Official UFN 74 Betting Thread - Post Your Bets! (Part II)

[Card]

Mike Bohn ‏@MikeBohnMMA

Valerie Letourneau just came out and weighed in again with the towel. She makes 116 pounds. Fight vs. Moroz is a go.

 

[Jae Gibbz]

Mike Bohn ‏@MikeBohnMMA

Valerie Letourneau just came out and weighed in again with the towel. She makes 116 pounds. Fight vs. Moroz is a go.

Awesome, good news

 

[wack3d]

Anyone give reasons as to why they should choose Jabouin over Arantes? I think Arantes has the advantage in every category including age, past competition, recent performances and etc... I don't see how Yves can win except for a robbery decision. Let me know everyone!

i think the standup is pretty close and yves has the wrestling advantage.. with that said i still expect Arantes to get the win with his aggressiveness, scrambles, sub/ko threat.. i like Arantes (scorecards = no action) alot better then his ml as i see no way yves is going to finish him.. the price has dropped alot though

 

[kenCs]

Just threw a couple on
Moroz (Valarie has a horrible weight cut and its considerably much harder for women to cut water weight at such low bodyweights), Neil Magny, Lima, Sims, Cirkunov. 5 to win 200.

Mercier is just to one dimensional imo and aslong as Sims keeps it standing, I see this being a long night for Mercier.

 

[vkram]

guys, do you know any good twitter tipsters to follow? can be any sport really.

 

[wack3d]

Just threw a couple on
Moroz (Valarie has a horrible weight cut and its considerably much harder for women to cut water weight at such low bodyweights), Neil Magny, Lima, Sims, Cirkunov. 5 to win 200.

Mercier is just to one dimensional imo and aslong as Sims keeps it standing, I see this being a long night for Mercier.

she made weight without the top (not sure if she cut more weight after 1st attempt?) also i thought she looked just as bad vs Rakoczy if not worse and she fought well in that fight and cardio held up just fine.

 

[lefontes]

Bets after weigh in
1 unit on: Lima, Silva, Perez and Arantes
0,5 unit on: Holloway, Mercier and Cirkunov
0,25 on: Laprise, Silv

 

[wack3d]

Mike Bohn ‏@MikeBohnMMA 1 t.1 time siden

Thomas Almeida, who beat Yves Jabouin earlier this year, joins Felipe Arantes on the stage for weigh-ins. Subtle mind games.

well played i did not even notice that

 

[Ukram]

Pending 8 Team Parlay
Pending 8/23/15 6:00pm UFC Fighting 2101 Elias Silverio -270* vs Shane Campbell
Pending 8/23/15 11:00pm Props Fighting 1041 Holloway wins by TKO/KO +100* vs Any other result
Pending 8/23/15 10:30pm Props Fighting 1203 Burkman / Cote goes 3 round distance -155* vs Fight won't go 3 round distance
Pending 8/23/15 10:00pm Props Fighting 1303 Laprise / Trinaldo goes 3 round distance -205* vs Fight won't go 3 round distance
Pending 8/23/15 9:00pm Props Fighting 1527 Moroz wins by submission +145* vs Any other result
Pending 8/23/15 8:00pm Props Fighting 1739 Arantes (scorecards = no action) -265* vs Jabouin (scorecards = no action)
Pending 8/23/15 7:30pm Props Fighting 1833 Lima wins by TKO/KO +140* vs Any other result
Pending 8/23/15 7:00pm Props Fighting 1903 Perez / Stout goes 3 round distance -155* vs Fight won't go 3 round distance

nice parlay play

done this one

moroz
laprise
lima/krylov wont go distance
sim ko
magny
holloway

 

[Ukram]

Mike Bohn ‏@MikeBohnMMA 1 t.1 time siden

Thomas Almeida, who beat Yves Jabouin earlier this year, joins Felipe Arantes on the stage for weigh-ins. Subtle mind games.

well played i did not even notice that

only spotted him due to that awesome pickett fight but yeah complete mind games and these Brazilian's look similar, goodness knows how yves handles this :icon_chee

 

[EzFlyer]

buying out of my letourneau decision... just to lessen risk on her. still have the 2u on ML. but yea, i don't like that she had to cut that extra pound, etc.

 

[Jae Gibbz]

buying out of my letourneau decision... just to lessen risk on her. still have the 2u on ML. but yea, i don't like that she had to cut that extra pound, etc.

I'm not sure she cut the extra pound. Shortly after the weigh ins, Card posted that she made weight with the towel

 

[Card]

 

[Card]

 

[EzFlyer]

ufn 74 action

Spoiler

ufn 74 Risk: 1,541.50
holloway: 250 parlays / holloway RD 3: 20 for 140 / holloway RD 4: 15 for 150 / holloway RD 5: 15 for 225 - 10 parlays / holloway SUB: 25 for 225 / oliveira
magny +154: 250 for 385 / magny RD 3: 25 for 425 - 10 parlays / magny SUB: 25 for 282.50 / silva
burkman ITDnojudge: 100 parlays / O2.5: 126.50 for 100 / cote
laprise: 150 parlays / trinaldo +310: 50 for 155
sims +200: 100 for 200 / sims ITD: 40 for 182 / sims RD1: 10 for 85 - 10 parlays / aubin-mercier: 100 parlays
letourneau +144: 200 for 277.50 / letourneau DEC: 3.90 for 0 / letourneau RD 3: 10 for 245 - 10 parlays / letourneau SUB: 10 for 125 / moroz
arantes ITDnojudge: 100 parlays / arantes RD2: 10 parlays / jabouin
de lima: 100 parlays / krylov
perez +100: 50 for 50 / stout
Kelades +150: 50 for 75 / beal
silverio: 100 parlays / silverio RD2: 10 parlays / silverio SUB: 25 for 106.25 / campbell
jolly/cirkunov U1.5: 25 for 32.50
props
parlays
100 for 128.95 holloway -200 & laprise -190
50 for 74.92 holloway -200 & aubin-mercier -165
50 for 69.82 holloway -180 & silverio -185
50 for 76.72 holloway -200 & de lima -145
50 for 58.96 laprise -210 & aubin-mercier -210
50 for 47.03 burkman ITDnojudge -249 & silverio -260
50 for 54.27 burkman ITDnojudge -249 & arantes ITDnojudge -205
50 for 75.69 lima -145 & arantes ITDnojudge -205
20 RR for 37,090.56: hollowayRD5/ magnyRD3/ simsRD1/ letourneauRD3/ arantesRD2/ silverio RD2
---

think i'm about set. ended up hedging some earlier bets, *sorta* "switched" action on laprise and OAM to trinaldo and sims (very strange action for me on them, but nothing major)

i'll be playing over-subs for the event tomorrow, probably. not a big event for me.

lol @ my RR. i never do shit like that.

 

[EzFlyer]

I'm not sure she cut the extra pound. Shortly after the weigh ins, Card posted that she made weight with the towel

ah, rly? ok, good to know, TY

 

[Turtleguard]

Surprised to see peeps on Val...She got pwnt by the happy warrior ffs.

 

[zomb]

ufn 74 action

Spoiler

ufn 74 Risk: 1,541.50
holloway: 250 parlays / holloway RD 3: 20 for 140 / holloway RD 4: 15 for 150 / holloway RD 5: 15 for 225 - 10 parlays / holloway SUB: 25 for 225 / oliveira
magny +154: 250 for 385 / magny RD 3: 25 for 425 - 10 parlays / magny SUB: 25 for 282.50 / silva
burkman ITDnojudge: 100 parlays / O2.5: 126.50 for 100 / cote
laprise: 150 parlays / trinaldo +310: 50 for 155
sims +200: 100 for 200 / sims ITD: 40 for 182 / sims RD1: 10 for 85 - 10 parlays / aubin-mercier: 100 parlays
letourneau +144: 200 for 277.50 / letourneau DEC: 3.90 for 0 / letourneau RD 3: 10 for 245 - 10 parlays / letourneau SUB: 10 for 125 / moroz
arantes ITDnojudge: 100 parlays / arantes RD2: 10 parlays / jabouin
de lima: 100 parlays / krylov
perez +100: 50 for 50 / stout
Kelades +150: 50 for 75 / beal
silverio: 100 parlays / silverio RD2: 10 parlays / silverio SUB: 25 for 106.25 / campbell
jolly/cirkunov U1.5: 25 for 32.50
props
parlays
100 for 128.95 holloway -200 & laprise -190
50 for 74.92 holloway -200 & aubin-mercier -165
50 for 69.82 holloway -180 & silverio -185
50 for 76.72 holloway -200 & de lima -145
50 for 58.96 laprise -210 & aubin-mercier -210
50 for 47.03 burkman ITDnojudge -249 & silverio -260
50 for 54.27 burkman ITDnojudge -249 & arantes ITDnojudge -205
50 for 75.69 lima -145 & arantes ITDnojudge -205
20 RR for 37,090.56: hollowayRD5/ magnyRD3/ simsRD1/ letourneauRD3/ arantesRD2/ silverio RD2
---

think i'm about set. ended up hedging some earlier bets, *sorta* "switched" action on laprise and OAM to trinaldo and sims (very strange action for me on them, but nothing major)

i'll be playing over-subs for the event tomorrow, probably. not a big event for me.

lol @ my RR. i never do shit like that.

damn, apart from Beal-Kelades we have pretty much identical picks. makes me happy. BOL man

 

[zomb]

re-post from old thread

Holloway/Olivera o1.5 3u 1.564 /// Holloway 2u 1.512

Silva/Magny o1.5 2u 1.632 /// Magny 2.55 1u /// Magny Round 3 14.00 0.5u

Burkman/Cote o2.5 2u 1.746 + 1u 1.684

Trinaldo/Laprise o2.5 2u 1.44 /// Laprise 2u 1.448

Aubin-Mercier 2u 1.448 /// Sims KO 6.50 0.5u

Letourneau/Moroz o1.5 2u 1.54 /// Letourneau 2.58 0.5u + 2.60 0.5u /// Letourneau DEC 3.75 1u

Cirkunov/Jolly u1.5 1u 2.25 /// Cirkunov ITD 1.77 2.4u

Arantes 2u 1.546 /// Arrantes ITD 3.15 1.2u

Perez 1u 1.909

De Lima 1.719 2u

Keledas/Beal o2.5 1u 1.406 /// Beal DEC 2.62 1.2u

Campbell/Silverio o1.5 1u 1.497 /// Silverio DEC 2.75 1u

Round Robin parlay with:
Charles Oliveira/Max Holloway (O 1.5)
Josh Burkman/Patrick Cote (O 2.5)
Francisco Trinaldo/Chad Laprise (O 2.5)
Valerie Letourneau/Maryna Moroz (O 1.5)
Daniel Jolly/Misha Cirkunov (U 1.5)
Chris Kelades/Chris Beal (O 2.5)
Shane Campbell/Elias Silverio (O 1.5)

total stake in Round Robin parlay 7 units

 

[waiguoren]

Has anyone seen Jolly's fights other than the crap quality stuff on Youtube?