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You're still overlooking imo that guys like Renly and Stannis wouldn't have worked with Baelish. The Lannisters were greasy, and would work with anyone to maintain power. He trusted that win or lose they could use their resources to drag out a long bloody war, during which other houses were weakened and he had a chance to hop around gaining power, and exploiting people forced to work with him because they were desparate.
Perhaps you couldn't rule out Renly or Stannis working with him entirely, if it had ment winning the throne they might have but it would never have been an alliance with any trust and every chance they would turn on him as soon as was convenient. I mean Baelish does actually try to convince Ned to stay onside with Joffery so its really more Renly and especially Stannis that he's most obviously against.