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Official UFN 69 Betting Thread - Post Your Bets!

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Kawajiri - was honored to get this fight, Siver is higher ranked than me, he has an advantage in his home country, but even in this situation I have to win, we're too vets, I don't think he has holes in his game, I will be better

 
Askham - changed camps to ASW, trained with lee chadwick, whole game has improved, stronger, can beat him striking

 
Allen - train hard year round, was told he would be a replacement if someone was injured (i was watching everyone's fights to prepare), was a bit heavy 1 month ago, but am ready, I'm faster, I'd rather be boo'ed than cheered, motivates me

 
Fullen - 15 hour flight, feel good, weight is good, arrived Tuesday, first time in Europe, stand up is my favorite, I was a professional boxer in Mexico, that's what you'll see this weekend

 
Taisumov - I don't know much, he's standup fighter and black belt BJJ, started camp in Chechnya, I'm trying to be the best

 
i'll rejoice the day ''mr finland'' get's stomped flat. hope they make him v yair or something happen.
 
same thoughts i had pretty much after watching tape.

i dont think the short notice will matter alot in this case however since Arnold barely cuts any weight and from looking on his twitter he seems to have been training hard even before he got this fight.

i might take a small bet on Arnold if he reaches +200

Yeah arnold is a lively dog ill give him that I should have said during my b/d when he creates distance and space he uses his reach well against guys its his long arms that do it. Looks like he was heavy one month ago but weight is fine now also as card posted.

Lukasz Sajewski scouting report and super mini fight breakdown:

Lukasz is primarily a grappler. Most of his fights he just uses his strikes to close the distance for a TD. He has pretty good TD's and once he gets you to the ground, you aren't likely getting back up until the end of the round, or until you get subbed. His control is excellent, you will never see him going for a low percentage sub and risk losing position. He likes to work from side control and do some damage, before looking for his favorite sub, the armbar. Lukasz was able impressively out grapple Marcin Held in their fight, which says a lot about how good his grappling is. His striking is very basic, but he's only 24, so you can see pretty sizable leaps in his technique and arsenal every fight. His striking defense is pretty solid, as he is able to jump back out of the way of strikes, as well as move his head off the center line to avoid strikes. He also keeps his chin tucked well. His cardio also seems good, although he has only fought a full 3 rounds once.

The question is if Lukasz will be able to get Hein, whom has a judo background, to the mat. Hein has the better striking, so if Lukasz wants to get the win, he'll more than likely will have to be able to land TD's. Hein is heavily muscled and tends to slow down after the first round, which may lead to Lukasz being able to capitalize, and get easier TD's. Hein doesn't have a very good bottom game, so if he gets taken down, he's likely to stay there, especially with a guy like Lukasz on top of him.

This line seems spot on to me. I'm gonna wait to see how the movement pans out before making a play. Gun to my head, I take Lukasz though.

Nice b/d yeah hein is a super strong guy but he does slow down somewhat I would imagine them muscles need that oxygen, if he is faced with a good grappler he will slow down even more think ill wait and see if he gets that take down no doubt the odds will reflect that change.

I'm fairly certain that if AA wins the UFC HW title in 2015, the worlds coming to an end.

Stranger things can happen CardioCain gassed :)
 
Was wonder who is Makwan Amirkhani and all this andy ogle talk lol

then I remembered....
IllustriousPiercingGoldfinch.gif


This guy in his interviews was super arrogant, confident and a former model and had hot women flocking him.
 
Not much here is that tempting but I like the under 2.5 at plus odds (+135) in the pitbull fight as l imagine one of those two end it early -- most likely pitbull.

man idk, i was thinking O2.5...i don't think weichel will go down easily...
 
betting the house on kawajiry looks like he got a new weight training program and been taking extra protien and creatine if u know what im saying.

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Jay Primetown - http://www.mmaoddsbreaker.com/news/ufc-fight-night-69-newcomer-breakdown-magomed-mustafaev/

This matchup has gone under the radar as one of the best fights on the Fight Night 69 card. Underrated Piotr Hallmann takes on the latest Russian prospect entering the UFC, Magomed Mustafaev. I expect this to be a competitive fight. Hallmann is tough, durable, physical, and has decent cardio. Mustafaev is the flashier striker with the better grappling skill set. It
 
@MMAGF how big are you going on Kimbo?

Not that much really cause I don't think much of either fighter and a run love I think that this is a squash match and I wouldn't be surprised to see can take the Bob Sapp route out of the fight just as soon as things get hairy, I am not risking a substantial portion of my BR on the fighter who in 2008 essentially held the distinguished title of "The Baddest Man at Your BBQ".

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BTW:
Apologies for multiple posts and the atrocious grammar in past posts -- I am using an iPad and I haven't figured out how to multi post (or if you even can) and fucking grammar check and predictive type make the syntax and spelling of my posts illegible. I proofread but the bastards always sneak something by me [\spoiler]
 
Premium oddscast - http://www.mmaoddsbreaker.com/news/...ight-69-jedrzejczyk-betting-preview-part-one/

Underdog picks: Sajewski, Patrick, Allen, Mustafaev

Jedrzejczyk - Nick, Brian, Reed
Siver - Nick, Brian, Reed
Sobotta - Nick, Brian
Sajewski - Nick, Brian
Amirkhani - Nick, Brian
Taisumov - Brian / Patrick - Nick
Omer - Nick / Allen - Brian
Backstrom - Nick, Brian
Askham - Nick, Brian
Hallmann - Nick / Mustafaev - Brian
Sasaki - Nick, Brian
 
Debating a bet on Pitbull despite the -280. I was impressed by Weichel in his win over Curran, but Freire is a striking step above each imo and comparable if not better on the ground. A Pitbull/Kimbo parlay would pay 0.90
 
Luca picks an underdog - Mustafaev

Jedrzejczyk
Siver
Sobotta
Hein
Amirkhani
Taisumov
Omer
Backstrom
Askham
Mustafaev
Sasaki

 
Yes, Charles has questionable chin and cardio, but also some wrestling skills, movement and power in his hands. Charles would be able to survive 1.5 rounds at the worst scenario.

Can't forget that he's taking the fight on extreme short notice so his gas tank could be worse than usual. If a brute like Lashley gets on top early, that's a big problem. Didn't Mighty freaking Mo out-wrestle him as well?
 
Sajewski - Hein is scared of me, he's avoiding eye contact at the hotel, it's going to be a lesson and I'm going to be the teacher, he will become a better fighter after losing to me, he will be dangerous in the first couple minutes, but he won't surprise me at all

 
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