Political Betting Thread

This topic is not getting near the play in the media it should. I'm amazed as it seems the media is almost egging the conflict with Russia on. I'm speechless as to what is happening in America with the media. Obviously no one wants a war with Russia. But this talk towards Russia from the Left & the media is borderline frightening. She actually had a reporter ask her if she thought Russia might attempt a terrorist attack on the US to influence the election. She did that laugh and head bob and then proceeded to say we need to look out for that.

WTF. When did the left become the party of War & Big Money. Oh wait, both parties always have been.

And if Russia is OK with boogeyman Putin. Why do we fucking care.

Well Hillary is claiming that Russia is hacking the shit out of them and thus influencing the election. That is her reason for "caring".

I don't think there is much of a chance for war with Russia. The cold war happended for a reason...both sides understands there is way too much at stake and they really really don't want to fight each other. It wasn't a coincidence that the US & Russia were on the same team in WW1 and WW2.

Even Putin understands that everything Hillary says bad about Russia is just posturing to distract America from its actual problems. It is always easier to unite the country against a common enemy which in this case is boogeyman Putin.

Regardless of who wins the election the US and Russian interests are more or less aligned.
 
Well Hillary is claiming that Russia is hacking the shit out of them and thus influencing the election. That is her reason for "caring".

I don't think there is much of a chance for war with Russia. The cold war happended for a reason...both sides understands there is way too much at stake and they really really don't want to fight each other. It wasn't a coincidence that the US & Russia were on the same team in WW1 and WW2.

Even Putin understands that everything Hillary says bad about Russia is just posturing to distract America from its actual problems. It is always easier to unite the country against a common enemy which in this case is boogeyman Putin.

Regardless of who wins the election the US and Russian interests are more or less aligned.
Idk. Hilary has said many times now she wants to enforce a no fly zone over Syria and Russia, and Putin won't allow that. Not to mention Putin has publicly said he doesn't respect Hilary. War might seem far fetched right now, but I can't imagine if Hilary actually does as she says our relations with them will do anything but get drastically worse
 
Idk. Hilary has said many times now she wants to enforce a no fly zone over Syria and Russia, and Putin won't allow that. Not to mention Putin has publicly said he doesn't respect Hilary. War might seem far fetched right now, but I can't imagine if Hilary actually does as she says our relations with them will do anything but get drastically worse

Sure, If Hill wins I don't expect them to be bros as she seems pretty opposed to Putin. There is a long way to go before we are close to war though. Even if diplomatic relations completely melt down we still have another cold war scenario and not an actual war. The US and Russia don't deem war as a real option anymore IMO. Superpowers don't fight becuase it doesn't make sense. The way they fight is with embargoes, trade agreements, and building their own offense/defense military capabilities.

There is simply too much firepower on both sides to take war seriously. It would be the end...
 
Sure, If Hill wins I don't expect them to be bros as she seems pretty opposed to Putin. There is a long way to go before we are close to war though. Even if diplomatic relations completely melt down we still have another cold war scenario and not an actual war. The US and Russia don't deem war as a real option anymore IMO. Superpowers don't fight becuase it doesn't make sense. The way they fight is with embargoes, trade agreements, and building their own offense/defense military capabilities.

There is simply too much firepower on both sides to take war seriously. It would be the end...
I pray (and mostly think) that you are right. If not, I hope all Hilary voters are ready to fulfill their moral obligation of enlisting, cause its not like the writing isn't on the wall right now for relations with Russia to get real bad under Hilary.

EDIT also wanted to add, a big reason for fear is unless i'm missing something, Hilary has NEVER voted against war or a military strike
 
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hacking worries me much more than the small threat of direct war between US and russia, Imagine the destruction economically, environmentally, politically and socially that hacking can cause in the wrong hands if someone or some group with nefarious intentions manages to hack into dams, power plants, banks etc.. as a society there are fewer and fewer areas of our life that aren't somehow directly or indirectly connected to computers.
is this hacking and all the rhetoric that comes with it not already a new type of warfare to some degree? I may be paranoid but the insecurity of the general public is mounting with the fear that something catastrophic could potentially happen within our lifetimes. that's not too say there aren't a lot of good things that have come about as a result of hacking though. there's so much turmoil happening right now as a direct result of this election and the candidates involved that globally we could have ramifications that will last decades or more

TLDR: I'm a bit drunk atm and this election has rattled my jimmies :(
 
Come the fuck on!! U really think the US doesn't use cyber warfare against EVERY GOD DAMN COUNTRY ON EARTH??

The use it against its own citizens!!

I'm amazed how naive Americans are.

America infiltrates foreign governments and topples governments for gods sake.

We have NO moral high ground here. Sorry
 
U guys honestly think the US/CIA is A OK dronning the shit out of countries, arming terrorists and overthrowing regimes. But we suddenly draw the line on cyber warfare.

Good God
 
I pray (and mostly think) that you are right. If not, I hope all Hilary voters are ready to fulfill their moral obligation of enlisting, cause its not like the writing isn't on the wall right now for relations with Russia to get real bad under Hilary.

EDIT also wanted to add, a big reason for fear is unless i'm missing something, Hilary has NEVER voted against war or a military strike
U are right.

As for there being no chance of war with Russia. What happens when they shoot down one of our jets?

America is the twilight zone
 
Sure, If Hill wins I don't expect them to be bros as she seems pretty opposed to Putin. There is a long way to go before we are close to war though. Even if diplomatic relations completely melt down we still have another cold war scenario and not an actual war. The US and Russia don't deem war as a real option anymore IMO. Superpowers don't fight becuase it doesn't make sense. The way they fight is with embargoes, trade agreements, and building their own offense/defense military capabilities.

There is simply too much firepower on both sides to take war seriously. It would be the end...

What happens if Russia shoots down 1 of our jets.

Can u honestly not see how dangerous this game is we are playing in Syria?
 
Of interest.

Check out the upcoming Iceland election
 
@SBJJ and I always disagreeing with the MMA, but of all the things politics brings us to like mindedness. Fully agree with him here
 
@SBJJ and I always disagreeing with the MMA, but of all the things politics brings us to like mindedness. Fully agree with him here
Lol. Yea man!!

This is the thing. I don't really like Trump but I do like the anti establishment aspect of him and I absolutely LOVE that he seems so hesitant to go to war. I mean seriously, what is more important than War?

People act as if there is no way that we go to war with Russia. As if these politicians show wise judgement.

I didn't think we'd be bombing the hell out of all these countries after Obama was elected. I was wrong. I didn't think we would overthrow MODERATE Middle East dictators and arm terrorists. I was wrong. I didn't think we'd be at a second Cold War under Obama. I was wrong.
 
What happens if Russia shoots down 1 of our jets.

Can u honestly not see how dangerous this game is we are playing in Syria?

It could happen no doubt. wars are started for silly reasons and for mistakes etc. I was just pointing out that despite the west talking tough they are actually very hesitant to be at war with russia.
 
Do u really put it past Hillary to do something "stupid" with Russia to take the heat off her in the future. Hasn't she and the rest of the politicians made enough mistakes?

Russia has international law on its side in Syria. They were invited by Assad. They would and do have every right to shoot down our jets over there.

Also, I encourage everyone to seek out ANYONE that has migrated her from Syria and talk to them about what is going on. U will be surprised. For all of Assads faults. He PROTECTED women, minorities & Christians in that country. We are 100% backing the wrong side(rebels/terrorists).

Sadly. Russia is right here. We are wrong.
 
Do u really put it past Hillary to do something "stupid" with Russia to take the heat off her in the future. Hasn't she and the rest of the politicians made enough mistakes?

Russia has international law on its side in Syria. They were invited by Assad. They would and do have every right to shoot down our jets over there.

Also, I encourage everyone to seek out ANYONE that has migrated her from Syria and talk to them about what is going on. U will be surprised. For all of Assads faults. He PROTECTED women, minorities & Christians in that country. We are 100% backing the wrong side(rebels/terrorists).

Sadly. Russia is right here. We are wrong.

Assad is a thug. Plenty of the people from Syria who'd tell you so...now can't as they are not free or in some cases aren't breathing.

That said...

I'm also not saying those opposing him are any better at all. The "right" side doesn't exist here. Assad "protected" some of the people you talk about as long as they played ball. Groups like Human Rights Watch have explicitly detailed the brutality of Assad's regime against those who speak out against him.

Russia isn't "right" nor are we "wrong". There is no "right" and "wrong" here. There's just two shitty choices neither of which hold any appeal at all imo.

History has a long list of having to pick between two awful choices. When Roosevelt agreed to Lend/Lease in WWII it wasn't because he thought Stalin was a swell guy. He did it knowing he was in bed with a thug. The more imminent threat was Hitler, and we sent shit to Russia. Fast forward 50 years or so and Russia invaded Afghanistan at the height of the cold war. You think our CIA didn't know (to a degree anyway) that when we gave those Stinger missiles to the Muhajideen to shoot down the Russian helicopters that we weren't getting into bed with some pretty shady fuckers? But...at the time Russia gaining a stronghold like that in the ME (esp given their historical relationship with Iran) was a far bigger concern. So, here's some stinger missiles guys. We'll be bombing you in a couple decades when you become the Taliban.

As for international law, I'd actually agree in this case. That said, Russia didn't seem to care a whole lot about it when they decided roll right into the Ukraine. Without getting too much into the weeds on international law, let's just say reasonable people would do some serious eye rolling if Putin decides to start lecturing anyone on it. (And again, the U.S. is FAR from perfect in terms of international relations, etc. I am 100% NOT saying we are the be all end all moral authority. But there are degrees to everything.)

*Since this is a betting thread and not the War Room, let me say that I'd cap actual military conflict between the U.S. and Russia at about +5000 even with Hillary as Prez. Don't get me wrong, those odds still make me nervous, but it's a very long shot at best.
 
Sorry Mkess u are just wrong. I live in an area with a heavy Persian and Armenian population. Mostly Christian. And u are just 100% wrong on this. Some countries need a thug to keep part of the population from enslaving and beheading a portion of the population. That was NOT happening before we decided to topple this thug regime. It IS happening now. Sorry man, our country is not perfect, we ARE on the wrong side at times.

U argue with me as if I spoke highly of Assad. Go read what I said. He is a brutal dictator. As was Hussein and Ghaddafi. But some countries are better off with a dictator. And forcing democracy by drones on populations where the majority will behead the minorities is DUMB.

As for Crimea. I never justified that, I was speaking of Syria. I'm sure u and I agree on Ukraine, so not sure why it was even brought up. I am not going to justify the evils of my government by pointing out the evils of others.
 
As for Russia, try to see things from someone living in Russia.

How would we feel if Russia started arming Canada and Mexico? How would America feel? That is essentially what we have done. Russia feels surrounded.

If u honestly feel war with Russia is so far fetched why the need to arm all their neighbors?


Hope u are anyone is not getting pissed. Just a discussion. I served in the Air Force for 8 years and I love this country. I have a brother and a cousin still serving. My cousin is on the Drone program(he hates it)

But love of country should not be blind and we must hold our politicians accountable.
 
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I just don't like when politicians and the Media portray Putin as Evil when We(America) are currently bombing something like 10 countries
 
Sorry Mkess u are just wrong. I live in an area with a heavy Persian and Armenian population. Mostly Christian. And u are just 100% wrong on this. Some countries need a thug to keep part of the population from enslaving and beheading a portion of the population. That was NOT happening before we decided to topple this thug regime. It IS happening now. Sorry man, our country is not perfect, we ARE on the wrong side at times.

U argue with me as if I spoke highly of Assad. Go read what I said. He is a brutal dictator. As was Hussein and Ghaddafi. But some countries are better off with a dictator. And forcing democracy by drones on populations where the majority will behead the minorities is DUMB.

As for Crimea. I never justified that, I was speaking of Syria. I'm sure u and I agree on Ukraine, so not sure why it was even brought up. I am not going to justify the evils of my government by pointing out the evils of others.

I think you need to reread what I wrote. I really wasn't picking a side when it came to Syria. Your post said "Go ask ANYONE that's fled Syria..." I was pointing out the people who'd have a different view than you do have been jailed, tortured, killed etc. by Assad's regime.

And yes, atrocities WERE happening before we were involved in Syria. This didn't start out as the U.S. just randomly deciding to get involved. There were pro democracy rallies that were pretty much Syrian homegrown and those involved were captured, tortured, etc. Many of them the "women and Christians" you claimed Assad was "protecting".

I get that your anecdotal evidence of those that have fled to your area says Assad is the better choice. And let me once again make this clear: he MIGHT be the better choice. I'm not claiming to know what's best in Syria. Obviously a pretty large part of the population wants democracy. And of course there's those who want the pseudo-Theocracy that is Assad. And HELL YES the monsters that have taken advantage of the situation to try to impose their extremism are worse than Assad. Obviously nobody thinks otherwise. Which is why you have this weird scenario where the U.S. is simultaneously saying Assad needs to go but also militarily trying stamp out the "rebels" (terrorists for the most part, as you said). The problem is that it's complicated and that I believe we've had a feckless and indecisive executive branch of our federal govt for quite some time.

So to repeat: I'm NOT saying toppling Assad and leaving another power vacuum is the right thing. Or trying to install a weak puppet regime that won't last. I don't know the best course of action, and these situations are rarely black and white. The world is a complicated place. The same people that have screamed for years about the lack of U.S. intervention in the Sudan due to human rights violations turn around and criticize us for being to involved in other parts of the ME.

Finally, I'm not "arguing" with you. I think you have an opinion that's valid, I just can't go so far as to necessarily agree with it 100%. I think it's too simplistic to just say "We need to just leave these thug dictators in place over there and mind our business". The world is too small now and that's too simplistic a viewpoint. BUT, nor does it mean I think it's a good idea to constantly be trying to topple dictators, esp in that region. I don't claim to know the best course of action. Thankfully, I don't have to make those decisions. And just an FYI, I just used the Russian invasion of the Ukraine as an example of why if Putin ever tried to use "international law" as his justification for shooting down a U.S. plane it would be laughable. I know you most likely don't think that he had any right to do it.

I don't think we totally disagree on this stuff, I think my stance is just more nuanced. When I was 25 I thought I had every answer to these international issues. Now I'm almost 40 and I finally realize how little I know and how glad I am that I'm not the one having to deal with them.
 
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