- Joined
- Apr 8, 2009
- Messages
- 15,112
- Reaction score
- 0
That doesn't address the point though. You are a guy who believes in the "establishment" vs "grassroots" frame. Why is the "establishment" suddenly going after Harris?Yes there's the possible strategic angle here from the establishment, but it's also not wrong lol. She's not going to win. A comeback would take something drastic, and it seems like lots of people have made their minds up on her. She's a distant 4th in her own state. Imo it's better for the primary in general if everyone outside the top 4 drops out. Lets us actually focus on the ones who might be the eventual candidate.
The police chief scandal is a non-issue, imo. He's already addressed it in previous debates and came out fine.But I think there are more angles than that. He's faced a lot of backlash in the past week over the Douglass plan (his racial justice plan). Black leaders being named as supporters who never actually endorsed him. Releasing a supporter list that's actually half white. The fact that he's polling at 0% with black voters nationally. Not to mention the racially-charged police chief scandal he's been involved in with his city.
The Douglass plan thing is the result of a contractor doing sloppy work. I agree that it could be a fruitful line of attack if a black candidate were to make it. There are no such candidates left on the stage except for Booker who is running as the "let's all get along" guy.
Despite his jump in Iowa, I'm still extremely skeptical of Pete's chances. Iowa's not a given. He's still trailing slightly in other Iowa polls. And multiple others are close enough to him where anything could happen. He's trailing in New Hampshire despite seeing some improvements there. And he's far behind in South Carolina and Nevada. He doesn't even seem to be in the running in any other states (maybe Indiana?) because of his big investment in Iowa. I don't think he's running a bad strategy here considering his big disadvantage in popularity going into this race. But it's a bet by his campaign on momentum. He could conceivably win Iowa, come from behind and take New Hampshire, and still not reach the necessary support by Super Tuesday.
Only one candidate is leading in the South and he has been since the beginning. Sanders and Warren have had their time at or near the top and haven't made a dent there. If Buttigieg can't as he rises, who can? Anyway, I see a lot of people assuming that he can't improve there. I think they are wrong.
Last edited: