Official UFN 74 Betting Thread - Post Your Bets! (Part II)

Discussion in 'UFC Discussion' started by Oblivian, Aug 21, 2015.

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  1. Oblivian

    Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Part I here: http://forums.sherdog.com/forums/f2/official-ufn-74-betting-thread-post-your-bets-3048107/

    Same drill as always - post your bets, discuss bets/matchups, and other sports in spoilers.

    Singles
    Erick Silva: $10 to win $5.71 Loss
    Oliveira: $7.50 to win $11.63 Loss
    Letourneau: $6.25 to win $8.75 $15
    Feliz: $5 to win $5.50 $10.50
    Burkman: $3.75 to win $2.78 Loss
    de Lima: $3.75 to win $2.59 Loss
    Arantes/Jabouin over 2.5: $3.75 to win $2.34 Loss
    Trinaldo: $2.50 to win $7.50 $10
    Stout: $2.50 to win $2.88 Loss
    Sims/Mercier ITD: $2.50 to win $2.38 Loss
    Ackson Junior: $1.25 to win $1.38 $2.63
    Musgrave: $1.25 to win $1.50 Loss
    Ware: $1.25 to win $1.88 Loss

    Risk of $51.25 $38.13

    Parlays
    Field over Spieth (PGA Champ) + Oliveira/Holloway ITD: $10 to win $5.57 $15.57
    Field over McIlroy/D. Johnson (PGA Champ) + Misha: $7.50 to win $3.40 $10.90
    Latin America (Little League over Aus) + California (Little League over Kentucky) + Silverio: $3.75 to win $2.50 Loss
    Bassette + Field over Day (PGA): $2.50 Loss
    Beal + Oliveira/Holloway starts 2: $1.25 to win $1.30 Loss

    Risk of $25 $26.47

    Future That Lost
    Parlay w/ California LLWS: $3.75 Loss

    TOTAL RISK OF $80 $64.60

    TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $135.90 Running Profit: $40.90 Approximate ROI for year 1.2682%)
    TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
    TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
    TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
    TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
    TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
    GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2014: $29 into $2596.43 Total Profit = $2567.43 (Approximate ROI: 12.8067%)
     
    Last edited: Aug 25, 2015
  2. LEMONZEST

    LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    Why did you start a new thread? Just because the other one was too big already? - just curious.

    Trident, I tailed your parlay for 10 bucks I have on free play at 5 dimes. Unfortunately mine only pays $11,300. Needless to say I am not impressed :)

    I value your and Rebel Lion's input so I am fully expecting this to come in!
     
  3. Sham5916910

    Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    Someone said they are worried about betting Max SU just hedge with Olive sub at +300 surprised the lines so high its his only route to victory.
     
  4. zomb

    zomb No soap for you Platinum Member

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    sherdog threads are usually capped at 1000 posts
     
  5. zomb

    zomb No soap for you Platinum Member

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    to the guy who mentioned the event is on Sunda/Monday fuuuuck. I knew it was on the 23rd but due to the timezones i didn't think about it that much.

    thought it was tomorrow, major bummer
     
  6. Oblivian

    Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    I try my best to close and make a new thread at 1000 posts. Unless I'm mistaken, that's the limit they try to keep threads at still.
     
  7. Ukram

    Ukram Silver Belt

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    possible hail mary parlay play:

    Chad SU
    Max SU
    Lima/Krylov under 1.5
    Sims ko
    Magny SU
    Cote/burkman over 1.5

     
  8. Ukram

    Ukram Silver Belt

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    Back with a tan I hope :D Yup still planning on hitting max large su I reckon, I just can't see oliveria winning this fight but the hedge via sub is a good un, was thinking of a max parlay play with lima or an over play to minimize going big though.

    Yup for Brits It means staying up till 6am Monday morning:icon_cry2
     
  9. Ukram

    Ukram Silver Belt

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    silva training for magny video
    [YT]lFqhESnrYlw[/YT][/QUOTE]
     
  10. Ukram

    Ukram Silver Belt

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    Ronda Rousey vs. Holly Holm UFC 195 (Jan 2nd 2016)

    miesha camp shocked at the decision
     
  11. zomb

    zomb No soap for you Platinum Member

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    good thing I don't work a 9-5 haha :D
     
  12. iGnP

    iGnP Silver Belt

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    [/QUOTE]

    oh man, Magny must already be regretting his decision to take this fight
     
  13. LEMONZEST

    LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    Man I want one of those stand up heavy bag things that E.Silva is working. Anyone know where to get one in N. America?

    So I guess if Silva looks like he is fighting underwater on Sunday we will know why :) Seriously though he looks like he is in good shape for this.

    EDIT: nvmd I found the free standing heaving bags online using the interwebs
     
    Last edited: Aug 21, 2015
  14. HeyBoone

    HeyBoone Brown Belt

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    Thank God I live on the West coast, fights should be over by around 930PM. East coast/Atlantic used to be brutal, PPV's would end at like 130 or 2AM.
     
  15. ivanilich

    ivanilich Green Belt

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    It's on Sunday? :(
     
  16. Aventurero

    Aventurero White Belt

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    At what time is the weigh-in PST?
     
  17. MidgardSerpent

    MidgardSerpent Black Belt

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    I
     
  18. cberasi

    cberasi Green Belt

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    Sparring on a treadmill? That can't be a good idea. Sorry, I have to pull out of the fight b/c I sprained my ACL practicing a spinning backfist on the treadmill in the event the octagon floor starts moving during the fight.

    It's no hailmary, but Silverio ITD x Lima ITD x Arantes ITD pays +1433 and doesn't seem too far fetched. Silverio has a lot of decisions but if he wins then isn't it probably b/c Silverio uses his large physical advantage to continuously grind down Campbell.
     
  19. LEMONZEST

    LEMONZEST Planning parlays...

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    Heavy Bags.

    Thanks for the input MS. I am a bit torn because I do like the idea of being able to move it around if need be. Also having a free standing one is a bit more convenient since I won't have to fuss finding a stud and drilling into it etc.

    I am training at home for cardio/fitness and technique, not focused on power.

    I also want to be able to throw kicks which I am sure will work with a long hanging bag as well. I am eyeing this stand alone unit

    http://www.everlast.com/mma/mma-punching-bags/mma-everflex-striking-bag
     
  20. HeyBoone

    HeyBoone Brown Belt

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    Hmm I would stay away from standing ones and just put in the little bit of effort to get a hanging one. Outslayer has a good reputation from what I hear. Check out the Gear and Equipment forum on Sherdog and make a search or post up a new thread. You can get tall heavy bags for kicking as well, that's what I would do.

    My gym has one of those standing ones but it's over in the corner gathering dust because it's useless while we actually use the hanging bags because they are solid and work much better.
     
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