76% of penalties in shootouts are scored (it's 85% in normal play, due to less pressure). So on average the chance of Costa saving three penalties in a row is less than 1.4% (as sometimes players miss the goal or hit the post).

Not to be that nerd, but maybe not quite.

Possible that a team that misses two in a row feels extra pressure, thus making their chances of scoring on the third attempt after two straight misses even less than the 76% quoted.

 

[Unknown Pleasures]

also lol at this guy. How can anyone be a fan is beyond me

He's passionate, and sometimes the sweat combines with his eyebrow wax and causes a sting when it leaks into his eyes -- making it appear that he's crying when he's really not.

 

[650lb Sumo]

Not to be that nerd, but maybe not quite.

Possible that a team that misses two in a row feels extra pressure, thus making their chances of scoring on the third attempt after two straight misses even less than the 76% quoted.

Maybe - I covered that under 'on average'.

 

[LEWIS540]

Definitely.

It'd be interesting to see a study of which teams win shootouts more but I'm guessing it'd be the ones with more shots, shots on goal, passes completed, etc.

I'd say the dominant team wins about 70% of the time

Aha sorry, thought we were talking tournaments as a whole.

 

[Dr J]

also lol at this guy. How can anyone be a fan is beyond me

Nah, I can’t get behind this. Missing penalties are gut-wrenching and probably the worst feeling in all of sports.

Universal guy code says a fan should never mock a guy for missing one unless the shooter plays for Liverpool or slips in the rain.

 

[Neck&Neck]

Bring on COPA
I’m liking it with the extra teams added

 

[illclint]

All Ronnie ever wanted, was for you to know that he cares.

 

[Deffid]

All Ronnie ever wanted, was for you to know that he cares.

He even throws temper tantrums in the freaking Saudi league, dude is just obsessed lol

 

[therealdope]

And I speak for all Slovenians.

 

[BroRogan]

@BroRogan and @Rawex picked 3-0 ffs

+ Big @Arqueto

Crazy, wild game that was. Fair play Slovenia but @FadeLess

 

[Possum Jenkins]

Aha sorry, thought we were talking tournaments as a whole.

Ah well in that case it's a little more varied, especially with the Euros.

Lately, Italy, Portugal were fairly surprising winners. Greece and Denmark in decades past were shocking.

But the World Cup and Copa America don't have nearly as many surprises. It's always been one of the top 2-3 teams that win it.

Even the Champions League has few big surprises. Chelsea in 2012 and Porto with Mourinho are the only big shocks this century that I can think of.

 

[LEWIS540]

Ah well in that case it's a little more varied, especially with the Euros.

Lately, Italy, Portugal were fairly surprising winners. Greece and Denmark in decades past were shocking.

But the World Cup and Copa America don't have nearly as many surprises. It's always been one of the top 2-3 teams that win it.

Even the Champions League has few big surprises. Chelsea in 2012 and Porto with Mourinho are the only big shocks this century that I can think of.

True

Will add Chelsea in 2021(?) and Pool in in 2005.

When you finish 5th in your league, winning the CL means far less, imo.

See Dortmund this year, too.



But -play the last WC 100 times, how many times do Argentina win? Hell after losng to Saudi Arabia, they'd be in massive trouble if they wern't in a wank group with Poland and Mexico.......

 

[mantis_fist]

also lol at this guy. How can anyone be a fan is beyond me

He better save those tears for next game. Although France is undeperforming as well.

 

[helax]

Ready for USA to smash those Urugays