Political Betting Thread



what you all think?

feels like things are starting to snowball against biden despite all the advantageous benefits his campaign have been gifted lately. I just can't see this man being the next president.. that seems so much crazier to me than trump winning in 2016.
 
enough is enough, im bailing on my trump bet for now, this tweet is going to cause such a big shitstorm, dumb mistake from him.
 
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TrueAscension said:
No one who is going to vote for Trump will ever be offended by anything he does. If anything, this will only energize his base.
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true to some degree although this is not my point. Right now trump is behind in the polls and his popularity is falling. trump's odds already have started to drift. this isn't campaign ending by any means but it's a clear sign he is not in touch with the impact of his tweets. he had to make a clarification on it the next day for damage limitation, he never does that normally. this for me was just the final straw as he's made several bad communication errors of late and with his current poll #'s it seemed inevitable his odds would drift. I'm willing to get back in at higher odds, but honestly I don't need to take the risk atm with things being so volatile.
Luckily for him antifa seems to be coming to his rescue making the dems look bad in many major arguments right now. the protests/riots looks worse for the left.
 
Anonymous just released info that Mr. Trumpy was connected with Epstein in regards to 13y old girls. RIP re-election?
 
Roads55 said:
true to some degree although this is not my point. Right now trump is behind in the polls and his popularity is falling. trump's odds already have started to drift. this isn't campaign ending by any means but it's a clear sign he is not in touch with the impact of his tweets. he had to make a clarification on it the next day for damage limitation, he never does that normally. this for me was just the final straw as he's made several bad communication errors of late and with his current poll #'s it seemed inevitable his odds would drift. I'm willing to get back in at higher odds, but honestly I don't need to take the risk atm with things being so volatile.
Luckily for him antifa seems to be coming to his rescue making the dems look bad in many major arguments right now. the protests/riots looks worse for the left.
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I had a bet on him at +100 and now -150...they aren’t drifting... and you are really gonna believe polls after 2016? I’ve never been polled....
 
BigAl-ThePal said:
I had a bet on him at +100 and now -150...they aren’t drifting... and you are really gonna believe polls after 2016? I’ve never been polled....
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books prices are not that good. I go by the much more accurate exchange prices. and he is 100% drifting. he's -150 because your book has a lot of juice built into their lines, IDK what book you are looking at but that is a god awful price. most books have him at evens: https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics/us-presidential-election-2020/winner
and the exchanges have him around 2.2/+120 (the more accurate price).

Believe polls? ofc you have to take them with a pinch of salt but as an indicator you have to take them into account with other factors.
 
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That’s ridiculous no way in hell Joe Biden wins. They can blame trump for what’s going on right now but all these violent protest are because of white liberal antifa terrorists organization. I need to find a book that has those odds you posted. Happy as fuck with my original +100. Oh yeah and besides Trump being -150, Republican Party to win is -200 (on my book). Found that kinda strange.
 
Either way I don’t see Joe Biden making it to November without another hiccup. Strange how after he made a disgusting comment about black people this happens. Another distraction to help everyone forget lol
 
Ps. My site has taken down the odds for politics due to the riots and protest. Will update lines when I see them again
 
That could also be because of anonymous’s latest dropping of the “little black book” of Epstein
 
BigAl-ThePal said:
That’s ridiculous no way in hell Joe Biden wins. They can blame trump for what’s going on right now but all these violent protest are because of white liberal antifa terrorists organization. I need to find a book that has those odds you posted. Happy as fuck with my original +100. Oh yeah and besides Trump being -150, Republican Party to win is -200 (on my book). Found that kinda strange.
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yeah you need a new book lol, what one are you using? There's probably a reason for it though. for instance maybe they are still getting pleb money betting trump at those odds in which case they profit a lot more, or maybe they are just really slow to update lines(although I'm guessing not as biden probably isn't still +!30 or so?), or maybe they just juice the shit out of the lines. winning party has dems as a tiny fav and republicans at 2.04(+104) right now.
I really don't think the riots themselves are what's directly responsible for the drifting, although it does create a lot of uncertainty in the race going forward. the fact is Biden is in a very strong position even though it seems completely ridiculous, but 100% he will have several more cock ups before voting day.
 
Well I believe they took the odds down today solely based off these riots.trump was on pace for a landslide victory prior to covid and riots. Lines flip flopped. Crazy how things can change so quick and something said a week ago is forgotten. There is definitely a shadow government in place at the moment. Biden wins, you can kiss this country goodbye.
 
Hey, looks like this thread kicked off again. Im back in the hunt too. I dropped 5u on Trumpy at +130. Plus sprinkling some others as longshots.

Ive read the posts on here. I was going to wait for bidens vp pick b4 deciding i was going to bet this again, but recent events make me bullish on trump at plus odds.

Liberals are so lost in a fantasy world they think burning their strongholds into the ground is a good thing, just to spite trump.

Its amazing what he makes opponents do. I cant believe they are going to stand in the wreakage of their cities and spout social justice nonsense.

I dont know what is going on in their heads, but i certainly hope to profit from it. I will build up a position over the next month or 2.

For me, bidens vp will still be a big consideration on estimating trumps odds of re election. Im basically thinking if biden chooses michelle as his vp, a de facto 3rd obama term could swing it for the dims. Overall though i think obama is too chicken to take on trump head on. But am partially hedging my trump action with bets on michelle as vp. If he chooses harris or even worse warren, trump is a shoo-in. Klobuchat or gillibrand are not terrible picks imo.
 
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Roads55 said:
true to some degree although this is not my point. Right now trump is behind in the polls and his popularity is falling. trump's odds already have started to drift. this isn't campaign ending by any means but it's a clear sign he is not in touch with the impact of his tweets. he had to make a clarification on it the next day for damage limitation, he never does that normally. this for me was just the final straw as he's made several bad communication errors of late and with his current poll #'s it seemed inevitable his odds would drift. I'm willing to get back in at higher odds, but honestly I don't need to take the risk atm with things being so volatile.
Luckily for him antifa seems to be coming to his rescue making the dems look bad in many major arguments right now. the protests/riots looks worse for the left.
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My super liberal cousins are spouting nonsense about structural racism and riots being language of oppressed. If i was them, i would be buying a gun. They are lost in a fantasy world, i hope the mob never comes their way.
 
Kamais_Ookin said:
Anonymous just released info that Mr. Trumpy was connected with Epstein in regards to 13y old girls. RIP re-election?
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If he actually had anything it would have already come out.

BigAl-ThePal said:
Well I believe they took the odds down today solely based off these riots.trump was on pace for a landslide victory prior to covid and riots. Lines flip flopped. Crazy how things can change so quick and something said a week ago is forgotten. There is definitely a shadow government in place at the moment. Biden wins, you can kiss this country goodbye.
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Im with you on the antifa stuff, but look for a better book. -150 is ridiculous, too many uncertainties.
 
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